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College Football by the Numbers
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Bringing Advanced Statistical Analysis to College Football
Bringing Advanced Statistical Analysis to College Football

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Play by Play Proof of Concept
Before the 2014 season, College Football by the Numbers was dealt a serious blow when the data I needed disappeared or moved behind an insurmountably high pay wall. I am now hoping to revive the site by developing my own standardized data. Using the links b...

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Quick Thoughts on Recruiting and Results
I noted earlier in the season that, based on recruiting results, the top five teams in 2014 should be Alabama, Ohio State, Florida State, LSU and Florida. The top three are in the playoffs (even if they shouldn't be). Oregon, the fourth, is 18th in recruiti...

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Recruiting and Performance, Part II
This is a continuation of a post from yesterday . I figured we needed some good numbers on the relationship between recruiting and performance, and I was uniquely positioned to do the analysis. If you want details on methodology or more results, check out t...

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Recruiting and Performance
Executive Summary: 4 and 5 star recruits are worth about 1/2 a point per game on average for the next four years.  That's about 25 points total By recruiting, the top 5 in 2014 should be #1 Alabama #2 Ohio State #3 Florida State #4 LSU #5 Florida Consistent...

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Effective Points per Possession (opponent adjusted), 2005-2013
We recently added a new feature here at CFBTN. If you go to the Teams menu, you'll find the option to look at team statistics for 2005 to 2013. To celebrate, I've decided to do a short series on the best performers across a few interesting teams statistics ...

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Texas A&M offense (2013) as animated gif
I said before the 2013 season that Texas A&M had the potential to field the best offense in the history of college football. They didn't reach that potential. They didn't have the best offense in 2013. But the potential was there: the Aggies finished 2nd in...

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The model likes Baylor by two TDs over Oklahoma State, LSU by 5 over Texas A&M, and Missouri by the same over Ole Miss. And it likes Florida State by 74.2 over Idaho; it could happen.

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Best offensives performances of the week
EP3 stands for Effective Points per Possession. It is a measure of how many points a team scores per possession while also allowing a point value for field position. The rankings here adjust EP3 for the strength of the opposing defense. 

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