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People often question whether it is rational to vote in the national election for the remote possibility that your vote could influence the outcome. While election polling has become an extraordinarily complex process, there are still various sources of error that add uncertainty to any poll. When taken into account, the actual probability that you could tie the vote is somewhere between 1 in 100,000 to 1 in 10 million for polls of 52% vs 48% with typical margins of error.

#Politics #Election #Polling #Clinton #Trump #Statistics #Data

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Over 5,000 board games were released last year, continuing a sharp upswing in the creation of new games over the past 30 years. The website is a haven for board game enthusists and features reviews and opinions for 84,164 games released since 1900. There are almost 1,500 games that have earned scores of 9+ (out of 10) with 79% of games earning a rating above 5. Some of the lowest rated games of all time are also the most popular: Monopoly, Operation, Snakes and Ladders, Tic Tac Toe, Bingo, The Game of Life, and Candyland.

After the 1950's, the total number of games released and the proportion of games garnering higher scores began to increase. Based on the data, 2012 was arguable the "best" year in board gaming history with over 20% of releases earning scores of 6+. However, that trend may be coming to an end as the scores plateau. Many think this is the result of lower quality games flooding the market backed by crowdsourcing (Kickstarter and Indiegogo).

#Games #BoardGames #Data #DataViz #Timeline #Proportion #Percentage #BoardGameGeek

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+FiveThirtyEight​ has released a comprehensive breakdown of gun deaths in America using data from the CDC's Multiple Cause of Death database. More than 33,000 people are fatally shot in the U.S. each year. While the majority of media coverage focuses on terrorism, mass shootings, police officers killed, and police shootings, they make up a fraction of the total. Nearly two-thirds of gun deaths are suicides with more than 45% of the victims men age 45 or older.

#Guns #Firearms #FiveThirtyEight #Fatality #Mortality #Homicide #Suicide #2ndAmendment #Rights #Arms #Health 

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The VentuSky website allows you to view the entirety of global weather on a single animated map. It's quite fascinating to see how the wind affects almost every weather phenomenon (precipitation, clouds, temperature, etc.).

#Weather #Maps #Cartography #Metereology #Earth #Rain #Wind #Temperature #Data #Animated

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The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that the U.S. economy added 287,000 jobs in June. This marks the 69th consecutive month with job growth, the longest streak on record. The unemployment rate also still remains below 5%. Hourly earnings continue to slowly creep upwards despite the decreased unemployment.

#Economics #UnitedStates #GreatRecession #Market #Employment #Unemployment #Jobs #Statistics #FiveThirtyEight #Labor

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FiveThirtyEight just launched its 2016 general election forecast and currently predicts that Hillary Clinton has an 80.6% chance of winning the presidency based strictly upon polls. The "polls-plus" model that takes into account economic and historical data estimates her chances at 73.6%. Clinton is predicted to take almost 2x the electoral college votes of Donald Trump and around 48% of the popular vote.

Currently, the states with the closest races are Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Mississippi, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina. It's immediately apparent that these are not the usual battleground states and that many are solidly in typically red states.

Read More:

#Politics #Election #FiveThirtyEight #NateSilver #Polling #Prediction #DataJournalism #EmpricalJournalism #Journalist #Data #Chance #Trump #Clinton

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Brunch is arguably the best meal of the day, yet exactly when it should occur is one of life's many unanswered questions. Brunch too early in the day is just breakfast and too late is just lunch. This blog attempts to answer the question by searching over 100 million tweets for mentions of meals and plotting them as a function of localized time.

After going through several different analysis techniques (histogram maxima, probability density function, and spline interpolation) the author settles on using the maxima of the derivative of the spline interpolation to identify the time range. So, according to millions of tweets and some simple math, brunch is officially from 10:01am to 1:40pm. For validation, the same algorithm says that breakfast is from 7:50am to 11:55am and lunch is from 11:40am to 2:25pm.

#Brunch #Data #Twitter #Statistics #Interpolation #Meal #TheyDidTheMath

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As Europe awoke to find that the United Kingdom had voted to leave the European Union, analysts are scrambling to understand how this enormous decision happened. The BBC has compiled a comprehensive list of charts and maps breaking down the referendum by each voting region. Over 30 million people voted with the turnout around 72%.

The Leave campaign triumphed across England and Wales while the Remain campaign dominated in London, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. Younger voters overwhelmingly supported the Remain campaign but had lower turnout than older voters who supported the Leave campaign.

Looking at the 30 voting regions with the most elderly people, fewest graduates, and most people identifying as English, they all overwhelmingly voted in favor of leaving the EU. This was very much a decision made by the older generations that will impact generations to come.

#Brexit #Britain #UnitedKingdom #UK #EuropeanUnion #EU #Referendum #Voting #Poll #BBC #Europe #Country

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This blog post graphically depicts the history of +Reddit starting from August 2008 to August 2015. The daily activity for over 430,000 subreddits is plotted over the course of the 3,507 day timespan. It's immediately apparent that the vast majority of subreddits are created and never used with the older subreddits tending to dominate activity.

#Reddit #Data #BigData #Post #Activity #Daily #SocialMedia

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The CDC estimated in 2014 that 35% of American adults were overweight and 29% were obese according to the Body Mass Index (BMI). While the interpretation of the BMI has been called into question recently, it still remains a strong indicator of body fatness.

This website charts the shifting distribution of BMI in American adults using data from the CDC’s Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System. There is an obvious trend towards higher BMIs between 1984 to 2014 for both males and females. In 1984, 50% of adult males and 33% of adult females were overweight or obese. By 2014, 72% of males and 62% of females fell into the obese or overweight classification.

#Health #Data #CDC #Weight #BMI #BodyMassIndex #Fat #Diet #Exercise #Trends #Survey #Chart #Flow
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