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Suchandra Dutta
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Suchandra Dutta

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MH370  A different point of view. Pulau Langkawi 13,000 runway.

A lot of speculation about MH370. Terrorism, hijack, meteors. I cannot believe the analysis on CNN - almost disturbing. I tend to look for a more simple explanation of this event.
 
Loaded 777 departs midnight from Kuala to Beijing. Hot night. Heavy aircraft.  About an hour out across the gulf towards Vietnam the plane goes dark meaning the transponder goes off and secondary radar tracking goes off. 
 
Two days later we hear of reports that Malaysian military radar (which is a primary radar meaning the plane is being tracked by reflection rather than by transponder interrogation response) has tracked the plane on a southwesterly course back across the Malay Peninsula into the straits of Malacca.
 
When I heard this I immediately brought up Google Earth and I searched for airports in proximity to the track towards southwest.
 
The left turn is the key here. This was a very experienced senior Captain with 18,000 hours. Maybe some of the younger pilots interviewed on CNN didn't pick up on this left turn. We old pilots were always drilled to always know the closest airport of safe harbor while in cruise. Airports behind us, airports abeam us and airports ahead of us. Always in our head. Always. Because if something happens you don't want to be thinking what are you going to do - you already know what you are going to do. Instinctively when I saw that left turn with a direct heading I knew he was heading for an airport. Actually he was taking a direct route to Palau Langkawi a 13,000 foot strip with an approach over water at night with no obstacles. He did not turn back to Kuala  Lampur because he knew he had 8,000 foot ridges to cross. He knew the terrain was friendlier towards Langkawi and also a shorter distance.
 
Take a look on Google Earth at this airport. This pilot did all the right things. He was confronted by some major event onboard that made him make that immediate turn back to the closest safe airport.
For me the loss of transponders and communications makes perfect sense if a fire. There was most likely a fire or electrical fire. In the case of fire the first response if to pull all the main busses and restore circuits one by one until you have isolated the bad one.


If they pulled the busses the plane indeed would go silent. It was probably a serious event and they simply were occupied with controlling the plane and trying to fight the fire. Aviate, Navigate and lastly communicate. There are two types of fires. Electrical might not be as fast and furious and there might or might not be incapacitating smoke. However there is the possibility given the timeline that perhaps there was an overheat on one of the front landing gear tires and it blew on takeoff and started slowly burning. Yes this happens with underinflated tires. Remember heavy plane, hot night, sea level, long run takeoff. There was a well known accident in Nigeria of a DC8 that had a landing gear fire on takeoff. A tire fire once going would produce horrific incapacitating smoke. Yes, pilots have access to oxygen masks but this is a no no with fire. Most have access to a smoke hood with a filter but this will only last for a few minutes depending on the smoke level. (I used to carry one of my own in a flight bag and I still carry one in my briefcase today when I fly).
 
What I think happened is that they were overcome by smoke and the plane just continued on  the heading probably on George (autopilot) until either fuel exhaustion or fire destroyed the control surfaces and it crashed. I said four days ago you will find it along that route - looking elsewhere was pointless.  
 
This pilot, as I say, was a hero struggling with an impossible situation trying to get that plane to Langkawi. No doubt in my mind. That's the reason for the turn and direct route. A hijack would not have made that deliberate left turn with a direct heading for Langkawi. It would probably have weaved around a bit until the hijackers decided on where they were taking it.
 
Surprisingly none of the reporters , officials, other pilots interviewed have looked at this from the pilot's viewpoint. If something went wrong where would he go? Thanks to Google earth I spotted Langkawi in about 30 seconds, zoomed in and saw how long the runway was and I just instinctively knew this pilot knew this airport. He had probably flown there many times. I guess we will eventually find out when you help me spread this theory on the net and some reporters finally take a look on Google earth and put 2 and 2 together. Also a look at the age and number of cycles on those nose tires might give us a good clue too.   
 
Fire in an aircraft demands one thing - you get the machine on the ground as soon as possible. There are two well remembered experiences in my memory. The AirCanada DC9 which landed I believe in Columbus Ohio in the eighties. That pilot delayed descent and bypassed several airports.   He didn't instinctively know the closest airports. He got it on the ground eventually but lost 30 odd souls.   In the 1998 crash of Swissair DC-10 off Nova Scotia was another example of heroic pilots. They were 15 minutes out of Halifax but the fire simply  overcame them and they had to ditch in the ocean. Just ran out of time. That fire incidentally started when the aircraft was about an hour out of Kennedy. Guess what the transponders and communications were shut off as they pulled the busses.
 

