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WX5FWD SKYWARN Radio Team
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The WX5FWD SKYWARN™ team are volunteer radio operator liaisons for the Fort Worth National Weather Service (NWS) North Texas SKYWARN™ Spotters.
The WX5FWD SKYWARN™ team are volunteer radio operator liaisons for the Fort Worth National Weather Service (NWS) North Texas SKYWARN™ Spotters.

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NWS UPDATE: Memorial Day Weekend Heat and Thunderstorm Chances
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Saturday, 27 May 2017 11:37 CDT

Bottom Line
High heat index values are expected over much of the region today with dangerous values around 105 degrees in part of the region. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon through Sunday evening, and potentially on Monday, too.

Overview
Temperatures this afternoon will range from the upper 80s in the east to around 100 degrees in the west. However, with high humidity in place, the heat index values will be over 100 degrees, topping out near 108 in a few locations. A Heat Advisory is in effect for locations generally along and just west of the I-35 corridor.

This afternoon, the potential for explosive severe storms with a threat for very large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes exists mainly west of Interstate 35/35W. Despite the lack of better low level winds, the unusually high instability in place may still support the development of a strong tornado. The cap is strong today and a lack of large scale lift may prevent storm development this afternoon, but if convergence along the dry line is enough to force air parcels through the cap, we could see storms develop after 5 pm. The most likely location for storm development would be north of the Red River in South Central Oklahoma, but the favored area may also extend south towards I-20 (and west of I-35/35W). South of this area, the chance for development diminishes, but is not completely zero.

Overnight, a complex of storms is expected to develop along a southward moving cold front, and this complex may impact parts of North Texas, in particular along and north of I-20 and east of I-35/35W. This complex is expected to be weakening as it moves into the region, but a few strong or severe storms will still be possible overnight with strong winds and hail the main threats.

As the cold front continues moving south during the day on Sunday, additional storms are expected to develop along it, in particular in the afternoon hours across Central Texas. These storms could also be strong or severe with a threat for large hail and damaging winds. Isolated areas of nuisance flooding will also be possible.

On Monday, Memorial Day, the front will have pushed south of the region but some showers and storms may occur behind the front across our Central Texas counties. A few strong or severe storms may occur during this time as well, but the chances for strong/severe storms are much lower as compared to today and Sunday. Isolated areas of nuisance flooding will also be possible.

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

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NWS UPDATE: Memorial Day Weekend Thunderstorm Potential
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Friday, 26 May 2017 13:26 CDT

Bottom Line
Unseasonably hot and humid conditions will continue the rest of this afternoon and Saturday. Severe thunderstorms are possible across much of the area Saturday afternoon and evening, and again overnight Saturday night and early Sunday.

Overview
Today and Saturday, things will feel a bit more like early summer, as heat index values will top out in the upper 90s or near 100. This much heat and humidity in late May will set the stage for the potential for strong or severe thunderstorms late in the day on Saturday and early Sunday. Thunderstorms are by no means guaranteed. However, the ingredients will be in place that if thunderstorms develop, they will likely be severe.

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

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NWS UPDATE: Memorial Day Weekend Storms
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Friday, 26 May 2017 7:23 CDT

Bottom Line
The Memorial Day Weekend starts of hot and humid with the heat cranking up today and Saturday ahead of a cold front coming Sunday. Promote your heat rules of thumb across your area for outdoor events. Thunderstorms, some severe will be possible late Saturday and continue through the holiday weekend.

Overview
An upper ridge, late May sunshine, and south winds will result in high temperatures in the 90s, with even a few readings near and behind the dryline out west exceeding the century mark. Add in the humidity and some areas will see heat index values between 100 and 105 degrees. Thunderstorms will return to the forecast the latter half of the holiday weekend. Not everyone will see thunderstorms, as the cap aloft will play a BIG ROLE in development.

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

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NWS UPDATE: Memorial Day Weekend
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Thursday, 25 May 2017 10:03 CDT

Bottom Line
Memorial Day weekend will almost have it all. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 90s on Friday, and strong to severe thunderstorms will affect portions of North and Central Texas Saturday afternoon and evening. Public safety officials should review heat and thunderstorm plans for outdoor events.

Overview
There will be two things that should capture your attention this weekend. The first is the heat. You'll notice later today the winds will increase and temperatures will jump to near 90 degrees. On Friday, most of the area will be in the 90s, and a few areas out west will approach 100 degrees! Afternoon heat index values will be approaching the triple digit mark. By Saturday, thunderstorms return to the forecast, as does the potential for severe thunderstorms. Not everyone will see rain or thunderstorms, and fewer will see severe thunderstorms.

