Profile

Scrapbook photo 1
Allen Downey
Worked at Olin College
Attended University of California, Berkeley
Lives in Needham, MA
670 followers|2,364,976 views
AboutPostsPhotos

Stream

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Finishing the last notebooks for Think Stats, just in time for the start of the semester.
2
1
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Examples from Chapter 7, demonstrating that scatter plots are harder than they seem.
1
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Working on Jupyter notebooks for Think Stats.
6
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
I know for some people it is too soon for philosophy of probability, but whenever you are ready, you might like this:

http://allendowney.blogspot.com/2016/11/why-are-we-so-surprised.html

where I suggest that some of the surprise at the election result is because we are not good at interpreting probabilistic predictions.

I welcome comments.
1
John F. Burkhart's profile photo
 
Nice post Allen. I like to explain it to folks in the context of proposal writing. There are plenty of grant seekers who would be elated for 30% funding rates! 
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Hey, Google+, every time I log in, you show me the same message about violating policies, and threaten to suspend my account.

I have no idea what you are talking about, and there seems to be no way for me to find out.

So I guess I will stop posting things. Goodbye, Google+!
3
Rich Gillin's profile photoSamuel Freilich's profile photo
2 comments
 
What message?
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Following up a question about hypothesis testing, I've collected some resources related to simulation methods.
In 2011 I wrote an article called "There is Only One Test", where I explained that all hypothesis tests are based on the same framework, which looks like this: Here are the elements of this framework: 1) Given a dataset, ...
2
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Does engineering education breed terrorism?  We have no reason to think so.
I am a big fan of engineering education. I think studying engineering for four years is intellectually challenging, exciting, and (when it is done right) fun. An engineering education is good preparation for careers in many...
1
1
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Millennials are less likely to get married, but the ones who do are less likely to get divorced (even controlling for age at first marriage).
Millennials are getting married later than previous generations, as I wrote about here. But the ones who get married are no more likely to divorce during the first 10 years, and after that they might be substantially less li...
1
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
In Pareto World, the tallest person is more than 600 km tall.
1
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
I we publish one election simulation per day, we avoid many of the problems we saw with this round of predictions.
Theoretically, people should not be surprised by the results of the 2016 election; several credible forecasters predicted that it would be a close race. But a lot of people were surprised anyway. In my previous article I ex...
1
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Solution to last week's Alien Blaster problem.
Last week I posted the Alien Blaster Problem: In preparation for an alien invasion, the Earth Defense League has been working on new missiles to shoot down space invaders. Of course, some missile designs are better than othe...
3
Jason Moore's profile photoAllen Downey's profile photo
2 comments
 
Well, they stopped threatening me, so that helps.
Add a comment...

Allen Downey

Shared publicly  - 
 
Run the notebooks from my Bayes workshop on Binder.
I am working on an updated version of my workshop, Bayesian Statistics Made Simple, now using Jupyter notebooks (formerly known as IPython). It's still a work in progress, but you can see a draft of my slides here: If you ...
1
Add a comment...
Story
Tagline
Professor of Computer Science at Olin College
Introduction
I am a Professor of Computer Science at Olin College and author of Think Python, Think Stats, Think Bayes, Think Complexity, and more to come.
Education
  • University of California, Berkeley
    Computer Science
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Work
Occupation
Professor
Employment
  • Olin College
    Professor of Computer Science
Places
Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Currently
Needham, MA
Previously
Needham, MA - Waterville, ME - San Diego, CA - Oakland, CA
Links
Contributor to