Moreover, some of those costs are unknown. How long does the battery pack last before you have to replace it? Will the vehicles and technology last long enough to have a healthy secondary market? When an electric car becomes no longer serviceable, what happens to it? Will there be a secondary market for batteries, with enough quality control that it won't be a nightmare of horrible explosions and fires?
For me personally, I know that electric vehicles aren't yet in a state where I'd consider one. Consider my Cayman. I love it for its versatility. It's also just lovely to sit in. It's light and powerful enough to make cornering fun at low speeds. Curb weight is 2950lb for 320hp, 250lb-ft. I've gone for 100-mile mountain drives with 100lbs of tools in it and it didn't bat an eye. But if I want to go for distance (for instance, to Buttonwillow for a track day), the range is conservatively ~425 miles without stopping. And if I did have to stop for gas, it'd be a 5 minute stop, even if I were in the middle of nowhere (which is about where Buttonwillow is).
I'd be interested to see when we get an electric vehicle which can match that versatility. (Realizing that it's not the latest tech), the Tesla Roadster weighs 2720lb for 288hp and 295lb-ft. But it's got pretty much no storage and no amenities (like the Lotus Elise before it). Plus, it's a lot smaller than the Cayman: 40cm less length, 20cm less height (although 7cm wider). Beyond that, it's rated range is 244mi.
So to match the Cayman, it'd have to be significantly larger, have significantly more storage capacity, and be a nicer car. It'd have to double its range, halve its price, and be able to do all that within a weight budget of 200lbs. I'm just not seeing it, not for a long while at least.
- Onestop InternetCo-Founder & Board of Directors, 2003 - present
- IncroudChief Technology Officer, 2014 - present
- Onestop InternetCo-Founder & Chief Innovation Officer, 2003 - 2014
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