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Michael Roberts
Works at Univeristy of Hawaii at Manoa
Lives in Honolulu, HI
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Michael Roberts

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[This post is co-written with Florence Kondylis at the World Bank, and a similar version was also posted over at the World Bank's Development Impact blog.] One morning last August a number of economists, engineers, Silicon Va...
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Asymmetric Delusions and Pragmatism
Sometimes I joke that to conservatives, the solution to every problem is to cut taxes; to liberals, the solution to every problem is to eat local.  Of course, purported panaceas on both the left and right are snake oil, even if peddled by true believers. So...
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The Hottest Year on Record, But Not in the Corn Belt
Here's  Justin Gillis  in his usual fine reporting of climate issues, and the map below from NOAA, via the New York Times. Note the "warming hole" over the Eastern U.S., especially the upper Midwest, the all important corn belt region.  We had a bumper crop...
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Michael Roberts

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Fitting a smooth curve through a distribution
If google scholar is any guide, my 2009 paper with Wolfram Schlenker on the nonlinear effects of temperature on crop outcomes has had more impact than anything else I've done. A funny thing about that paper: Many reference it, and often claim that they are ...
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Michael Roberts

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Boy, do people like arguing over whether "Keyneisanism" is right or wrong. I suspect that much of the motivation for John Cochrane to write this latest blast comes from his ongoing personal feud with Paul Krugman, generall...
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Michael Roberts

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Francis Annan and I have a new paper that looks at US crop insurance and whether it gives farmers a disincentive to adapt to extreme heat.  The increased frequency of extreme heat under climate change is predicted to lower co...
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Food Waste Delusions
A couple months ago the New York Times convened a conference " Food for Tomorrow: Farm Better. Eat Better. Feed the World ."  Keynotes predictably included Mark Bittman and Michael Pollan.  It featured many food movement activists, famous chefs, and a whole...
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Searching for critical thresholds in temperature effects
If google scholar is any guide, my 2009 paper with Wolfram Schlenker on the nonlinear effects of temperature on crop outcomes has had more impact than anything else I've been involved with. A funny thing about that paper: Many reference it, and often claim ...
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Michael Roberts

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shameless self promotion ;-)
This blog was published on Relus.com A blog post about five reasons employers should hire tennis players recently grabbed my attention and thoughts.  While I agree (and like to hire athletes in gen...
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Michael Roberts

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For many years there has been a heated debate about the empirical link between climate and conflict. A year ago, Marshall, Ted Miguel and I published a paper in Science where we reviewed existing quantitative research on this...
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Michael Roberts

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Drought is relative: " As yield potential become higher and higher, the bar for what counts as "enough" water continues to rise. "
A “drought” can be defined, it seems, in a million different ways. Webster’s dictionary says it’s “a period of dryness especially when prolonged; specifically:  one that causes extensive damage to crops or prevents their succ...
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Associate Professor of Economics
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  • Univeristy of Hawaii at Manoa
    Associate Professor of Economics, 2012 - present
  • North Carolina State University
    Associate Professor of Agricultural Economics, 2011 - present
  • North Carolina State University
    Assistant Professor, 2008 - 2011
  • US Department of Agriculture
  • University of California Berkerly
  • State of California (Seasonal Lifeguard)
  • Wells Fargo Bank
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Just swam the 2.4 mile Waikiki rough water swim
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Honolulu, HI
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Raleigh, NC - Washington, DC - Riverside, CA - La Jolla, CA - Bozeman, MT - Berkeley, CA
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