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Doug Upstone
Works at Vegas Pro Insiders Daily
Lives in Scottsdale, AZ
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NHL Thursday Picks of the Day -

When I started on the research for this articles to generate sports picks from the betting odds the sportsbooks sent out, a happy smile came across my face going through the numbers.

Though I had another perfect winning day, we as human beings also like choices and I really liked today's card.
I ended with three choices as my top plays, but if you happen to like New Jersey and the New York Rangers, I would not blame you since they were on my short list. The same was true of Dallas, but at -230 on the money line against a Calgary club which has won six in a row, that is not an enticing prospect for NHL picks.

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NFL 6-Point Teasers - Consider Playing This Four-Teamer for Week 15

As Christmas approaches, we are getting down to the nitty-gritty for this NFL season. The Week 15 betting odds are out from the sportsbooks and we move ahead to secure cash for ourselves in various ways.

The sportsbooks won again last week, but they did not kill it and are unlikely to the rest of the regular season barring an upset filled weekend. The books took some hits to the chin having one-sides action with Seattle and later New England. But those did was cut into profits already earned with heavy action on spread losers Buffalo, Chicago and Kansas City. Though there was wise guy action on Oakland, most parlay cards and teasers were loaded with Denver money, which ended up with the house.

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Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks (Dec.10)

By Doug Upstone of www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com (Download this daily on your phone by grabbing - Playbook Cube app)

Time to move ahead to Thursday where we have a little bit of everything for line moves in all the sports. Good Luck and see you back here tomorrow.


NFL– (101) MINNESOTA at (102) ARIZONA 8:25 ET NFLN

After rather quietly going about their business this season as the second-best team in the NFC, Arizona is an exploding favorite tonight, up three points to -10. Yes the Cardinals are the top scoring team in the NFL at 31.8 PPG and Minnesota looked very vulnerable as one dimensional team is drubbing by Seattle. But 10 is a lot of points and the past four times Arizona has handed out six or more points, they are 0-4 ATS. With the Vikings 17-6 ATS after one or more losses, sure seems like too many points.

Betting Trend - 63% backing Arizona
Doug's VPID Take - Minnesota covers

NBA – (501) PHILADELPHIA at (502) BROOKLYN 8:05 ET CSP, YES

It is a given Philadelphia will score more than the 68 points they tallied against San Antonio on Monday, but is that reason to believe the total should climb from 194 to 196.5 in this crummy matchup? The Sixers still average just over 90 PPG and while Brooklyn should be better than score typical 96 PPG, are they going to score 11 more? With Philly 9-0 UNDER after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half the last two seasons, I prefer original number.

Betting Trend - 92% backing Under
Doug's VPID Take - Play Under

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College Football Line Moves and Free Picks (Dec.4-5)

By Doug Upstone of www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com (Download this daily on your phone by grabbing - Playbook Cube app)

The final weekend of college football has arrived before the bowl game announcements and we are on top of the line moves from early in the week to the present. Besides this very useful information, we also have free picks on each contest to share. Please return Sunday when we review everything about Week 13 in the NFL.


CFB – Friday (303) NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. (304) BOWLING GREEN 8:00 ET ESPN2

Bowling Green was going to favored anyway in the MAC championship, but with Northern Illinois down to third string quarterback, the Falcons have flown from -9.5 to -11.5. Bowling Green is going to score, but can the Huskies keep pace with QB this far down the depth chart? Update - Because of NIU's QB situation and this not being the kind of defense we have seen from other Huskies clubs of the past, most are not sure how Northern Illinois will score and contain Bowling Green and pushed the line to 13.5.

Betting Trend - 53% backing Bowling Green
Doug's VPID Take - Slight lean Northern Illinois

CFB – (307) GEORGIA STATE at (308) GEORGIA SOUTHERN 2:00 ET W-ESPN New

The total in this Sun Belt Conference battle of Georgia has been sinking, down three points to 58. What the thinking could be is Georgia Southern could certainly hold their counterparts offense, as the Eagles only allow 22.3 PPG. Though Georgia Southern scores 37.7 PPG, in common opponents, Georgia State has only conceded 23.8 PPG. The adjustment sure seems correct making this a harder call. The public trend does not come close to matching where the number is going.