Get on Google Earth and type in Pulau Langkawi  and then look at it in relation to the radar track heading. 2+2=4  That for me is the  simple explanation why it turned and headed  in that direction.

Smart pilot. Just didn't have the time.

 


 
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Controversy withstanding quite liked reading the contradictions, the extremities, and the hypocrisies that exist whether about the Manu Shastra or the Kamasutra in The Hindus by Wendy Doniger. Provides perspective on why we are the way we are and why that word culture is always overused and quoted even in today's context. Maybe we are not so different from our ancestors after all. Even our cities filled with contrasting faces such as the highrises and slums that coexist, the Porsche or BMW travelling the same road as a bullock cart, and the fundamentalists with their rigid thoughts and liberals some even outlandish and so many other contradictions makes it a maze which we blunder through and try to make sense of. The old and the new coexisting and struggling to retain what each one's perspective of right and wrong are. It's a confusing world!
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Grt! Tx!
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Suchandra Dutta

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Is Love a Crime?
Been thinking about the recent judgement regarding section 377, an archaic law introduced during the British rule, and wondering why do we have a problem with love? Whether it's the moral policing that keeps occurring across the nation or the family structu...
Been thinking about the recent judgement regarding section 377, an archaic law introduced during the British rule, and wondering why do we have a problem with love? Whether it's the moral policing that keeps occurring across ...
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A Few Good Men
As the Tarun Tejpal controversy creates such outrage and spirals out of control in social media, I begin to wonder. It's shameful and though it terrifies us, depresses us, makes us question our beliefs and morals, aren't we in some way responsible for allow...
As the Tarun Tejpal controversy creates such outrage and spirals out of control in social media, I begin to wonder. It's shameful and though it terrifies us, depresses us, makes us question our beliefs and morals, aren't we i...
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Yeah as much as I try can't ignore the news or the events around the world mainly depressing. The mindset seems to be getting even more regressive and the world more cruel though we supposedly live in modern times so difficult to fathom why
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All of a sudden reminded of my college days when I see someone tweet about selling tickets for Sachin's 200th test. Reminded me of those days sans internet when we could never seem to get movie tickets despite queuing up early so we would approach these shady people to buy tickets on black. Now it's all gone hitech....transactions happen online, touts are on social networking sites. :)
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We used to pay 15 bucks for a balcony ticket coz those days only 2 movie halls in Pune would host english movies. No takers so tkt price was lesser than for hindi movies. Also real seedy halls unlike the plush multiplexes of today. :)
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Suchandra Dutta

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Belated happy birthday! In my mind guess I will always feel like a teenager. :)
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That's exactly how I still feel... I live in the past! With the 2 really stupid moments I am starting to relook at life... it's still at the "starting to" point - note! :D
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Watching "In Good Company" and it's scary how close reel life is to real life. Feel like it's sections of my life the past 6 months being played out.
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I haven't seen the movie, but there are movies that are very scarily, as you aptly put, close to real life!
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Watching "The Whistleblower" based on Kathryn Bolkovac's experiences with the UN and wondering if there's a part 2 planned on Edward Snowden ' s exposes. 
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Such a cloudy gloomy morning, baking's been a flop too but there's always the music. :-) Begun the day listening to the delightful Mumford and Sons "I will wait" on Vh1.
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Hey I don't know what the cake tasted like, but it looks yummy! Reminds me of Calcutta, Christmas, both of my late Grandmothers... a lot of happy memories :)
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Exasperated with Joy's forgetfulness. Placed a mug of hot water and a tea bag like I do every morning. Went to collect the mug and find that absent minded hubby drank the hot water and completely forgot about the teabag. Oh well at least I have Death by Caffeine Almond Cake with loads of coffee cream syrup to deal with an amnesiac mind today. :-)
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Finally logged in... It's 11:11 here I would like a piece of cake now 
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Have her in circles
123 people
Santosh Nair's profile photo
Vaskar upadhyay's profile photo
Chandreyee Ghosedutta's profile photo
Shormila Singh's profile photo
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