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The Justice Department on Saturday released redacted applications for surveillance warrants on former Trump campaign adviser Carter Page.
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Well done, Dave Cameron and the Tories: you've really f**ked this country up.
_"Theresa May is facing an unprecedented political crisis, according to a new poll that reveals voters are implacably opposed to her Brexit plan and are prepared to turn to Ukip or parties of the far right...
"About 38% would vote for a new party on the right that was committed to Brexit, while 24% are prepared to support an explicitly far-right anti-immigrant, anti-Islam party."
(Times paywall)
_"Theresa May is facing an unprecedented political crisis, according to a new poll that reveals voters are implacably opposed to her Brexit plan and are prepared to turn to Ukip or parties of the far right...
"About 38% would vote for a new party on the right that was committed to Brexit, while 24% are prepared to support an explicitly far-right anti-immigrant, anti-Islam party."
(Times paywall)
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Trump making boast after boast of having met Putin.. "he's nice" etc. etc..
Then later he says "I've never met Putin"..
Trump on video with dates supplied, lying and lying and lying. Trump makes up lies to appear powerful and influential with contacts in all the right places.
Then he makes up lies to try to distance himself from the same people when they are accused of acting immorally or unlawfully..
Trump cannot have it both ways.
This man is not suitable for any public office..
Video total 6 minutes 16 seconds
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H9HY7Aw_jdU
Then later he says "I've never met Putin"..
Trump on video with dates supplied, lying and lying and lying. Trump makes up lies to appear powerful and influential with contacts in all the right places.
Then he makes up lies to try to distance himself from the same people when they are accused of acting immorally or unlawfully..
Trump cannot have it both ways.
This man is not suitable for any public office..
Video total 6 minutes 16 seconds
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H9HY7Aw_jdU
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Two-factor authentication is a must, but don't settle for the SMS version. Use a more secure authenticator app instead. https://wrd.cm/2LgnFN0
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A former director of the CIA cried treason. #JohnMcCain called it 'one of the most disgraceful performances by an American president in memory'. Another Republican senator, #BobCorker, said: 'The dam is finally breaking.' Despite stinging criticism of #Trump in Washington this week, a small sampling of influential party workers visiting Texas and a poll of the general public suggest conservatives across the country are generally shrugging off Trump’s curiously cordial relationship with #VladimirPutin.
Trump made a maladroit effort at damage control, after widespread outrage at his performance in Helsinki. But at the quarterly meeting of the Republican National Committee (RNC), the #Republicanparty’s leadership, fundraising and strategy group, there was no evidence of the dam cracking, or even springing the smallest of leaks. Senior state-level officials are among the RNC’s 168 members.
#WorldEconomy #Economy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Diplomacy #Politics #Russia #InternationalRelations #UnitedStates
Was the #Putin summit a turning point for Trump? #Republicans say 'nah'
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/jul/22/putin-summit-trump-republican-support
Trump made a maladroit effort at damage control, after widespread outrage at his performance in Helsinki. But at the quarterly meeting of the Republican National Committee (RNC), the #Republicanparty’s leadership, fundraising and strategy group, there was no evidence of the dam cracking, or even springing the smallest of leaks. Senior state-level officials are among the RNC’s 168 members.
#WorldEconomy #Economy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Diplomacy #Politics #Russia #InternationalRelations #UnitedStates
Was the #Putin summit a turning point for Trump? #Republicans say 'nah'
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/jul/22/putin-summit-trump-republican-support
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After his visits to NATO, in Brussels, and to the UK, and on to his bizarre encounter with the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, in Helsinki, we are entering a new era in transatlantic relations. #Germany is not alone in trying to reshape a future without US engagement or interest in European affairs, whether on trade or security, the environment or foreign policy issues.
#Trump’s attempt to provoke divisions in the #EU on this trip and in recent months has had a significantly unifying effect on the union. If the US wants to distance itself, then Europe is happy to show it can go it alone.
#WorldEconomy #Economy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Diplomacy #Politics #InternationalRelations #EuropeanUnion
President Trump’s attempts to divide the EU have had a unifying effect
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/president-trump-s-attempts-to-divide-the-eu-have-had-a-unifying-effect-1.3571210
#Trump’s attempt to provoke divisions in the #EU on this trip and in recent months has had a significantly unifying effect on the union. If the US wants to distance itself, then Europe is happy to show it can go it alone.
#WorldEconomy #Economy #Geopolitics #ForeignPolicy #Diplomacy #Politics #InternationalRelations #EuropeanUnion
President Trump’s attempts to divide the EU have had a unifying effect
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/president-trump-s-attempts-to-divide-the-eu-have-had-a-unifying-effect-1.3571210
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The G.O.P. Stands By as Trump Upends American Security
"In the aftermath of Helsinki, there has been outcry, but no real action, from the Republican establishment."
