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ALTR.PO: Broke the upward trend line and is testing a daily support

ALTR.PO is a Portuguese company and a reference in European eucalyptus pulp producers. In addition to pulp production, the Group is also present in the renewable power production business from forest base sources namely the industrial cogeneration through black liquor and biomass.
 
At the end of May the company released its 1st quarter results, with a total revenues amounted to 154.1 million Euros, an increase of about 5% compared to the previous quarter and an increase of 20% over the first quarter of 2014.
 
The first quarter of 2015 was marked, on one side, by a sharp appreciation of the US dollar (USD) against the Euro (EUR), having the market price in EUR of bleached eucalyptus pulp (BEKP) raised about 13% during the first quarter of 2015 (comparing with the previous quarter) and, on other side, by a sales price increase in USD (about 2% comparing with the fourth quarter of 2014), reflecting the strong demand registered during the first quarter of 2015.
 
Since the beginning of the year Altri rose 48.09% and is in a phase change from bullish to a warning phase. Yesterday, the stock initially rose but found enough selling pressure at 3,876 to turn things back around and closed in the red near the low of the day, on above average volume, trading within a daily support zone. The RSI is showing bearish momentum and is below the 50 mid line.
 
ALTR.PO is a CFD written over ALTRI, SGPS S.A Stock.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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HTO Trading's profile photoRozen Trading's profile photoGeorgi Piskov's profile photoPaulo Cleto Silva's profile photo
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A strong signal that a change of trend could be expected.
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Usa500: Making a 2nd inside day in a row

Most US stocks rose on yesterday session after mixed readings about the US economy, however were not enough to make up for Tuesday's declines.
 
The US Department of Labor reported yesterday, that the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending May 23 rose by 7K to 282K from the previous week’s total of 275K. Although analysts had expected initial jobless claims to fall by 5K to 270K last week.
 
Today on the economic calendar we have from the US preliminary Gross domestic Product Annualized for the 1st quarter that is expected to fall from 0.2% to -0.8%, showing that the US economy is not growing and that the rate hikes will be postponed.
 
The Usa500 rose in May 1.80% and is in bullish phase but trading below the 10-day moving average. On yesterday session the Usa500 initially fell but found enough support at 2110.5 to turn around and close in the green slightly above the open of the day. The Index made a second inside day in a row, signaling a high compression in the market and the stochastic is displaying bearish momentum but is still above the 50 mid line.
 
Usa500 is a CFD written over S&P500 futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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FX .Strategist's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photosherif fares's profile photo
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too undecided.
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LCrude: Falls on the back of stronger US dollar
 
Oil prices fell more than 2.0% so far in May, following an anticipated increase of US oil output and stronger dollar.
 
Dollar-denominated commodities, like oil tend to fall when the dollar rises, as this makes oil more expensive for buyers in other currencies and yesterday the US dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.95% at 97.38, the strongest level since April 27.
 
Investors are now looking for the OPEC meeting on June 5 in Vienna and any indications of a supply response from Saudi Arabia and other key oil producers.
 
In the meantime, markets remain cautious on the EIA’s report on crude inventories due Thursday, following last week’s number of -2.674 million barrels. Today we have the release of US Energy Information Administration (EIA) latest survey. The report is expected to show a rise in crude oil stocks with estimates at -2.025 million barrels.
 
On yesterday session, crude oil fell and closed near the low of the day, below the 10-day moving average. The commodity continues in a recovery phase and yesterday made an impulsive downward candle with wide range day but the price did hold yet again at a Fibonacci retracement (23.6). The stochastic is showing bearish momentum and is below the 50 mid line.
 
LCrude is a CFD written over Light Crude futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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nice formation.
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EURUSD: Making a new lower low
 
On past Monday the European Central Bank (ECB) said that intends to accelerate its purchased of EU assets in May and June ahead of the summer, due to seasonal factors and that short term rates below zero does not pose a problem from the Central Bank.
 
Negotiators from Greece and its creditors are continuing technical talks as Greece's Prime Minister said that the Greek society can’t absorb more austerity, and the country’s creditors must compromise to break the impasse over the release of funds for its weak economy.
 
Dollar rallied on Friday, on the back of stronger-than-expected inflation readings in the US.  Although the FOMC released the Minutes of its latest meeting, stating that most of the voting members see a rate hike in June as “unlikely”.
 
Since the start of May the EURUSD fell more than 0.83% and is still in a recovery phase since late April, but trading below the 10-day moving average. Yesterday the currency initially rallied but found selling pressure near 1.1186 giving all its initial gains and closed near the low of the day. The stochastic is showing an oversold market but even with the currency well into oversold territory, we should not fight the strong downward trend just yet.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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good pullback.
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GBPUSD: Inside day at a daily support
 
Figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Tuesday showed that the UK recorded annual deflation of 0.1% on the consumer prices index (CPI) measure in April. The ONS said that, based on comparable historic estimates, the last time the UK saw consumer price deflation was in the year to March 1960, when prices fell by an estimated 0.6 %.
 
