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Constantin Gurdgiev
Lives in Dublin
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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When it comes to economic policy uncertainty, 2016 was a bad year for the Big 4 European states, except for one: Italy. Consider the above chart showing indices of Economic Policy Uncertainty across Europe's Big Four stat...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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In their 2003 paper, Koehler and Gershoff provide a definition of a specific behavioural phenomenon, known as betrayal aversion. Specifically, the authors state that “A form of betrayal occurs when agents of protection cause ...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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Major central banks of the advanced economies have ended 2016 on another bang of fireworks of NIRP (Negative Interest Rates Policies). Across the six major advanced economies (G6), namely the U.S., the UK, Euro area, Japan, C...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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The issue of a gender gap in the workplace, relating to gender differences in terms of occupations, is a highly contentious, politically charged and, despite a wealth of research on the subject, not fully explained to-date. O...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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+Euromoney have published their @CountryRisks survey results for 2016: available here quoting, amongst other analysts, myself.
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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In their 2003 paper, Koehler and Gershoff provide a definition of a specific behavioural phenomenon, known as betrayal aversion. Specifically, the authors state that “A form of betrayal occurs when agents of protection cause ...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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EU's Fiscal Discipline in one table: here is a summary of the EU member states' performance when it comes to 3% deficit ceiling set out as a core fiscal criteria: Yes, even after a large scale fiscal 'retrenching' of 2016, ...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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The issue of a gender gap in the workplace, relating to gender differences in terms of occupations, is a highly contentious, politically charged and, despite a wealth of research on the subject, not fully explained to-date. O...
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Constantin Gurdgiev

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The U.S. National Intelligence Council January 9, 2017 report on future global trends titled “Paradox of Progress” cites income inequality as one of the reasons for emergence of anti-free-trade sentiments in the West (see pag...
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10/1/17: For Love or Money: Gender Gap in Online Labor Markets
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

The issue of a gender gap in the workplace, relating to gender differences in terms of occupations, is a highly contentious, politically cha

2/1/17: U.S. Unemployment Duration is Still Record-Busting
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

Throughout recent years, the recovery meme, played across the mainstream media in the U.S. has provided endless support to President Obama’s

29/12/16: Drowning in Debt
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

Recently, I posted about the return - with a vengeance - of one of the key drivers of the Global Financial Crisis and the Great Recession, t

19/12/16: Income Polarization in the U.S.: Building Blocks of Trumplitics
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

Having just reviewed some fresh evidence on the trends and underlying drivers of declining wage growth rates in the U.S. post-Global Financi

19/12/16: U.S. Wages (Lack of) Growth: a Structural Crisis
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

One of the persistent features of today’s economy is the decline in wage growth and lower returns to human capital, relative to financial ca

15/12/16: Long-Term Fed Path May Force ECB to Act
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

My post-mortem analysis of the U.S. Fed's FOMC meeting and policy changes announcements for Sunday Business Post: https://www.businesspost.i

11/12/16: Legal Frameworks Relating to State-led Cyber Attacks
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

This is a blog about economics and finance, not politics. Alas, geopolitical risks do impact economic risks and they materially influence fi

10/12/16: Roads to Polluting Hell Outside the Electric Vehicles' Backyard
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

The old adage that the road to hell is commonly paved with good intentions, taken through the prism of economic analysis, can often be sharp

9/12/16: Trumpismo and the U.S. Economy
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

My Village column on the outcome of the U.S. Presidential election and the economic implications of Trumpismo : http://villagemagazine.ie/in

7/12/16: Bloomberg Blows the Cover on Apple's Irish Tax Dodge, Again
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

So you know the $13 billion that Apple, allegedly, owes Ireland?.. It really never did owe Ireland much. Instead, it owes the money to taxpa

13/11/16: Oil Prices: Still in the Whirlpool of Uncertainty
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

This is an unedited, longer, version of my article for the Sunday Business Post covering my outlook for oil prices. Traditionally, crude oil

11/11/2016: Europe's 'Convincing' Recovery
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

Europe's strong, convincing, systemic recovery ... the meme of the European leaders from Ireland all the way across to the Baltics, and save

9/11/16: Bitcoin vs Ether: MIIS Students Case Study
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

Following last night's election results, Bitcoin rose sharply in value, in line with gold, while other digital currencies largely failed to

3/11/16: CFR: A Tax Cure for American Monetarism
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

My article for the Cayman Financial Review on tax reforms required to bring U.S. corporate tax system to an internationally competitive stan

22/10/16: U.S. Election: Can There Even Be a Winner?
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

Despite offering, to many people, especially those tending to think of themselves as either 'liberal left' or centre to centre-right, the up

22/101/16: Cashless Society: Efficiency 1 : Privacy 0
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

My comments on the dangers associated with the idea of the 'cashless society' where traditional money is replaced by fully captured (by data

22/10/16: Irish 12.5% Tax Rate and Someone's Loose Lips
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

It has been some time since I commented here on the matters relating to Irish corporate taxation. For a number of reasons not worth covering

22/9/16: The most important charts in the world... BusinessInsider
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

BusinessInsider published their new set of "The most important charts in the world from the brightest minds on Wall Street" : http://www.bus

12/9/16: Fiscal Policy in the Age of Debt
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

In recent years, there has been lots and lots of debates, discussions, arguments and research papers on the perennial topic of fiscal stimul

11/9/16: BRIC PMIs: Services & Manufacturing - August
trueeconomics.blogspot.com

With full 3Q 2016 update on PMIs coming up relatively soon, and having not done monthly updates on the time series for some time now, here i