"In the aftermath of Helsinki, there has been outcry, but no real action, from the Republican establishment."
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READ: PH to get $26.5M in U.S. assistance to counter terrorism | via Manila Bulletin #FriendsPartnersAllies
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Last year’s Pixel launch delivered a lot of new products, and the Pixelbook was one of the most interesting. Today, we’re getting word that a second-generation is incoming for this fall.
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Google killing ‘Save to Google’ Chrome extension, ‘Saved’ site gains Material Theme
Unbeknownst to most users, Google has long featured native “Save” functionality to bookmark links and images. First built into Image Search and later the Search app on Android, Google also maintained a Chrome extension to save pages. However, Google is…
Unbeknownst to most users, Google has long featured native “Save” functionality to bookmark links and images. First built into Image Search and later the Search app on Android, Google also maintained a Chrome extension to save pages. However, Google is…
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What are the legal routes for Central Americans to come to the U.S.? Why are many seeking #asylum (which it seems always useful to restate is a legal procedure we have established, for people under persecution) rather than using other routes? Well, for most people there's exactly one alternative route, similar qualifications, but it's 8x smaller and leaves you under threat for years.
People admitted per year from El Salvador + Guatemala + Honduras:
- 5611 people were granted asylum
- 725 people got refugee visas
- 39 got in through the green card lottery (not available in El Salvador)
So yeah, which would you try for?
For most people, the alternatives are asylum or a refugee visa because the criteria are generally similar -- you need to be threatened by persecution. The big difference is in the mechanics: you request asylum from U.S. soil, and you request a refugee visa from foreign soil. One or the other of these is the option for most people, who are fleeing their country but don't have additional qualifications.
Those refugee numbers may be in effect an overcount, since they count people from an Obama-era program for minors at risk, which actually required parents with legal U.S. status -- not available to most people. That program is terminated now anyway. So the refugee path may be even narrower than it looks from these numbers. That doesn't necessarily imply it's harder to get than asylum for a particular applicant; it could be the same but be undesirable for other reasons.
If you're wondering, the bulk of the admissions are for family unification. Per year from our three countries:
- 15294 people got Immediate Relative visas (spouse or minor child of citizen)
- 11971 people got Family Preference (brothers, married children, other cases)
For sure, if you're part of a nuclear family split between citizenships, that would be the best way, by far. Or if you're a married child, there's a process, but the wait is 12 years, or 23 for certain countries. But most people fleeing their country can't use any of this. A whole family can't.
You could in principle get a long-term work visa, but most people don't qualify. That's 72 in a year.
Beyond the numbers it's worth mentioning again that the refugee process takes a couple of years. By the time you get to the point of uprooting your family, because you're in immediate danger, are you going to choose to stay in that for years? What if the worse happens because you were sitting and waiting?
Tangential from this article, I started collecting numbers (sources below) --
https://www.lawfareblog.com/what-are-legal-pathways-central-americans-enter-us
---
I couldn't find numbers all for the same year period, so I had to mix and match and spackle a bit. It would also be good to look at the time series since the numbers change a lot over time.
https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/refugees-asylees
Table 1, refugee admissions: 1340 LatAm + Caribbean
2016: 20455 asylum grants from anywhere = 11729 affirmative + 8726 defensive
Table 4, affirmative asylum grants: El Salvador 1404, Guatemala 1317, Honduras 885 (total 3606)
Table 5, defensive: El Salvador 753, Guatemala 632, Honduras 620 (total 2005)
Both kinds: 5611
(Figure 9, credible fear interview's 'pass' rate: ES 81%, G 60%, H 81%.)
https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/refugees-and-asylees-united-states
https://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclopedia/which-countries-do-most-people-granted-asylum-the-us-come-from.html
The following statistics are defensive asylum + affirmative asylum initially denied by USCIS. 2016 had 15999 affirmative asylum approved by USCIS -- they do not track nationality! [but this doesn't seem to match other data?]
https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/yearbook/2016
Long-term work visas: 74
Green card lottery: 39 (no El Salvador)
Refugee: 1668 (entirety of LatAm + Caribbean)
Refugee, 2017-10 - 2018-06: 461 El Salvador, 34 Guatemala, 49 Honduras (total 544)
(this is 9 full months, on pace for 725 in a full year)
https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/immigrate/family-immigration/family-based-immigrant-visas.html
Immediate Relative immigrant visas are for nuclear family (minor children) of a U.S. citizen. Uncapped yearly.
