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Brad Keithley
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President and Principal, Keithley Consulting, LLC
President and Principal, Keithley Consulting, LLC

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The Wall St. Journal's start of the year assessment.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-prices-have-a-slippery-path-upward-1483185605

Just finished my first run through the #AKGov's proposed FY2017 #AKbudget. My initial nominee for the #AKLeg -islator most on the spot this coming session? Rep. Dan Saddler. As Chair of the HFIN HSS Subcommittee he is the one that others will look to come to grips with the Medicaid budget. There is $300+ million annually that can be cut long term from that budget (payments made beyond the minimum federal requirement). As Chair of the HFIN DEED Subcommittee, Rep. Lynn Gattis will run a close second. Their success (or lack thereof) will go far in determining whether or not Alaskans end up facing PFD cuts and taxes. http://ow.ly/3yynCg

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Some will view this as covering a blanket also over #AKLNG. It doesn't. The key portion from the perspective of #AKLNG is this: "Canada’s biggest competitor is not the U.S. — it is probably Mozambique,” Tomnay said, noting that these two regions would probably the play the role of niche, “strategic resources” for investors in the next wave of development that will cater to demand after 2022." That is the opening toward which #AKLNG always has been targeted and in which, if it can keep costs down and alignment intact, it has some significant advantages. Alaska shouldn't be distracted by current market conditions. #AKLNG is targeted toward 2025 - 2055 and that window, frankly helped by likely #GlobalClimateChange regulation is still there. http://ow.ly/3yaHU6

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Important question and can follow on the web. "Arctic Summit. Still icy: Has investing in the Arctic been oversold? March 12th 2015 • Hotel Bristol, Oslo, Norway. 'The ice might be melting but megaprojects planned in the Arctic are coming to a grinding halt due to dropping oil prices, rising tensions with Russia and America’s new production capabilities. The icy ‘last frontier’ is expensive and hazardous for all industries and stakeholders are now weighing the return on their current and future investments. In addition indigenous groups and NGOs remain sceptical about the impact commercial activity will have on climate change, biodiversity and local communities. In 2015, The Economist Events’ Arctic Summit asks whether commercial interest in the Arctic is a bubble about to burst." http://ow.ly/3xuCO3
Important question and can follow on the web. "Arctic Summit. Still icy: Has investing in the Arctic been oversold? March 12th 2015 • Hotel Bristol, Oslo, Norway. 'The ice might be melting but megaprojects planned in the Arctic are coming to a grinding halt due to dropping oil prices, rising tensions with Russia and America’s new production capabilities. The icy ‘last frontier’ is expensive and hazardous for all industries and stakeholders are now weighing the return on their current and future investments. In addition indigenous groups and NGOs remain sceptical about the impact commercial activity will have on climate change, biodiversity and local communities. In 2015, The Economist Events’ Arctic Summit asks whether commercial interest in the Arctic is a bubble about to burst." http://ow.ly/3xuCO3

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Important question and can follow on the web. "Arctic Summit. Still icy: Has investing in the Arctic been oversold? March 12th 2015 • Hotel Bristol, Oslo, Norway. 'The ice might be melting but megaprojects planned in the Arctic are coming to a grinding halt due to dropping oil prices, rising tensions with Russia and America’s new production capabilities. The icy ‘last frontier’ is expensive and hazardous for all industries and stakeholders are now weighing the return on their current and future investments. In addition indigenous groups and NGOs remain sceptical about the impact commercial activity will have on climate change, biodiversity and local communities. In 2015, The Economist Events’ Arctic Summit asks whether commercial interest in the Arctic is a bubble about to burst." http://ow.ly/3xuCO3

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Monday's "Thrilla in Dena'ina" ...
As readers of these pages will know, recently some have criticized the idea of moving Alaska state government toward using a sustainable budget model. Despite endorsement by Commonwealth North  ("Long Term Economic Sustainability for the State of Alaska") a...

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A Third Way (or how Mayor Dan Sullivan can restore some of his political lives) ...
While I don't usually write on municipality issues, an article in yesterday's Anchorage Daily News on an issue coming before the Anchorage Assembly this week caught my attention because of its state level implications. The article --  Tennis courts or hocke...

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Just the facts, ma'am ...
A favorite show when growing up was Dragne t , a weekly half hour series about police Detective Joe Friday  (played by Jack Webb) and his sidekick (everyone has a sidekick, right?), Bill Gannon (played by Harry Morgan, who subsequently went on to play Colon...

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My turn on the Casey Reynolds Show ...
Earlier today I noted that I would be sitting down with Casey Reynolds on his talk radio show to respond to the issues raised yesterday during his interview with others.   See " The subtext of this story (income taxes, dividend cuts … or not) … ." I was the...

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A Personal Note| The "Keithley Collection of Native American Art Works"
One of the things which brought a great deal of joy in a previous phase of my life was buying and collecting various pieces of contemporary Southwest (US) and Pacific Northwest  art.  For those of you that know me now, developing that collection, although m...
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