The minutes from the last Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy meeting have revealed there remains little to no disagreement within the committee, with all members joint in holding rates steady at 0.5%. The latest decision suggests the increasingly strong consensus that a first rate rise in the United Kingdom since the financial crises is going to be a 2016.
 
According to the FOMC minutes “when the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2%. The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.”
 
Since the start of May the GBPUSD rose more than 1.2% and is in an accumulation phase since mid-May but is trading below the 10-day moving average. Yesterday the currency initially fell but found enough buying pressure at 1.5487 to turn around and close near the middle of the daily range, creating an inside day. Stochastic is showing bearish momentum but is above the 50 mid line.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Well spotted! Thanks for sharing it.
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Glencore: At an inflection point
 
The Glencore Plc ordinary shares are listed on the London Stock Exchange’s main market with a secondary listing on the Main Board of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong and on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange.

Glencore is one of the world’s largest global diversified natural resource companies and a major producer and marketer of more than 90 commodities. Their operations comprise over 150 mining and metallurgical sites, oil production assets and agricultural facilities.

Their main customers are industrial consumers, such as those in the automotive, steel, power generation, oil and food processing. They also provide financing, logistics and other services to producers and consumers of commodities. The company employs around 181,000 people, including contractors.

On the 18th of March the company released its annual report, showing a 2014 Adjusted EBITDA of $12.8 billion, broadly consistent with 2013, while Adjusted EBIT was $6.7 billion, down 10% compared to 2013. This reflects generally lower commodity prices on the industrial assets, offset by the benefits of a net production increase, currency related cost benefits and an 18% increase in marketing Adjusted EBIT to $2.8 billion.

Since the beginning of the year Glencore Plc fell 1.16% and is in a recovery phase since mid-February and is getting ready to another phase change. Yesterday, the stock rose and closed in the green near the high of the day. The stock made a narrow range and an inside day on average volume. The RSI is showing bullish momentum although is below the 50 mid line, suggesting that the 50-day moving average may not hold the price this time.
 
GLEN.UK is a CFD written over Glencore Plc Stock.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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It could go back up at any time.
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CHFJPY: Breaking above a daily resistance

Data released on Friday showed that real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Switzerland fell 0.2% in the 1st quarter of this year relative to the previous quarter. The weakness was concentrated in exports, which plunged at an annualized rate of 14.2% due to sluggish economic growth in some of Switzerland’s major trading partners and the strong appreciation of the Swiss Franc.

Despite wage rises at Japanese big firms and a tighter labor market, convincing people to spend money like water on consumer goods has been a struggle after Japan raised sales taxes last year to help pay down an increasing national debt. The rise of sales taxes hit consumer spending and pushed the economy into a brief recession. The surprise came on Friday, as the household spending fell 1.3 percent from a year ago, the 13th consecutive month fall.

Since the beginning of this year CHFJPY has risen more than 9.60% and is in a well-established bullish phase. The currency rose during Friday’s session breaking above the daily resistance and closed near the high of the day, well above the 10-day moving average. The stochastic is showing an overbought market but even with the currency well into overbought territory, we should not fight the strong upward trend.

Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Hugo O’Neill
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Veselka Nikolova's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photoAbdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photosherif fares's profile photo
 
Well spotted! Thanks for sharing it.
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Ger30: Inside day in a resistance zone

Since the start of the week, Greece and its Europeans creditors sought to minimize fears that Athens would default on a June 5 debt payment to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) but yesterday the European shares closed higher, after hints that Greece may have edged closer to finalizing a deal with its creditors.

Greek Prime Minister said he was “close to an agreement” in a statement and that the deal would be positive for the Greek economy, adding there was “absolutely no danger” to pensions, salaries, banks or deposits in the potential deal.

Since the beginning of the year the European locomotive has rose more than 20.0% and is in a warning phase since Monday. The Ger30 rose during yesterday session after a sharp sell off on Tuesday and close near the high of the day but within the previous day range creating an inside day.

The Index is trading above the 10-day moving average but below the 50-day moving average however a break below the 10-day moving average could signal a sharper correction. The Stochastic is displaying a strong bearish momentum but is still above the 50 mid line.

Ger30 is a CFD written over DAX30 futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Thanks for such an informative analysis.
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USDBRL: Bulls are taking the lead
 
The USDBRL rose more than 3.0 % since the start of the month with the US dollar showing more weakness than the Brazil Real, although rising inflation has forced Brazilian policymakers to raise lending rates, leading to lower business confidence.
 