Family Preference are for other relationships (non-minor children, siblings) and for family of green card holders.
.
Family Preference immigrant visas, 2017:
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2017AnnualReport/FY17AnnualReport%20-TableV.pdf
7554 El Salvador
2548 Guatemala
1869 Honduras
(total 11971)
(2017 all countries total 225719)
.
Immediate Relative visas, 2017:
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2017AnnualReport/FY17AnnualReport-TableXII.pdf
7998 ES
4045 G
3251 H
(total 15294)
(2017 all countries total 254430)
People admitted per year from El Salvador + Guatemala + Honduras:
- 5611 people were granted asylum
- 725 people got refugee visas
- 39 got in through the green card lottery (not available in El Salvador)
So yeah, which would you try for?
For most people, the alternatives are asylum or a refugee visa because the criteria are generally similar -- you need to be threatened by persecution. The big difference is in the mechanics: you request asylum from U.S. soil, and you request a refugee visa from foreign soil. One or the other of these is the option for most people, who are fleeing their country but don't have additional qualifications.
Those refugee numbers may be in effect an overcount, since they count people from an Obama-era program for minors at risk, which actually required parents with legal U.S. status -- not available to most people. That program is terminated now anyway. So the refugee path may be even narrower than it looks from these numbers. That doesn't necessarily imply it's harder to get than asylum for a particular applicant; it could be the same but be undesirable for other reasons.
If you're wondering, the bulk of the admissions are for family unification. Per year from our three countries:
- 15294 people got Immediate Relative visas (spouse or minor child of citizen)
- 11971 people got Family Preference (brothers, married children, other cases)
For sure, if you're part of a nuclear family split between citizenships, that would be the best way, by far. Or if you're a married child, there's a process, but the wait is 12 years, or 23 for certain countries. But most people fleeing their country can't use any of this. A whole family can't.
You could in principle get a long-term work visa, but most people don't qualify. That's 72 in a year.
Beyond the numbers it's worth mentioning again that the refugee process takes a couple of years. By the time you get to the point of uprooting your family, because you're in immediate danger, are you going to choose to stay in that for years? What if the worse happens because you were sitting and waiting?
Tangential from this article, I started collecting numbers (sources below) --
https://www.lawfareblog.com/what-are-legal-pathways-central-americans-enter-us
---
I couldn't find numbers all for the same year period, so I had to mix and match and spackle a bit. It would also be good to look at the time series since the numbers change a lot over time.
https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/refugees-asylees
Table 1, refugee admissions: 1340 LatAm + Caribbean
2016: 20455 asylum grants from anywhere = 11729 affirmative + 8726 defensive
Table 4, affirmative asylum grants: El Salvador 1404, Guatemala 1317, Honduras 885 (total 3606)
Table 5, defensive: El Salvador 753, Guatemala 632, Honduras 620 (total 2005)
Both kinds: 5611
(Figure 9, credible fear interview's 'pass' rate: ES 81%, G 60%, H 81%.)
https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/refugees-and-asylees-united-states
https://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclopedia/which-countries-do-most-people-granted-asylum-the-us-come-from.html
The following statistics are defensive asylum + affirmative asylum initially denied by USCIS. 2016 had 15999 affirmative asylum approved by USCIS -- they do not track nationality! [but this doesn't seem to match other data?]
https://www.dhs.gov/immigration-statistics/yearbook/2016
Long-term work visas: 74
Green card lottery: 39 (no El Salvador)
Refugee: 1668 (entirety of LatAm + Caribbean)
Refugee, 2017-10 - 2018-06: 461 El Salvador, 34 Guatemala, 49 Honduras (total 544)
(this is 9 full months, on pace for 725 in a full year)
https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/us-visas/immigrate/family-immigration/family-based-immigrant-visas.html
Immediate Relative immigrant visas are for nuclear family (minor children) of a U.S. citizen. Uncapped yearly.
Family Preference are for other relationships (non-minor children, siblings) and for family of green card holders.
.
Family Preference immigrant visas, 2017:
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2017AnnualReport/FY17AnnualReport%20-TableV.pdf
7554 El Salvador
2548 Guatemala
1869 Honduras
(total 11971)
(2017 all countries total 225719)
.
Immediate Relative visas, 2017:
https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2017AnnualReport/FY17AnnualReport-TableXII.pdf
7998 ES
4045 G
3251 H
(total 15294)
(2017 all countries total 254430)
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Your blood type could raise or lower your risk for certain diseases. Learn how type A, B, AB, or O could impact your long term health.
http://health-zone.org/5-things-blood-type-says-health/
http://health-zone.org/5-things-blood-type-says-health/
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