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Tom Nolle
194 followers -
Technology industry curmudgeon and avid adventurer.
Technology industry curmudgeon and avid adventurer.

194 followers
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Many on the Street think Cisco's promised return to revenue growth next quarter means they've addressed the transformation of their business toward software and services. Under the covers, Cisco's business is still networking and there's little sign that the are doing anything that will change that any time in the foreseeable future.

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There's a lot to like about MEF 3.0, but from 2012 when NFV efforts were launched, we've focused on one hand on making virtual-element features equivalent to real devices while on the other hand depending on their somehow being more agile and efficient. We still have to make a business case for transformation, and we're still struggling.

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Ciena continues to do better in their quarterly reports than Infinera, and it's in no small part because they have better positioning. Even Ciena doesn't have the best possible story, though, and it's time for both companies to optimize their opportunity.

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We still seem to be delusional regarding just how IoT is going to happen and who's going to do what. Operators have little upside in IoT connectivity, and we may have major regulatory barriers hampering their participation where they could do us all the most good.

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All we hear these days is how critical NFV is to 5G, but the truth is that it is far from clear that NFV is even useful in 5G. NFV has gotten off-track by focusing on vCPE, a per-user-per-service mission, and it may have lost its chance to fulfill multi-tenant missions like mobile infrastructure. Can it be fixed?

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ONAP is said to be too focused on vCPE and too VNF-specific in its approach. This problem has been percolating from the first, but the question now is whether it can be resolved at least enough to retain NFV value in broader opportunity areas.

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Intel has proposed to simplify NFV by creating reference implementations of NFV Infrastructure. Is that a path to real simplification, or just another one of those PR-driven NFV stories we've seen so many of?

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We are getting a lot of news about fog or edge computing these days. Is the concept really getting ready to take off, or are we just jumping onto another flood of meaningless hype? It may depend on whether we can recognize just how different the applications of fog/edge computing will have to be from today's transactional model.

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We manage network devices with element, network, and service management layers today. What are the layers of the future management structure, and how do we automate them? Things are about to get a LOT more complicated!

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Modeling is key to automation in the service lifecycle, but it's also tied into past network practices, current trends, and the management scope of all the technical elements. There are some clear trends here that divide automation modeling solutions, and some general comments you can make about the best approach.
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