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US #Mid-Session Update: October US Jobs Report Crushes Expectations

**Economic Data**
- (BR) Brazil Oct IBGE Inflation IPCA M/M: 0.8% v 0.8%e; Y/Y: % v 9.9%e
- (CL) Chile Oct CPI M/M: 0.4% v 0.3%e; Y/Y: 4.0% v 3.9%e; CPI Ex Food and Energy M/M: 0.4% v 0.3%e
- (IN) India Weekly Forex Reserves w/e Oct 30th: $353.6B v $351.5B prior
- (PL) Poland Oct Official Reserves: $100.8B v $101.5B prior
- (BR) Brazil Oct Vehicle Production: 205.0K v 174.2K prior; Vehicle Sales: 192.2K v 200.1K prior
Vehicle Exports: 39.8K v 33.5K prior
- (US) Oct Change in Nonfarm Payrolls: +271K v +185Ke; Change in Private Payrolls: +268K v +169Ke; Change in Manufacturing Payrolls: 0K v -5Ke
- (US) Oct Unemployment Rate: 5.0% v 5.0%e; Underemployment Rate: 9.8% v 9.9%e; Change in Household Employment: +320.0K v -236K prior; Labor Force Participation Rate: 62.4% v 62.4% prior
- (US) Oct Average Hourly Earnings M/M: 0.4% v 0.2%e; Y/Y: 2.5% v 2.3%e; Average Weekly Hours: 34.5 v 34.5e
- (CA) Canada Oct Net Change in Employment: +44.4K v +10.0Ke; Unemployment Rate: 7.0% v 7.1%e
- (CA) Canada Sept Building Permits M/M: -6.7% v +1.5%e
- (MX) Mexico Oct Consumer Confidence Index: 91.3 v 90.0e
- (UK) Oct NIESR GDP Estimate: 0.6% v 0.5% prior

The October jobs report is echoing through global markets this morning, with the greenback at its strongest level since April against major pairs, financial names surging, gold tanking and Fed fund futures reorienting. The 10-year UST yield has surged nearly 10 basis points since the jobs report, to trade 2.325%, the highest level since early July. The chances of a December rate hike as seen in Fed fund futures had been gradually creeping up, and as of today the instrument suggests traders believe there is a 70% chance of a 25 basis point hike at the December FOMC meeting. As of writing, the DJIA down 0.60%, the S&P500 is off 1.0% and the Nasdaq is dropping 0.54%. Note that gold is below $1,100 for the first time since August.

Last month, the September US jobs report had been a big bust, with the low headline nonfarm number and significant revision lower to the August nonfarm figure raising real questions about the state of the US economy, not to mention the viability of Fed pledges for 2015 rate hikes. Today's October jobs report seems to have washed away similar concerns. The +271K nonfarm figure absolutely crushed expectations and pulled the three-month average to +187K, which is just modestly below the +206K average for the year to date.

At this point, the case for a December Fed rate hike is very firm. Dove Evans all but made the case for a hike in a CNBC interview after the jobs data, saying conditions could be ripe for a rate increase and that he goes into each meeting "with an open mind." Evan said while the October jobs report was very good, he still sees a little slack in labor markets and emphasized inflation is where the uncertainty lies. Hawk Bullard hardly bothered talking about the initial rate hike, saying markets have already mostly priced it in, and talked about the healthy FOMC debate over second rate hike.

**Looking Ahead**
- 12:00 (CO) Colombia Central Bank Inflation Report
- 13:00 (US) Weekly Baker Hughes Rig Count data
- 15:00 (US) Sept Consumer Credit: $18.0Be v $16.0B prior
- 16:15 (US) Fed's Brainard participates on IMF Panel on Monetary Policy

#‎stockmarket‬ ‪#‎stock‬ ‪#‎stocknews‬ ‪#‎tradingnews‬ ‪#‎earnings‬ ‪#‎FBnews‬‪#‎earningsseason‬ ‪#‎earningsnews‬ ‪#‎earningseason‬ ‪#‎corporateaction‬‪ #‎Brokerconferences
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US #Mid-Session Update: Big Merger Monday

**Economic Data**
- #ZA South Africa Oct Naamsa Vehicle Sales Y/Y: -8.6% v -7.7%e
- #PL Poland Oct Preliminary CPI M/M: 0.1% v 0.2%e; Y/Y: -0.8% v -0.7%e
- #CZ Czech Oct Budget Balance (CZK): -29.1B v -2.8B prior
- #CA Canada Oct RBC Manufacturing PMI: 48.0 v 48.6 prior
- #US Oct Final Markit Manufacturing PMI: 54.1 v 54.0e
- #US Sept Construction Spending M/M: 0.6% v 0.5%e
- #US Oct ISM Manufacturing: 50.1 v 50.0e; Prices Paid: 39.0 v 38.8e

A heavy round of M&A headlines this morning plus some good news in October manufacturing surveys is firmly supporting risk appetite. As of writing, the DJIA is up 0.55%, the S&P500 is up 0.65% and the Nasdaq is up 0.85%.

The October ISM manufacturing survey flat-lined, as expected, putting the index at its lowest point since May 2013. Traders are looking past the weak headline numbers at the decent increase in new orders and production, both of which rose to about 53 from just above 50 in the September survey. The final October Markit Manufacturing PMI survey seemed to confirm the good news seen in the ISM survey.

Chinese state-owned manufacturer Comac unveiled the first plane produced by a Chinese firm to compete in the global market for large passenger jetliners. China currently relies on Boeing and Airbus aircraft, but the effort to create the homegrown C919 jetliner is aimed at seizing a portion of this large domestic opportunity.

