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LCrude: Rises making new highs in 2015
 
Oil prices rallied more than 25.5% in April, yet According to Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), the decline in oil prices over the past year has been intensified by speculation that played an important role in the 60% drop in oil price seen last year. On Monday the OPEC released its monthly bulletin showing that the rise in supply from outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries at a time when demand for oil was weak was the main reason for the drop in oil.
 
The OPEC had left its production target unchanged at a November meeting. The next meeting is scheduled on June 5 in Vienna to discuss the market and output targets. Prices have recovered somewhat over recent weeks on the back of a decline in US rig counts and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have taken supply out of the market.
 
In the meantime, markets remain cautious on the EIA’s report on crude inventories due today, following last week’s number of 1.91 million barrels. Today we have the release of U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) latest survey. The report is expected to show a drop in crude oil stocks with estimates at 1.20 million barrels.
 
On yesterday session, crude oil rose breaking above previous inside day high and closed near the high of the day. The commodity continues in a recovery phase and is pushing upward after a two day consolidation. The stochastic is showing an overbought market but even with the commodity well into overbought territory, we should not fight the strong upward correction yet.
 
LCrude is a CFD written over Light Crude futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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sherif fares's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoBeway Opa's profile photo
 
Next Stop 63.33.
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GBPCHF: Broke a daily support
 
Opinion polls suggesting that Thursday’s (07 May) UK General Election might not deliver a clear victor although the electoral uncertainty, the consumer confidence held steady at its highest level in more than a decade in April, as low inflation helped to improve household budgets. Inflation has been at zero since February, and many economists expect the figure to turn negative in the first half of this year, driven by the fall in oil prices and commodities.
 
On January 15 the Swiss National Bank (SNB) abruptly abandoned a CHF1.20 per euro peg, sending the currency sky-high and raising concerns for Swiss-based businesses, many of whom depend on exports. The bank’s decision has seriously affected the retail, hotel, restaurant and tourism sectors.
 
Since the beginning of this year GBPCHF has fallen more than 8.5% and is in a phase change from recovery to a bearish phase since last Friday. The pair fell during Friday’s session and closed near the low of the day. However, price is showing some strength to the downside after breaking below the daily support. The stochastic is showing bearish momentum but is below the 50 mid line.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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sherif fares's profile photoVeselka Nikolova's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photo
3 comments
 
One solution revolution
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EURUSD: Continues upside momentum after US GDP
 
On Wednesday session, the US printed its worst-than-expected preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) falling -0.1% and missing expectations of 0.4%, marking the weakest reading in a year and showing that US economic growth braked more sharply than expected in the first quarter. Although growth and employment has slowed Fed officials expected economic activity to return to a modest pace of growth and job market could continue to improve.
 
On the euro zone the economic sentiment indicator fell by 0.2 points to 103.7, worse than the 103.9 expected by economists, although there were no signs that a recovery that began in December is falling away. Still, the euro zone's recovery remains fragile and there is uncertainty surrounding Greece.
 
Since the start of April the EURUSD rose more than 3.0% and is in a recovery phase since late April, trading well above the 10-day moving average. Yesterday the pair rose with above average volume and close in the middle of the daily range. Stochastic is showing an overbought market but even with the pair well into overbought territory, we should not fight the strong upward correction just yet.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Georgi Piskov's profile photosherif fares's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photo
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nice breakout.
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UK100: Makes a new record high

Most major bourses across Europe closed in the green on yesterday session, as reports that Greek Prime Minister, had decided to change the team of Greek representatives that are currently in talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the European Union (EU).
 
With just 10 days to go before polls open in the UK, the rival parties have been disclosing their plans to keep the UK economy floating. But the markets seem unconcerned despite the election indecision.
 
Today on the economic data we have from the UK the preliminary Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the 1st quarter that is expected to fall from 3.0% to 2.6%. On the other side of the Atlantic we will have from the US the Consumer Confidence Index in April that is estimated to rise from 101.3 to 102.5 showing that economy is still expanding.
 
The UK100 rose in April 4.90% and is in bullish phase but trading above the 10-day moving average. On yesterday session the UK100 opened with gap up, then made new record highs at 7,084.5 but found enough selling pressure to turn around and close in the red near the open of the day. The stochastic is showing an overbought market setting lower highs and price is making higher highs, signs that the upside may begin to get exhausted.
 
UK100 is a CFD written over FTSE100 futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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sherif fares's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photo
2 comments
 
probable bullish continuation.
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USDBRL: Breaching below the 61.8 Fibonacci level
 
The USDBRL fell more than 6.5 % since the start of the month with the US dollar showing more weakness than the Brazil Real, although high inflation rate is hurting the poor and businesses at a time when Brazil is trying to regain the confidence of investors after revelations of corruption at Petrobras, and to avoid losing its desired investment grade credit rating.
 