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) urged Brazil to get its budget in order to emerge from five years of low growth as South America´s largest economy and Brazilian Government unveiled a package of budget cuts in an effort to kickstart a recovery but has led to a drastic increase in prices leading to a major hit in the consumer purchasing power.
 
Today on the economic agenda we will have the US Durable Goods Orders in April, where is expected to fall from 4.0% to -0.4%, durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the economic situation and showing the state of US production activity.
 
Yesterday the USDBRL rose entering in a resistance zone and close in the middle of the daily range. The pair changed phase on last Friday switching from a warning to a bullish phase. The stochastic is showing a strong upward momentum and is above the 50 mid line.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Monique Boshoff Bullandbearishm's profile photosherif fares's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photoBeway Opa's profile photo
 
good resistance.
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BP: In a potential phase change
 
The primary market for BP’s ordinary shares is the London Stock Exchange (LSE). BP’s ordinary shares are a constituent element of the Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index (FTSE100). BP’s ordinary shares are also traded on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.

BP is one of the world’s leading integrated oil and gas companies. They aim to create long-term value for shareholders by helping to meet growing demand for energy in a safe and responsible way. The company makes every effort to be a world-class operator, a responsible corporate citizen and a good employer. They have well-established operations in Europe, North and South America, Australasia, Asia and Africa, employing around 85,000 people.

On the 14th of May the company released its first-quarter results, showing that BP’s underlying replacement cost (RC) profit was $2.6 billion, down 20% on the same period a year ago, and 15% higher than the fourth quarter of 2014. Compared to a year ago, the result reflects significantly lower upstream realizations, partly offset by increased upstream production, an improved downstream environment and performance, lower cash and non-cash costs across the Group and a one-off tax benefit arising from the recently announced changes to UK supplementary taxation.

Since the beginning of the year BP Plc rose 11.37% and is in a phase change from warning to a bullish phase. Yesterday, the stock rallied breaking above the 10 and 50-day moving averages and closed in the green near the high of the day. It was a below average volume day with wide range. The RSI is showing bullish momentum but is below the 50 mid line.
 
BP.UK is a CFD written over BP Plc Stock.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital and any forecasts given are not a reliable indicator of future performance.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Downtrend is still in place.
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LCrude: Falling ahead of crude inventories
 
Oil prices fell more than 2.5% so far in May, as slow economic growth and high supplies meant that markets remain oversupplied, although US prices received some support from rising demand ahead of the summer driving season.
 
The trouble is there are no signs that growth is benefiting from lower oil prices, which is still down by around 42% since its peak in June 2014. At this stage, demand should have started to strengthen. Instead, the first quarter probably represented a new low in the region's growth since the global financial crisis, suggesting that structural factors are weighing on Asia's growth.
 
In the meantime, markets remain cautious on the EIA’s report on crude inventories due today, following last week’s number of -2.191 million barrels. Today we have the release of U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) latest survey. The report is expected to show a rise in crude oil stocks with estimates at -2.075 million barrels.
 
On yesterday session, crude oil fell breaking below the 10-day moving average and closed near the low of the day. The commodity continues in a recovery phase and yesterday made an impulsive downward candle with wide range day. The stochastic is showing bearish momentum and is crossing below the 50 mid line.
 
LCrude is a CFD written over Light Crude futures.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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Abdulaziz Abdulaziz's profile photoVictoria Jensen's profile photosherif fares's profile photoFX .Strategist's profile photo
 
Congratulations for your accurate predictions.
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EURAUD: Triggering a potential bullish flag pattern
 
In March, the European Central Bank (ECB) started buying 60 billion euros worth of euro zone government bonds injecting more cash into the economy and trying to reverse a trend of falling prices. So far the ECB seems pleased with the effects of its bond buying programme (QE) on the economy and inflation and has no intention of ending it ahead of time.
 
Earlier this month, the market witnessed by the Reserve Bank of Australia an expected benchmark rate cut to a record low of 2% on May 5th  but the market had priced in such a move after policy makers held the rate unchanged in April.
 
Since the beginning of this year EURAUD has fallen more than 3.71% and is in a recovery phase since late April where it also broke above the medium term downward trend line. The currency rose during Friday’s session triggering a bullish flag pattern and closed near the high of the day, well above the 10-day moving average. Although stochastic is showing bullish momentum and is above the 50 mid line.
 
Leveraged products carry a high degree of risk to your capital.
 
Hugo O’Neill
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looks like a very good bullish flag.
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ActivTrades is a London based broker regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), and it is also affiliated to the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS). 

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