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Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks for Dec.3rd

By Doug Upstone of www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com

Back with the Thursday variety pack of line moves from the NBA, NHL and college basketball. Please return tomorrow afternoon when we go through big final weekend of college football.

NBA – (703) DENVER at (704) TORONTO 7:35 ET ALT2, SN1

These are certainly not the run and gun days of when George Karl used to coach Denver, ranked 26th in scoring (96.2 PPG), with matching ranking in points per possession. Toronto is hardly an offensive juggernaut at 99.9 PPG, but they are solid defensively both in points allowed (5th) and field goal percentage allowed (7th). When hoops bettors compile this information, they lowered the total of 196.5 to 192. With the Raptors having won in Atlanta as 4.5-point underdogs last night, they are 12-2 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog since season.

Betting Trend - 59% backing Under
Doug's VPID Take - Play Under

NBA – (705) ORLANDO at (706) UTAH 9:05 ET FSFL, RORM+

Orlando is no longer a joke in the NBA and are on exceptional 4-0 SU and ATS streak. Defense has been the key for the Magic and they are allowing just 91.2 PPG in this stretch. After reaching +6 early this morning, Orlando has sunk to +4 dogs. However, Utah has covered three in a row and won twice, losing to Golden State by just three. Jazz websites all report Utah players though unhappy they lost to Warriors, feeling quite good they competed with them. With lower number and having lost at Orlando on Nov.13, the Jazz are 9-0 ATS revenging a setback as a favorite the last two seasons.

Betting Trend - 64% backing Orlando
Doug's VPID Take - Utah covers

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Sports Picks - NFL Super Systems for Week 12 on Sides and Totals

With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, in professional football we move ahead to the rest of the week to look at the sportsbooks betting odds to determine what we like for sports picks.

As football handicapper I spend a lot of time going through statistics to understand the strengths and weaknesses of each team, seeking an edge that might stand out and matters for NFL picks. I also review meaningful trends that can tip scale in my favor and focus on systems that are too hard to ignore.

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NFL Football Line Moves and Free Picks (Nov.29)

By Doug Upstone of www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com (Download this daily on your phone by grabbing - Playbook Cube app)

With three games already in the books, we move ahead to Sunday in the NFL for Week 12 and we have all the latest line moves across the board along with free picks for you to ponder. See you back here on Tuesday!


NFL – (251) NEW ORLEANS at (252) HOUSTON 1:00 ET FOX

Though Robb Ryan is now unemployed, that is not the lead reason why this nonconference total went down from 49 to 47.5. It is more likely the Houston defense has allowed 29 total points in last three games and their offense is designed to limit risks in averaging 20.8 PPG. Update - A little of a reversal with total back to 48, but can Texans offense exploit Saints weakness?

Betting Trend - 74% backing Over
Doug's VPID Take - Lean Under

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Sports Betting Line Moves and Free Picks (Dec.17)

By Doug Upstone of www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com (Download this daily on your phone by grabbing - Playbook Cube app)


It's Thursday, which means we have a nice variety of sports to contemplate and go over for line moves. We also have more free picks, which has worked out nicely at 14-8, 63.6% of late. See you back here tomorrow!


NFL – (301) TAMPA BAY at (104) ST. LOUIS 8:25 ET NFLN

Tampa Bay did not handle the role of favorite very well in home loss to New Orleans. St. Louis ended their five-game losing streak by ramming the ball down the throats of Detroit for 203 yards. Oddsmakers remained unconvinced about the Rams and made the Buccaneers a one-point choice, but by Wednesday morning they were receiving a two-point. The Bucs are 4-2 ATS this season, but St. Louis is 13-3 ATS at home against defenses conceding 3.5 or fewer yards a carry. Update - The money continues to flow towards the home team with the Rams now up to -3, which means larger bets coming on St. Louis based on betting trends. At this price looking the other way.

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NFL 6-Point Teasers - Consider Playing This Four-Teamer for Week 14

We are down to the last quarter of the 2015 NFL regular season and the betting odds have had time to stew since the sportsbooks sent them out. What looks good or what looks bad?

