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Thomas Calloway
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Thomas Calloway

commented on a video on YouTube.
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No one beats Isaac Newton.. Arguably the most important person to ever live with rap content on another level! : P
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Neil beat him imo. I started cracking up when his part started because a rap battle is the last thing neil would do.
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New video describing key exponential technologies as belonging to six primary categories (1) 3D printing (2) Robotics (3) Artificial Intelligence (4) Internet of Things (5) Infinite Computing (6) Synthetic Biology.
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I guess I should start making plans to make my own business/corporation?

The only plans I have right now is to make some laboratory in some warehouse somewhere to test all experiments and ideas.

Also, They should have gotten Morgan freeman to do the voice over.


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Thomas Calloway

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This is my favorite video of his.
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Funniest thing on YouTube, imho.
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Thomas Calloway

Predictions  - 
 
Question to the community: What would convince you that the technological singularity is near (i.e., 2045 timeframe)?

Some are already convinced, others believe it will never happen.  I imagine that many others in this community simply can't wait to find out.  I personally expect that over the course of the 2020s I will be convinced one way or the other for the following reasons: 

(1) Moore's Law is on track to finally die around 2020 with ~5 nm transistor feature sizes.  If another paradigm goes mainstream and takes over quickly and completely (e.g., new materials and 3D structures) then the resulting increase in projected and actual computing power will probably convince me. 
(2) The other thing that I'm watching for will be the emergence (or non-emergence) of strong general AI around 2029 (predicted by Intel's CTO and many others).  AI (or possibly IA) will be crucial for continued accelerating advancement.

Either way, it seems to me like the make-or-break decade for Kurzweil's timeline will be the 2020s.  If computing power stalls or technology creating AI hits some major unexpected roadblock, I imagine the whole timeline will slip quite a bit.  Anyone else have their futurist gazes fixated on anything in particular?
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+Thomas Calloway I hope you are right, but I'm going to need some proof before I agree because I have read up on the energy problem. Energy return on energy invested (EROEI) is the problem.

Solar panels, in theory, are wonderful. I love 'em, they're clean, smart looking, pollution free (except when you try try to dispose of the toxic used up panels).  But, I have yet to see EROEI better that 1.5 to 1 for photovoltaic cells. In other words, we have to consume 1 barrel of oil energy to get 1.5 barrels of energy from the panels; not impressive when we get 10 to 1 EROEI from oil (formerly 100 to 1 before modern depletion).

This EROEI is always overlooked. One example is electric cars. They say their fuel (electricity) is free; just plug it into the wall and get free energy. Unfortunately, this is a simpleton's way way of looking at it. 47% of the electricity generated in the US is from coal! This means that when you drive an electric car, you are actually burning coal which is 3 times as polluting as burning oil and coal is still not an "infinite" resource.

I'm not looking for trouble here. When I first looked at the global energy sytem I bought into the prevailing thinking that all is well, but deeper investigation revealed we are being lied to and things may not be what they seem (see The Party's Over by Richard Heinberg).

"There's a lot of available solar energy," said Kurzweil. "We have 10,000 times more than we need. If we captured one part in 10,000, and that's feasible, we could meet 100% of our energy needs. 

No argument here. The trick is getting the panels to harvest all that energy! We better do it quick because the exploding growth of human population is placing intense pressure on the system.

In summary, I need in depth proof to convince me that all is just ducky with the oil/energy situation. I need hard evidence. Unfortunately, that information is hard to come by because it is the secret property of the oil mega-corporations and self-serving political entities like Saudi Arabia et al.

As for nuclear, if Fukushima and Chernobyl were not convincing enough, I shudder to think of what might sway your opinion. 
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Thomas Calloway

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What a beautiful ship!
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the snow is melting #throughglass
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Just imagine this with a well trained brain-computer interface.
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Thomas Calloway

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The price is the most amazing thing about this.  I've read from multiple sources that Pepper will sell for only $2,000 and be available early next year?!?  If that's true, I must have it!  Little NAO costs $8,000.
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lijh.-  THE PROBLEM WITH BRUNO MAISONNIERS IS THAT HE IS NOT AN EXPERT ON THE ISSUE BUT TRYING TO SELL WHTA EVER – AND THIS IS NOT THE RIGHT WAY TO IMPLEMENT TECHNOLOGIES – THE ROMERO ROBOT WAS A FIASCO AND NOW THEY ARE TRYING TO FIX THE PROBLEM BY TELLING MORE LIES OR COPY SOME ISSUES ON MY WEBSITE WICH IS NOT THE RIGHT WAY TO IMPLEMENT TECHNOLOGIES BECAUSE IF YOU DO IT THAT WAY IT WILL TAKE YOU 200 YEARS OR MORE
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I'm about half way done with this book and thoroughly enjoying it so far.  It spends a little more time than I would like discussing Eastern and Western religion (which I often wish would just poof and dissappear).  Still, it's an interesting Transhumanist book with a lot of material.  In particular, I love the view of evolution as "the way our universe works and creates" and not just some frothy biological phenomenon.
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Thomas Calloway

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Solar is proliferating exponentially.  If the trend keeps up, 100% of our energy needs will be met with solar alone by 2027.  We need efficiency to keep rising and costs to keep dropping, but this could be our future.
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life is tough #throughglass
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Thomas Calloway

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Q: "But then what?  Make you feel any better?"
A: Yes, of course it would!  What a weird question Dad.
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+Richard Weston I completely disagree.  Our minds and actions do not respond to challenges such as this with Boolean extremes (e.g., either do nothing at all so seriously injure someone).  You are now making claims that there will never be enough evidence to support.  Cheers!
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In his circles
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Have him in circles
56 people
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Jamie Ann Calloway's profile photo
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C, C++, Matlab, Simulink, Python, C#, Electronics, SQL, Artificial Intelligence
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Techno-Optimist & Engineer
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The best tasting Chinese food that I've ever eaten. I've been there several times and everything on their menu that I've sampled was amazing.
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