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Arthur Knopf
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
The market measured by the SPX has managed to gain a total of five points over the last month from 2278 when my Short Term Indicator joined the overall Indicator Scoreboard on December 11 pointing to an intermediate term top...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
First let me wish everyone a happy and prosperous New Year. Next I want to outline what I see as the ideal scenario for the first quarter. Sentiment has a major influence on the markets direction, and is often a result o...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
Apparently Wall Street is in complete agreement with Avi Gilbert that investors only worry for 2017 is how high the market will go. This confidence/complacency is reflected in the sentiment measures, showing that investors a...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
I will be the first to admit that my call last week for further consolidation was wrong as the SPX followed European markets higher last week after the "No" vote on the Italian referendum. The breakout over the previous high...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
... at least that's you are led to believe by nearly all of the market pundits. While I was one of the few calling for a post-election rally early November based on extreme bearish sentiment, intermediate indicators are now ...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
Last week produced the post-election rally as expected, but started a little sooner than expected with the FBI reneging on the Hillary email investigation followup Sunday afternoon. So I missed the Friday target posted earli...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
Jules Verne saw the significance of the number 20,000 as the journey to the depths of the deepest seas, will it also turn out to be the top of the DJIA? Admittedly the stock market is struggling at that level, failing only a...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
Recently, I noticed that the number of pageviews have increased dramatically, so I am providing an index for new readers who may need a refresher. 2015.03.. Long term forecast. Are high stock prices reasonable in a low growth...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
The Fed seems to have finally noticed the rise in interest rates (TNX) by not only increasing the Federal Funds rate to .50%, but also increasing the expected hikes next year to three. As I mentioned a couple of weeks ago th...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
... is how I feel at this stage of every rally. The bulls call it a pause to refresh when sideline cash is building up for the next rally phase, while the bears look at it as a period when smart money that loaded up on share...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
I'm starting to feel a lot like I did last Nov when everyone was predicting SPX 2300 by EOY and higher beyond and I was warning of an SPX 10% or more correction in Dec-Jan due to problems from China. Even Pretzel Logic has s...
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Arthur Knopf

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Market Timing.
First, I want to thank the loyal readers since I first started this journey a year ago October. Many thought my contrarian approach was too left field, but the last few weeks have seen over 3,000 page views a week, so I must...
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