Sachin Agarwal: Hi Daniel,

I am working on to calculating the probability of winning a player in a game in tennis. Please help me to solve the following scenario,

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Suppose payers are playing game 1 of set 1. and player A is serving. The probability of winning the game by player A comes as 00.6600, here to calculate this probability, we pass game score is 0:0 as the game has not begin yet, now player A won the game. Now in the next game, while player B is serving, to calculate the probability of winning the 2nd game by player B, we pass the game score as 0:0 as 2nd game has not started yet, Please tell me that, the last game that is won by player A will effect the probability of winning the 2nd game by player B.

Daniel Korzekwa: Points in tennis are not idd. Read this paper:

Franc J.G.M. Klaassen and Jan R. Magnus. Are Points in Tennis Independent and Identically Distributed? Evidence From a Dynamic Binary Panel Data Model, 2001