Before we head down that road, let's do a quick recap from last week. Though the books had some exposure with the volume of Green Bay wagers, the money was on Detroit, who lost on a Hail Mary, which also affected the spread. The public had good wins on Seattle, Denver, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Arizona (last two saw late sharp action against).

However, one game turned the tide on all aspects and that was New England being upset by Philadelphia. Not only was it a huge spread winner for the books, but it blew out money line wagers, parlay and teaser cards like Kayne West talking about Taylor Swift.

Let's move ahead to NFL teasers, as football handicappers like myself use teasers more frequently to be right side of key numbers to build an edge. While I present a four-team teaser weekly, break these out into two or three-team teasers, which increases your chances of winning, as I have actually been correct overall on 36 of 51 choices. (One Push)

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Doug's Award Winning Plays (Independently Monitored)


Currently No.2 in NFL at TheSportsEyeMonitor.com (No.1 in Money Earned)
Currently No.5 in NFL at CappersMonitor.com (Includes NFLX)
(Both at over 63 Percent)

Free Play - Denver -4 NFL

All free today at www.vegasproinsidersdaily.com. 
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NFL 6-Point Teasers - Consider Playing This Four-Teamer for Week 13

The NFL season continues to click along and if you have been following this article and making teaser bets for sports picks, you undoubtedly have won and been beating the betting odds .

The sportsbooks finally had a losing week according to sources and it could have been a lot worse. Internet reports had more money bet on the three Thanksgiving Day games than all nine of the 1:00 ET games on Sunday.

The books took a bath with heavy action in terms of dollars on Detroit and Carolina, but were bailed out by Green Bay losing. Sunday was more of the same and capped off with Denver's stunning OT victory. Monday's crazy ending saved the books with Baltimore winning, but they still finished in the red.

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NHL Thursday Picks of the Day -

Another intriguing day on the ice with the various releases from the sportsbooks. Today's betting odds are seeming inflated, telling and right on the mark and those are just from three games we checked.

We will be talking about all three of those circumstances and offer our opinion on who you might want to take for sports picks. Yesterday I went 1-2, but not going to apologize for losing not one but two games in shootouts. That is just bad luck against the NHL odds.

Florida Falters Again in Nashville

The Panthers are closing in on .500 for the season, having won three in a row to raise their record to 11-13 SU for the season. Florida defense has been superb with only four goals allowed, as their defensemen has been exceptional in clearing out the center of the ice and forcing opposing teams wide.

Florida opened as +135 road underdogs at Nashville (13-11 SU), which seems like a fair number especially when you realize the circumstances. I'm not going to say it's been too long since the Panthers beat the Predators on the road, but the last time they accomplished this was when Ricky Martin was singing "Livin' la Vida Loca". (1999)

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Have him in circles
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Owner - President, Vegas Pro Insiders Daily and Content Editor for the Sports Watch Monitor
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* In depth sports analysis * Writing in various styles * Ghost-writing in a manner nobody knows it is me
Employment
  • Vegas Pro Insiders Daily
    President - Sports Expert, 2008 - present
    Blog writing and sports analysis and Picks covering all the major sports. Also doing freelance writing for Playbook.com, Locker Room Picks and other various locations. Visit my Linkedin account (Douglas Upstone).
  • Sports-Watch.com
    Content Editor at Sports Watch Monitor, 2012 - present
    As stated, content editor, which includes writing, audio and video presentations with our partners.
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Story
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Honest, Hard-Working and Focused and a picture of Tommy Lee always make me smile.
Introduction
By now you have figured out my name is Doug and spent many a cold winter and sometimes summers in Milwaukee, WI before heading to the desert. My friends tell I used to have a sense of humor. 

I watch more sports in a year then most people do in a lifetime, but this is part of my job and somehow my wife puts up with. 

I consider myself very knowledgeable in most sports and an expert in many and share my thoughts at the various websites I work for. Any day, take a look at www.3dailywinners.com and see if you agree or disagree. 
Bragging rights
Though my jumping ability has been curtailed to hopping over pavement lines and I struggle to guard a parked car, I can still drain the J with anyone.
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Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
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Scottsdale, AZ
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