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I came across an interesting article on how the University of Michigan and Rice University are working with NOAA to provide regional storm warnings.


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As cycle 24 starts to wind down, we're starting to see almost daily predictions for cycle 25 and beyond. This article from last years Nature magazine proposes a promising model composed of a pair of dynamos. After training the model on observations from cycles 21-23 onwards, the researchers extrapolated back in time and have achieved (in their words) 'spectacular' accuracy matching historical data. This is given them the confidence to extrapolate forward to cycles 25 and 26. Very interesting and readable article. (Apologies to anyone that's already picked up on this)

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A recurrent coronal hole, with an associated high speed stream (CH HSS) is expected to become geoeffective with Earth late on 6 January, 2016. This will cause geomagnetic activity that may reach a level of G1 (on the NOAA scale). A G1 (Minor) activity level is likely, due to solar wind speeds rising above the typical quiet levels. Last time this recurrent CH HSS was present, about 27 days ago, the wind speed reached over 650 km per second, and measurements from the STEREO-A spacecraft approximately 2 weeks ago observed similar speeds.

http://SunSpotWatch.com

http://SunSpotWatch.com/swc for educational material

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