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

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NWS UPDATE: Active Weekend Weather
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Friday, 19 May 2017 11:26 CDT

Bottom Line
An active 36 hours is in store for North and Central Texas. Thunderstorms are possible today, with severe weather most likely between 4 PM and Midnight. Rain and embedded thunderstorms will continue overnight and Saturday in North Texas and will continue Saturday night and Sunday in Central Texas. Most outdoor events will have the potential for delays due to thunderstorms and/or severe thunderstorms.


Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

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NWS UPDATE: Part 1 for today
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Friday, 18 May 2017 11:24 CDT

Good morning everyone,

A complicated weather pattern continues to take place, Thunderstorms are ongoing for some right now, more thunderstorms are expected later today, and more rain possible Saturday.

This morning update is short, and another update will be sent early this afternoon.

In a nutshell:

Thunderstorms are likely today and again later this afternoon.
Greatest threat for widespread thunderstorms will be late this afternoon and evening.
Most of the area is expected to see an average of 1-3" of rain (or additional rain) through early Sunday.
Rain will start and end from north to south, meaning widespread rain mainly in the north tonight and Saturday, and in the south on Saturday and early Sunday.

Not enough information? What about timing? What about the severe potential? I know, this is not nearly enough information yet. We will be working up some additional graphics and information to get to you by early this afternoon.

Complete update on http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

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NWS UPDATE: Severe Storms Today and Continued Storm Chances through the Weekend
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Thursday, 18 May 2017 11:24 CDT

Latest Changes and Concerns

We're becoming more concerned with an increasing very large hail and damaging wind event across parts of North Texas through late evening.

Bottom Line

Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon west of I-35 and move east across North Texas through this evening. Coverage of storms is still expected to be scattered (~50%), but severe weather including very large hail (up to baseball size) and damaging winds (>70 mph) will be possible with any severe storms. Isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out, but the environment is not expected to be overly favorable for tornadoes. This can change with little notice, so continue to monitor the weather closely through the evening. Thunderstorm chances will continue on Friday afternoon and again through the weekend. The severe potential for Friday will be assessed further later today and will be discussed in tomorrow's email.

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

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NWS UPDATE: Severe Storm Potential Thursday and Storm Chances through the Weekend
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Wednesday, 17 May 2017 12:07 CDT

Bottom Line
Thunderstorm chances will continue Thursday through Sunday across North Texas. The severe weather threat will be highest on Thursday afternoon and evening and again on Friday afternoon and evening. The threat for heavy rainfall will increase over the weekend as a cold front moves into the region and slows down.

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

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NWS UPDATE: Severe thunderstorms possible late tonight; more active weather toward week's end
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Tuesday, 16 May 2017 11:46 CDT

Bottom Line
Good day everyone. As we mentioned yesterday, North and Central Texas will be affected by a more active and wetter large scale weather pattern starting tonight and continuing into early next week.

Our first round of strong (and possibly severe) thunderstorms will be affecting us late tonight and through the pre-dawn hours Wednesday. The main threat will be wind and hail in our far western counties, decreasing from west to east through the night. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late Thursday, and again late Friday and Saturday. In addition to the threat of large hail, wind and tornadoes, a risk of flash flooding may emerge across the area by Friday night and Saturday. Jurisdictions need to be ready for successive weather impacts for at least the next 7 days or so.

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter

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NWS UPDATE: Tuesday Night Thunderstorm Potential - And Active Week Ahead
From: National Weather Service, Fort Worth
Date: Monday, 15 May 2017 14:51 CDT

Bottom Line
Good afternoon everyone. After a dry and warm spell, much of North and Central Texas will be re-entering an unstable and wetter pattern as we move through the middle and latter part of the week. This unstable pattern will actually extend into the weekend and early part of next week.

Our first round of strong (and possibly severe) thunderstorms will be affecting us late Tuesday and early Wednesday morning. Additional severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday and Friday. While there is still uncertainty in the weather scenario for the weekend, there does appear to a be at least a low end risk of excessive rainfall and localized flooding for parts of Northern Texas. Jurisdictions need to be ready for weather impacts for at least the next 7-10 days.

Continue reading at http://wx5fwd.org/NWSUpdate

#nwsupdate #ntxwx #dfwwx #fwdspotter
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