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Strategic Intelligence Files
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AlShabaab and Donald Trump – Building the Fifth Column
AlShabaab understands that the American political system serves as one of the core centripetal forces that hold the structural elements in the US together. By assaulting it, AlShabaab anticipates that it can dent it. It has also been validly observed that Islamists are able to achieve most of their objectives and goals when the Democratic Party rules the US as compared to administrations dominated by the Republican Party.
AlShabaab and Donald Trump – Building the Fifth Column
AlShabaab and Donald Trump – Building the Fifth Column
strategicintelligencefiles.blogspot.com
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STATE DYNAMICS AND ETHNOTERRORISM.
Ethno-terrorism allows an ethnic group to accumulate disproportionate political power as well as project it or leverage it at opportune moments. Unconstrained ethno-terrorism nurtures erosion of national integrity besides fomenting indigenous terrorist campaigns. Corrosion of the state structure allows certain ethnic groups to amass the political goods at the expense of other communities, thus laying down the foundation for politically-motivated ethnic violence and state collapse - especially if the ruling government loses popular legitimacy. In unstable theaters of actions, violence remains the most alluring avenue for achieving political goals.
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ALSHABAAB THREAT MATRIX
Al-Shabaab is currently on the retreat and its apparent weakness is recognized by its commanders who therefore do not seek military victory but are instead interested in ensuring the survival of the terror group as well as conserving its capabilities to subvert nations besides sustaining a terrorist campaign against Kenyan and regional security forces. Kenyan security forces have showcased unforgivable incompetence in their attempts to stabilize the security situation in the country as demonstrated by the recurring high-profile terror attacks (that have elicited travel advisories). Definitely, more needs to be done to secure the nation.
TerrorFront Kenya : Al-Shabaab Threat Assessment
TerrorFront Kenya : Al-Shabaab Threat Assessment
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Kenya’s location as the gateway into East and Central Africa has tempted external powers and interested foreign parties to attempt to subvert the nation besides sabotaging its national economy. Some of these powers, especially Gulf Arab Nations such as Qatar have propped up HSM to serve as their proxy. Sudan is also a suspect as the real forces and operatives of NIF (National Islamic Front) seek to subvert land-locked South Sudan by denying it access to a trade infrastructure which is currently wholly dependent on Kenya.  Moreover, Sudan has an interest in seeing South Sudan unable to transport its oil through Kenya (via Mombasa) and onto the international market.
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The Leego tragedy and the subsequent withdrawal of AMISOM and Somali troops from about a dozen towns showcases how an insurgent group could use asymmetric warfare to benumb a stronger but inelastic military into surrendering sections of its territories without a fight
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Understanding the rise of ISIS within the historical context of Global Jihad and Al-Qaeda’s strategic projections to create a global caliphate would demystify most of the mysteries cloaking the Islamic State. This is due to the fact that the Islamic State arose from the ashes of one of the most extremist factions within Al-Qaeda - Jama`at al-Muslimin (JaM).
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Research Think-Tank outputting Objective Analyses focusing on Strategic Affairs, Geopolitics, Military Matters, War and Terrorism
Strategic Intelligence Files
Strategic Intelligence Files
strategicintelligencefiles.blogspot.com
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To defeat AlShabaab, one must identify and understand its ideology and thereafter proceed to defeat its ideology. Prior to identifying its ideology, one must identify its ideologues and reconcile their ideas with official statements made by the jihadist group (this topic will be discussed in another post). From the ideology emanates the strategic objectives of the jihadist organization, which serves to guide its operational aims and the selection of combat tactics to be used to achieve specified operational aims
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