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Stephen Pettigrew
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29 followers
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I've moved!
Rink Stats has moved! Check out www.rinkstats.com to see all my old posts, as well as any new content.

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Corsi and Fenwick suck, or why we should be trying to do better
I think Corsi sucks. I think Fenwick sucks. I think they suck, not because I'm an old-school, Brian Burke-ian stats hater. I think they suck because when it comes to "advanced" hockey stats, the formula shots +  blocks + misses = corsi is lazy and oversimpl...

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2013/2014 win probabilities - Central Division
Below are the videos which show the win probability graphs for all 2013/2014 games for the teams in the Central Division. To learn more about the win probability metric,  check out my post here . The folder with the individual game graphs for every team is ...

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2013/2014 win probabilities - Pacific Division
Below are the videos which show the win probability graphs for all 2013/2014 games for the teams in the Pacific Division. To learn more about the win probability metric,  check out my post here . The folder with the individual game graphs for every team is ...

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2013/2014 win probabilities - Metropolitan Division
Below are the videos which show the win probability graphs for all 2013/2014 games for the teams in the Metropolitan Division. To learn more about the win probability metric,  check out my post here . Carolina Hurricanes Columbus Blue Jackets New Jersey Dev...

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2013/2014 win probabilities - Atlantic Division
Below are the videos which show the win probability graphs for all 2013/2014 games for the teams in the Atlantic Division. To learn more about the win probability metric, check out my post here . Boston Bruins Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings Florida Panthe...

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2013/2014 win probabilities - Atlantic Division
Below are the videos which show the win probability graphs for all 2013/2014 games for the teams in the Atlantic Division. To learn more about the win probability metric, check out my post here . Boston Bruins Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings Florida Panthe...

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How much expertise do college basketball experts have?
I wrote an article this week for Deadspin looking at how much better college basketball "experts" did at predicting the NCAA tournament this year than non-experts. I used the same 11 million brackets from ESPN.com's Tournament Challenge as I used for the ea...

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Odds of a perfect NCAA bracket this year
Check out my new, non-hockey, article in Monday's Wall Street Journal. I find that, this year, there was a 1 in 1.47 quadrillion chance of picking a perfect NCAA March Madness bracket.
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