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IMF Survey Magazine

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Economic activity in Latin America and the Caribbean is expected to stay in low gear in 2014, according to the IMF’s latest forecast for the region. The recovery in the United States and other advanced economies is expected to bolster export growth, but lower world commodity prices and rising global funding costs are likely to weigh on activity across the region. The IMF’s Regional Economic Outlook for the Western Hemisphere, released in Lima, #Peru, projects regional growth of 2½ percent in 2014, down from 2¾ percent in 2013. Weak investment and subdued demand for the region’s exports held back activity in 2013, as did increasingly binding supply bottlenecks in a number of economies. For 2015, the IMF projects a modest pickup, to 3 percent. #latinoamérica   #latinamerica  
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Robust growth in sub-Saharan Africa is set to accelerate in 2014, reflecting improved prospects in most oil exporters, and in several low-income countries and fragile states. The IMF’s latest Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan #Africa projects GDP growth to accelerate to 5½ percent in 2014 from about 5 percent in 2013. The faster growth is expected to be underpinned by large investments in infrastructure and mining, maturing investments in transport and telecommunications, and a rebound in agricultural output. #forecast  
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IMF Survey Magazine

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Growth in sub-Saharan Africa is set to pick up to 5½ percent in 2014 compared to 4.9 percent last year. Antoinette Sayeh, head of the IMF's Africa Department, says in her view this growth momentum will continue over the medium term if countries rise to new challenges and manage their economies as dexterously as they have over the past decade or so. #Africa   #IMF   #Sayeh  
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The French economist Thomas Piketty (Paris School of Economics) discussed his new book, Capital in the Twenty-First Century at the Graduate Center. In this landmark work, #Piketty argues that the main driver of inequality—the tendency of returns on capital to exceed the rate of economic growth—threatens to generate extreme inequalities that stir discontent and undermine democratic values. He calls for political action and policy intervention. Joseph #Stiglitz (Columbia University), Paul #Krugman (Princeton University), and Steven Durlauf (University of Wisconsin--Madison) participated in a panel moderated by LIS Senior Scholar Branko Milanovic. The event was introduced by LIS Director Janet Gornick, professor of political science and sociology at the Graduate Center. #inequality   #wealth   #Economics  
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IMF Survey Magazine

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John B Tayler: "If the IMF conference and other events last week are any guide, this debate is heating up.  At one extreme Adam Posen argued at the IMF conference for Quantitative Easing Forever, but Jeremy Stein, Brian Sack, and Paul Tucker were skeptical.  And at her speech in New York last week Janet Yellen referred to the Taylor rule, and some commentators here and here saw signs of laying the ground for a return to more rules-based policies."
Last week’s IMF conference on Monetary Policy in the New Normal revealed a lot of disagreement on the key issue of where policy should be headed in the future. A dispute that broke out between me a...
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Have them in circles
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Economic activity in Latin America and the Caribbean is expected to stay in low gear in 2014, according to the IMF’s latest forecast for the region. The recovery in the United States and other advanced economies is expected to bolster export growth, but lower world commodity prices and rising global funding costs are likely to weigh on activity across the region. The IMF’s Regional Economic Outlook for the Western Hemisphere, released in Lima, #Peru, projects regional growth of 2½ percent in 2014, down from 2¾ percent in 2013. Weak investment and subdued demand for the region’s exports held back activity in 2013, as did increasingly binding supply bottlenecks in a number of economies. For 2015, the IMF projects a modest pickup, to 3 percent. #latinoamérica   #latinamerica  
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Robust growth in sub-Saharan Africa is set to accelerate in 2014, reflecting improved prospects in most oil exporters, and in several low-income countries and fragile states. The IMF’s latest Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan #Africa projects GDP growth to accelerate to 5½ percent in 2014 from about 5 percent in 2013. The faster growth is expected to be underpinned by large investments in infrastructure and mining, maturing investments in transport and telecommunications, and a rebound in agricultural output. #forecast  
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Growth in sub-Saharan Africa is set to pick up to 5½ percent in 2014 compared to 4.9 percent last year. Antoinette Sayeh, head of the IMF's Africa Department, says in her view this growth momentum will continue over the medium term if countries rise to new challenges and manage their economies as dexterously as they have over the past decade or so. #Africa   #IMF   #Sayeh  
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Tahsin Saadi Sedik and Tao Sun of the IMF, in an examination of the consequences of capital flow liberalization, claim that deregulation of the Chinese capital account would result in higher GDP per capita and lower inflation in that country, but also higher equity returns and lower bank adequacy ratios, which could endanger financial stability.   #China   #capital  
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The causes and consequences of rising #inequality have stirred a lively debate on appropriate policy responses. This column reviews how governments have successfully used fiscal policy to address distributive concerns. It also examines the policy alternatives that countries can pursue in order to reduce income and wealth inequality at a minimum cost to efficiency. Such policies include exploitation of property taxes, reductions in tax deductions that favour upper-income groups, investing in increasing the human capital of low-income groups, and reforming social benefits. #taxation   #income   #wealth   #property  
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what happened to fairness ? If you insist on taxation, tax everyone equally.
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IMF Survey - the news magazine of the International Monetary Fund -- global economic and financial analysis
Introduction
IMF Survey is an online magazine carrying news, views, and analysis from the International Monetary Fund. Intended for a broad audience, the IMF Survey features insight into Fund operations, policy analyses, country developments, globalization, interviews with leading economists, and current issues in international finance. Selected articles from the online Survey are also published on the IMF’s Arabic, Chinese, French, Japanese, Russian, and Spanish websites.