The Brazilian Central Bank is vigilant about inflation that accelerated to above 8% in March, its fastest pace in more than 11 years and is ready to raise interest rates to slow inflation. The bank has raised its benchmark rate by 175bp since October to 12.75%.
 
Today on the economic agenda we will have the US Durable Goods Orders in March, where is expected to rise from -1.4% to 0.6%, durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the economic situation and showing the state of US production activity.
 
Yesterday the USDBRL fell breaching below the 61.8 Fibonacci level and close near the low of the day. The pair changed phase on last Friday switching from a bullish to a warning phase. The stochastic is showing an oversold market but still indicating bearish momentum.
 
Forex and CFDs carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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That moving average cross over may indicate a further drop.
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LCrude: Consolidating gains above a daily support
 
Oil prices rallied more than 18.0% since the beginning of April, as separate reports from the Organization of Exporting Countries (OPEP) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) last week estimated global oil demand should increase as the worldwide economy shows improvements.
 
Although the Chinese economy grew 7% in the first quarter of 2015 the growth in 2014 slowed to its weakest in 24 years, expanding 7.4% down from 7.7% in 2013 missing its year target of 7.5%. The economy was pulled down by property recession, factory overcapacity and local debt. For 2015 is expected a growth slow down to 7% even with expected additional stimulus measures.
 
In the meantime, markets remain cautious on the EIA’s report on crude inventories due today, following last week’s number of 1.249 million barrels. Today we have the release of U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) latest survey. The report is expected to show a rise in crude oil stocks with estimates at 2.375 million barrels.
 
Crude oil fell on yesterday session and closed near the low of the day. The commodity is still in a recovery phase, consolidating above a daily resistance, now acting as a daily support. The stochastic is showing an overbought market but even with the commodity well into overbought territory, we should not fight the strong upward correction yet.
 
LCrude is a CFD written over Light Crude futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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FX .Strategist's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photosherif fares's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photo
2 comments
 
But the uptrend is still in place.
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AUDUSD: RBA expected to lower rates to 2.0%
 
The Australian dollar has been sensitive to Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut speculation for some weeks now as the Australian economy slows and the housing market begins to heat up. However, the economists are forecasting a 25 basis point cut to 2% in the cash rate at today’s policy meeting and it’s likely the Australian dollar exchange rate will experience some substantial movement against other majors.
 
A top Fed policymaker said yesterday that with inflation too low, running below the Fed's 2% target, and the unemployment rate at 5.5% still higher than normal for the US economy, the Federal Reserve should hold off on raising short-term interest rates until early 2016.
 
Since the start of May the AUDUSD fell more than 0.7% and is in a recovery phase since mid-April, trading below the 10-day moving average. Yesterday the pair initially fell but found enough buying pressure at Friday’s low to turn around and close near the high of the day. Stochastic is showing bearish momentum and is below the 50 mid line.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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sherif fares's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photo
 
Very undecided at the moment.
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Usa500: The top seems to have confirmed for now

Most US stocks fell on yesterday session after mixed readings about the US economy, and made its second day straight loss for major stock benchmarks, following last week's renewed push to record highs.
 
While weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level in 15 years, although Commerce Department report showed the US economy grew just 0.2% during the first three months of the year, well below expectations.
 
Today on the economic calendar we have from the US ISM Manufacturing PMI in April that is expected to rise from 51.5 to 52.0 showing improvement in business conditions. In Europe most of major Bourses will be closed due to the Labor Day so we may expect low trading volumes.
 
The Usa500 rose in April 1.21% and is in bullish phase but trading below the 10-day moving average. On yesterday session the Usa500 fell on high volume and close in the middle of the daily range, shy above the 50-day moving average. The stochastic is showing bullish momentum but still above the 50 mid line.
 
Usa500 is a CFD written over S&P500 futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Lets see how will develop the trend.
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LCrude: Still consolidating gains
 
Oil prices rallied more than 19.9% since the beginning of April, though a senior Saudi official signaled that the world's top crude exporter has no intention of cutting production, despite a global supply surplus. Saudi Arabia, the top producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEP), pumped 10.1 million barrels a day in March.
 
China is the world's second-largest consumer of oil and during the 1Q of this year, China's oil demand rose to 4% year over year to an average 10.48 million barrels a day, the highest growth rate over the same three-month period since 2012. This came regardless of China's GDP growth tumbling to 7% for the quarter, the slowest quarterly rise in six years.
 
In the meantime, markets remain cautious on the EIA’s report on crude inventories due today, following last week’s number of 5.315 million barrels. Today we have the release of U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) latest survey. The report is expected to show a drop in crude oil stocks with estimates at 1.333 million barrels.
 
