Gavin's posts

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Simultaneous intervals for smooths revisited: correcting a silly mistake

New #rstats blog post in which I eat crow over an earlier post in which I claimed to generate a simultaneous confidence interval for a GAM but got it gob-smackingly wrong!

#R #statistics #gam #mgcv

New #rstats blog post in which I eat crow over an earlier post in which I claimed to generate a simultaneous confidence interval for a GAM but got it gob-smackingly wrong!

#R #statistics #gam #mgcv

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New on my blog: Pangaea and #R and open palaeo data. Featuring #rstats, the pangaear package, a GAM, #opendata, and secondary axes in #ggplot Something for everyone!

http://www.fromthebottomoftheheap.net/2016/12/16/pangaea-r-open-palaeo-data/

http://www.fromthebottomoftheheap.net/2016/12/16/pangaea-r-open-palaeo-data/

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In a new post I take a look at Achim Zeileis & Christian Kleiber's new paper & #rstats pkg, countreg, on rootograms for assessing the fit of count models. #R #statistics #counts #regression #models

For more, see Christian and Achim's paper, ArXived here: http://arxiv.org/abs/1605.01311

For more, see Christian and Achim's paper, ArXived here: http://arxiv.org/abs/1605.01311

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LOESS Revisited, in which I take another look at why palaeolimnologists, inc me, abused LOESS & continue to do so http://www.fromthebottomoftheheap.net/2016/04/10/loess-revisited/ #science #palaeo #paleo #limnology #timeseries

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Soap-film smoothers & lake bathymetries. Here I look at the problem of finite area smoothing (smoothing over a region with a defined boundary) and at soap-film smoothers in particular. The motivating example is smoothing lake bathymetric data, from a consultancy project I was part of back in the UK. #rstats #r #spatial #smoothing #gam #additivemodels #statistics

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New post on my blog: Additive modelling global temperature time series: revisited. I revisit a post from 2011 and investigate evidence for a #globalwarming #hiatus using first derivatives of an additive model fitted to the HadCRUTv4 global mean temperature record. #rstats #r #climatechange #statistics #timeseries

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New post: Are some months warming more than others? Using an additive model with spline interactions, I discuss how to fit properly nested versions of these models in mgcv to facilitate comparing the additive and interaction models. And yes, some month are changing more than others, especially Oct and Nov, which warmed by >1°C over the last 100 years. http://bit.ly/1MMg26C #R #rstats #timeseries #statistics #climatechange

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New post: Climate change and spline interactions. Here I take a look at models that relax the additivity assumption and allow a smooth of one variable to interact smoothly with another. This is all illustrated via the Central England Temperature time series, and using our GAM we note substantial change in the within-year variation in temperatures, with some months warming by > 1°C http://bit.ly/1OlgI5j #R #rstats #timeseries #climatechange

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