Google+ is adding new users at a very rapid pace. It may be the holidays, the TV commercials, the Android 4 signups, celebrity and brand appeal, or positive word of mouth, or a combination of all these factors, but there is no question that the number of new users signing up for Google+ each day has accelerated markedly in the past several weeks.
Each week my team from elance runs hundreds of queries on various surnames which we have been tracking since July. We revised our model based on the actual user announcements made by Google on July 13th and Oct 13th.
Here is what the tracking shows so far:
July 13 - 10 million
August 1 - 20.5 million
September 1 - 24.7 million
October 1 - 38 million (Larry Page announced "more than 40m users" on Oct 13th)
November 1 - 43 million
December 1 - 50 million
December 27 - 62 million
January 1 - 65.8 million (forecast)
February 1 - 85.2 million (forecast)
What is really remarkable is that nearly 1/4th of all Google+ users (24.01% to be precise) will have joined in December alone.
If this rate of new signups (625k daily) continues then Google+ will reach 100 million users on Feb. 25th and 200 million users on August 3. They will finish 2012 with 293 million users.
I expect the growth to continue to accelerate however. Google can continue to integrate Google+ into its other products and word of mouth will continue to build. Most importantly, 700,000 Android devices are activated daily and this will become a very significant source of new users for Google+. That number will also grow next year.
As more users sign up, the value of the network will increase for everyone. The network effect will become powerful. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Network_effect
It won't be long before new users start encountering family and friends as well as the thriving tech and media sharing community that embraced Google+ early on.
And as more Google+ APIs are released next year, developers will be able to build experiences on top of Google+ and make it even better.
Based on the accelerated growth I'm seeing and all the dials and levers Google can still utilize, and the developer ecosystem that will be developed, I predict that 2012 is going to be a breakout year for Google+ and that it will end next year with more than 400 million users.
Internet Marketing Tools for SEO and Social Media | Raven
Build and Manage Online Marketing with Raven's SEO Tools and Social Media Tools. Perform Keyword Research for SEO and Report on Social Media
Achieving an SEO-Friendly Domain Migration - The Infographic
Domain migrations are one of those activities that even if in the long-term can represent a benefit for an SEO process -- especially if the
Natural Search and Mobile SEO BlogTalking to an Aaron Wall
I'm sure most of you are as bored of my feud with Aaron Wall as I am so I'll try to keep this relatively short. As with any of my op
Guide to Finding Link Building Targets on Social Media Sites
There’s been a lot of debate in the SEO community lately regarding social media versus traditional linkbuilding methods. While some SEOs arg
A Modern Marketing Strategy – Social Media Marketing & ZMOT from Google
Whether a large or small business, your marketing strategies will be changed by the Zero Moment of Truth. Download this free ebook from Goog
Why Google+ is an Inevitable Part of Your Content Marketing Strategy | C...
Hear that, content marketers? That is the sound of inevitability ... the sound of you creating a Google+ page for your business. Here's why.
Oz Pool Supplies | Pool Pumps | Pool Cleaners | Pool Accessories & P...
Oz Pool Supplies are your online pool supplies and equipment store. Pool pumps, pool cleaners, pool accessories and more
SEO is NOT Your Whole Marketing Strategy | John Doherty
Everyone therefore who hears these words of mine, and does them, I will liken him to a wise man, who built his house on a rock. The rain cam
Green Earth Homes - Sunshine Coast Builder | Home Renovations | Home Ext...
Located on Queensland's Sunshine Coast, Green Earth Homes is your home renovation and extension specialists. We build beautiful lifestyle ho
How may we help you? - Digital Organics - Marketing for the Future
Home. Grow You Business Online with Digital Marketing. Home; Web Design. Business Web Sites; Ecommerce Web Sites; Test Your Market; Web Site