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Markus Persson
Works at Mojang
Lived in Stockholm, Sweden
122,975 followers|1,687,848 views
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Markus Persson

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As pointed out in the comments on my last entry, I do have lots of followers here, but there is very little for me to READ here. I go to Twitter to read what others say, and post when I'm on there.
There is not enough content driving me to come here. Some indie developers post some interesting stuff, but I usually have heard of most of it through other channels.
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I Love MCPE
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Markus Persson

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Reworking the biome code. Interesting stuff. Will probably allow for rivers. :D
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Noch you are Best !!
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Markus Persson

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I just did a phone survey about how much I liked this and that. The final question was "what is your monthly income?"

I feel dirty now.
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Markus Persson

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Minecraft t-shirts? In Battlefield Heroes? Why not!
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Go Go Go
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Markus Persson

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2011-07-26
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When I was young I thought they were herobrines ×D
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Let's say we have a fair lottery where a hundred million people get one ticket each, and a winner is drawn at random each day. The winner stays in the pool even after winning. What are the odds that you win it once before someone else wins it three times (doesn't have to be in a row)?
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the same for me
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Have him in circles
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Markus Persson

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Did I give up on Google+? Not really.. I just don't really have a reason to come back here, and that means I don't get a chance to post anything.
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can you add a giant tree to minecraft

Markus Persson

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I started tracking my weight and eating habits. With some minor tweaks, I've started slowly losing weight! =D

It's funny how fast all the angst went away when I started just actually looking at the numbers.
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Noch how to get a cape in minecraft ?
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Help me, Coffee! You're my only hope!
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When is the 0.13.0 released in mcpe?
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The new mob I've been working on is a bit creepy..
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Markus Persson

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(Disclaimer: I'm not an educated mathematician. Feel free to double check my results and tell me if I'm wrong)

So, to explain the lottery question and the very unintuitive answer..

Every time you don't win, someone else wins. The number of people who have won the lottery once will very quickly grow significantly larger than the number of people you are. Since they are more than you, the odds of one of them winning are higher than the odds of you winning, which means that there will eventually be at least one person who has won the lottery twice.
That person has the same chance of winning as you do, so each drawing, you both have a one-in-a-hundred-million chance of winning. If neither do, either someone who has never won will win, or someone who has won once will win, and there will suddenly be twice as many people who have won twice than you are.
Because of the high number of participants, this gets iterated maaaany times before you're likely to win (50 million times on average), and the pool of winners who aren't you has plenty of time to grow.

Even in a lottery of just 1000 people, your odds of winning before someone else wins three times is only about 15%.

The odds of you winning a fair 100 million person lottery before someone else wins TEN times in total is about 50%.

This, my friends, is the power of the pigeon hole principle.
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Markus eliminar a los creeper palga de mal
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The chance of you winning before someone else wins three times is less than half a percent.

(Based off a Mersenne Twister based Monte Carlo simulation)
Markus Persson originally shared:
 
Let's say we have a fair lottery where a hundred million people get one ticket each, and a winner is drawn at random each day. The winner stays in the pool even after winning. What are the odds that you win it once before someone else wins it three times (doesn't have to be in a row)?
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I highly doubt that.
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Have him in circles
122,975 people
Mohamed Ben Slimen's profile photo
Kevin Chollet's profile photo
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Work
Occupation
Game developer
Employment
  • Mojang
    Game developer, 2010 - present
  • King.com
    Game developer, 2004 - 2009
  • Jalbum
    Programmer, 2009 - 2010
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Relationship
Married
Other names
Notch
Story
Tagline
Founder & Game Developer at Mojang
Bragging rights
Created Minecraft! :D
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Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Previously
Stockholm, Sweden