The two successor companies of Hewlett-Packard began trading this morning. Shares of HP, Inc. are trading under the old HPQ ticker, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise is trading under ticker HPE on the NYSE. HP, Inc. will focus on personal computers and printers, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise will sell commercial computers systems, software and tech services.

Citron Research has pulled back from hints it would unleash new bombshell revelations Monday about Valeant Pharmaceuticals. Citron said that it would be focusing on new claims piling up against the Valeant and stood by the Enron analogy, asserting that it remains "uninvestible" for the foreseeable future. VRX is up 7.6% this morning.

Visa reached a deal to acquire former subsidiary Visa Europe for €16.5 billion ($18.2 billion) in cash and stock, with the potential for an additional payment of up to €4.7 billion. Visa and Visa Europe, a cooperative of European banks with over 500 million cards, were part of a global bank-owned network until 2007. Shares of Visa are down 3% on the news.?

Shire said it would buy Dyax for about $5.9 billion, or $37.30/shr, representing a 35.5% premium to Dyax's closing stock price on Friday. Dyax shareholders may also get an additional contingent value right worth $4.00/sjr if Dyax's DX-2930 drug is approved. Share said it would still be pursuing the Baxalta bid after the Dyax deal.

**Looking Ahead**
- 12:00 #IT Italy Oct New Car Registrations Y/Y: No est v 17.2% prior
- 12:00 #US Fed's Williams (moderate, FOMC voter)
- 12:00 #DE German Chancellor Merkel Speaks at CDU Party Conference in Darmstadt
- 13:00 #MX Mexico Oct IMEF Manufacturing Index: 50.2e v 50.1 prior; Non-Manufacturing Index: 50.2e v 49.3 prior
- 16:00 #US Weekly Crop Progress Report
- 18:00 #KR South Korea Oct CPI M/M: -0.2%e v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: 0.7%e v 0.76% prior; CPI Core Y/Y: 2.1%e v 2.1% prior
- 22:30 #AU RBA Interest Rate Decision: Expected to leave Cash Rate Target unchanged at 2.00%
- 22:30 #HK Hong Kong to sell combined HKD46B in 3-month,.6-month and 12-month Bills

#‎stockmarket‬ ‪#‎stock‬ ‪#‎stocknews‬ ‪#‎tradingnews‬ ‪#‎earnings‬ ‪#‎FBnews‬‪#‎earningsseason‬ ‪#‎earningsnews‬ ‪#‎earningseason‬ ‪#‎corporateaction‬‪ #‎Brokerconferences
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#China Press/Corporate Summary Ahead of Open 

#PBoC said to have injected #CNY410B into banking system through MLF. It also plans to provide CNY600B liquidity support during upcoming Lunar New Year holiday period. PBoC's chief economist Ma sees #MLF may be used as substitute for #RRR cut.

China approves the first batch of 7 #IPOs under new listing rules.

China said to plan to merge over 40 entities and set up a plane engine group with assets valued CNY145B.

Chinese regulators said to require some banks to limit capital outflows.

Premarket movers:
#Harbin Electric Co 1133.HK -2.7% (profit warning)
- #ZTE Corp 000063.CN +1.9% (prelim FY15 result)
- #Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019.CN -2.3% (FY15 result)
- #Huadian Power International Corp 1071.HK +1.9% (2015 result)
- #CNOOC 883.HK -1.9% (2016 target)
- #China Mobile 941.HK -2.2% (Dec result)
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Frequently Asked Question: How to Search by a ticker in the platform.
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‪#‎NFP‬ is tomorrow. Click to see the preview Subscribers Profit Fast FOREX and Currency News and Non-Farm Payroll Analysis
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Add an Extra layer to your #headlines by adding highlights for specific stock you care about, #stocks, #strategies, #sectors or 13f/ #Hedgefund holdings
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FOMC - Interest Rate Decision
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(US) Select #Premarket Movers

-ZSPH +41% (being acquired by AZN for $90/shr, $2.7B total)
-WTW +23% (earnings)
-UBNT +17% (earnings)
-HZNP +16% (earnings)
-DATA +16% (earnings)
-QRVO +14% (earnings)
-YOKU +10% (being acquired by BABA for $27.60/shr - raised from prior $26.60/shr offer)
-MNST +9% (earnings)
-PODD +9% (earnings)
-NVDA +8.6% (earnings)
-SHAK +7.3% (earnings)
-TTWO +6% (earnings)
-SWKS +5% (earnings)
-VRX +4% (statement on sales of company stock associated with loans by CEO Pearson)
-IHG +3.7% (reportedly said to be exploring strategic options, i.e. sale of the company)
-BAC +2.5% (dollar surges and rates rise following Oct jobs report)
-C +2.3% (dollar surges and rates rise following Oct jobs report)
-JPM +2.2% (dollar surges and rates rise following Oct jobs report)
-XLF +1.1% (dollar surges and rates rise following Oct jobs report)

-GLUU -19% (earnings)
-TRIP -10% (earnings; cuts FY15 Rev growth guidance)
-MHK -3.3% (earnings)
-XLU -1.3% (dollar surges and rates rise following Oct jobs report)

#‎stockmarket‬ ‪#‎stock‬ ‪#‎stocknews‬ ‪#‎tradingnews‬ ‪#‎earnings‬ ‪#‎FBnews‬‪#‎earningsseason‬ ‪#‎earningsnews‬ ‪#‎earningseason‬ ‪#‎corporateaction‬‪ #‎Brokerconferences
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