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Jon Wilkins
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Jon Wilkins

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Probably the last time this calculation is interesting. Punchline is this:

"However, if the Republicans used the Democratic scheme (applied only at the state level, for simplicity), Trump would have 912 pledged delegates, and would need 73% of the remaining delegates to prevent a contested convention. Under proportional allocation with no threshold, he would have 799 delegates, and would need to win over 98% of the remaining delegates.

One consequence of (and perhaps rationale for) using winner-take-all allocation in a drawn-out primary season is that it drives out challengers, forcing consensus around the leading candidate and allowing them to begin their general-election pivot earlier.

Another consequence is that a pesky plurality of “voters” can drive the nomination of an openly bigoted narcissist, subverting the ability of the party elite to install one of the usual cryptically bigoted narcissists. That’s a consequence that will either be hilarious to Democrats in November or hilarious to extraterrestrial archaeologists who visit the smoldering remains of our planet thousands of years in the future."

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/05/proportional-delegate-allocation-could-have-stopped-trump/
After yesterday's primary in Indiana, both Ted Cruz and John Kasich have dropped out of the race, leaving Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee for the Republican party. This was disappointing to those of us who were hoping for some contested-convention drama, but sensible, since Trump is now ...
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Jon Wilkins

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Best guess for today's WI Dem primary: Sanders by 8. That's based on the relationship between final polling numbers and actual primary outcomes over the course of this primary season.

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/04/prediction-for-wisconsin-dem-primary-sanders-by-8/
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Jon Wilkins

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New Darwin Eats Cake. Please forward to the people running Jeb! Bush's Super PAC.
http://darwineatscake.com/comic/en/177
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Great news in 2016. There will be a 30-minute special on Shakespeare featuring Philomena Cunk.

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/02/moments-of-wonder-special/
If you're a fan of Moments of Wonder, there's some cool news. As part of the BBC's celebration of the 400th anniversary of Shakespeare's death, there will be a half-hour special featuring Philomena Cunk, who will tell you everything you need to know. According to the BBC,. Unrivalled wordsmith.
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First five comics from the new Darwin Eats Cake storyline, now in one convenient location

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/01/invisible-hand-announces-candidacy-for-republican-nomination/
Here, for your entertainment during that brief window between the time when the coming snowpocalypse traps you at home and the time when the coming snowpocalypse knocks out your power, is the latest sequence of comics from Darwin Eats Cake, in which Andy launches his run for president.
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Today's Darwin Eats Cake
http://darwineatscake.com/comic/en/175
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Jon Wilkins

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Want to know how the voting in today's New York Republican primary will translate into delegates? It's all explained here.

Don't care? Fine, short answer, based on current polling data and previous primary results, is that Trump should win about 52% of the vote, which will give him about 84 (out of 95) delegates.

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/04/predictor-and-explainer-for-the-new-york-republican-primary/
Welcome to Lost in Transcription, the online home of me, Jon Wilkins. I am an evolutionary biologist, poet, and Ronin. I write about science and culture, and author the webcomic Darwin Eats Cake. Some of the specific things you'll find here include: The Lost in Transcription Blog ...
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Here's a little calculation to measure the impact of the Republican delegate allocation system(s). Take home is that about 1/5 of Trump's delegate count, and 1/2 his lead over Cruz, can be attributed to the winner-take-all-ish elements.

Not that there's anything wrong with it!

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/03/what-if-the-gop-allocated-used-proportional-allocation-of-delegates/
In the Republican presidential primary system, different states apportion their delegates among the candidates in a variety of ways. In the upcoming contests in Florida and Ohio, all of the state's delegates are pledged to the candidate who receives the most votes state-wide.
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so its african dictator vs theocrat ... good luck :)
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Ben Carson set himself apart from the Republican crowd by being wrong about the Supreme Court in a different way!

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/02/dont-forget-ben-carson-who-is-also-wrong-about-the-supreme-court/
In the wake of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia's death, Republicans have been climbing all over each other like a less well intentioned pile of zombies in an effort to most loudly claim that President Obama has no right to appoint his successor. Most of the arguments have focused on the ...
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TL;DR: If Pat can't afford to screw over Chris, then Chris has no business screwing Pat

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/02/a-field-test-for-identifying-appropriate-sexual-partners-in-academia/
Last week's issue of Science included an article on yet another case of sexual harassment in academia — this time in Physical Anthropology. This case involves a research assistant who claims that her supervisor at the American Museum of Natural History, Brian Richmond, sexually assaulted her at ...
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The University of Chicago should not have hired Jason Lieb, and they bear partial responsibility for his actions.

http://jonfwilkins.com/2016/02/innocent-until-proven-guilty-is-nonsense-for-faculty-hiring/
Good news this week for the Astronomy community! Unlike the previous three cases, the latest instance of high-profile professorial sexual misconduct to hit the press comes out of molecular biology. So, yay? Jason Lieb resigned from the University of Chicago after he was found to have violated ...
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Jon Wilkins

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Follow-up to yesterday's Darwin Eats Cake.
Will the other Republican candidates take Andy's David Bowie pledge?
http://darwineatscake.com/comic/en/176
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Have him in circles
12,612 people
Espen Solheim's profile photo
Peter Rodriguez's profile photo
RANJEET KUMAR's profile photo
孙达's profile photo
Manuel Ocaña Palacios's profile photo
Hassan Mansoor's profile photo
Erika Suzuki's profile photo
redredvelvet ..'s profile photo
John Patella's profile photo
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I'm Jon Wilkins, evolutionary biologist and poet. I'm the author of the blog Lost in Transcription and the webcomic Darwin Eats Cake. I am also founder of the Ronin Institute, which is dedicated to supporting independent scholarship.
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