On yesterday session, crude oil initially fell but found enough support at 56.11 to turn around and closed near the open of the day. The commodity is still in a recovery phase, consolidating in a bullish flag pattern. The stochastic is showing an overbought market but even with the commodity well into overbought territory, we should not fight the strong upward correction yet.
 
LCrude is a CFD written over Light Crude futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Abdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoPaulo Cleto Silva's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photoGeorgi Piskov's profile photo
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Very good formation.
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GBPCAD: Bounced from a daily support

Despite the slowdown in the UK, 2014 growth was the strongest growth since before the financial crisis with an annual expansion of 2.6%. Economists expect a growth of 0.5% this first quarter. The UK’s main slowdown occurred in the construction sector but service sector gained 0.8% in the last quarter.

The Canadian economy gain 0.3% in December, but in the beginning of this year contracted 0.1% missing economist’s expectations of 0.2% expansion in January. However, economists believe low oil prices will have a negative effect on inflation which may force the central bank to cut the interest rate by another 25 basis points in the near future. Later this week, we will have the Canadian Gross Domestic Product.

Since the beginning of this year GBPCAD has risen more than 2.0% and is in a phase change from distribution to a warning phase since last Friday. The pair rose during Friday’s session and closed near the high of the day. However, price is showing some strength after breaking above the daily support and the downward trend line. The stochastic is showing bullish momentum but is below the 50 mid line.

Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.

Hugo O’Neill
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Georgi Piskov's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photoBeway Opa's profile photoPaulo Cleto Silva's profile photo
2 comments
 
desperate last twitches , as the economy has staggered to  worst. since the crash. it will happern, again. we are still in reccession. the national, debt has trebbled  in five years.britain must leave the failed europian dream. because thats all it is.?
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TESCO: The preliminary result 2014/15 misses expectations
 
The TESCO Plc is quoted on the London Stock Exchange and is one of the largest retail companies in the FTSE 100 index of leading UK companies.

TESCO Plc has a team of over 500,000 people in 12 markets dedicated to providing the most compelling offer to their customers. With retail operations in the UK, Asia and Europe, motivated to bring the best value, choice and service to millions of customers.

Yesterday, the 22nd of April the company released its preliminary results 2014/15, showing that on a 52 week basis, Group sales, including fuel, declined by 1.3% at constant rates and by 3.0% at actual rates. Overall, trading results in Europe were behind expectations. Suffering from negative currency impacts, this has been particularly marked in Europe as the Euro fell to seven-year lows against Sterling by year-end.

Since the beginning of the year TESCO Plc rose 18.43% and is in a warning phase since mid of April and is getting ready to another phase change. Yesterday, the stock fell breaking below the daily support and closed in the red near the low of the day. Was an extreme volume day with wide range. The RSI is showing bearish momentum and is below the 50 mid line, suggesting that even the 200-day moving average may not hold the price.
 
TSCO.UK is a CFD written over TESCO Plc Stock.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Thanks for such an informative analysis.
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Ger30: Pauses after strong correction

Europe shares closed higher on yesterday session, although the economic data for Germany industry have disappointed for the second month in a row. Despite signs, in Germany, of a slowdown in industrial performance, the Bundesbank expects a low unemployment and higher wages to help boost economic growth in the near future.

Today on the economic calendar we have from Germany the ZEW Survey – Current Situation in April that is expected to rise from 55.1 to 56.0 and the ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment in April is also estimated to rise from 54.8 to 55.5 reflecting an optimistic investor sentiment.

Since the beginning of the year the European locomotive has rose more than 21.0% and is in a bullish phase. The Ger30 rose during yesterday session after a five day correction and close near the high of the day but within the previous day range creating an inside day.

The Index is trading below the 10-day moving average but above the 50-day moving average however a break below the 50-day moving average could signal a phase change. The Stochastic is displaying a strong bearish momentum that may suggest a break below the daily support.

Ger30 is a CFD written over DAX30 futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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3 comments
 
possible continuation to the downside.
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ActivTrades is a London based broker regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), and it is also affiliated to the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS). 

ActivTrades real strengths are competitive prices, the ability to stay abreast of the latest industry technologies, tools and platforms, reliability and outstanding customer service. A highly skilled Support Desk operates 24 hours a day, 5 days a week, providing a timely response to inquiries in English, Italian, German, French, Spanish, Portuguese, Bulgarian, Chinese,  Arabic, Hungarian, Bulgarian and Dutch.

Our spreads starts from 0.8 pips and our clients can trade 50 currency pairs, alongside with indices, financials, commodities and shares. All available through the powerful and globally respected MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader5 trading platforms, which are also available on the most widely used mobile devices.

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