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Ivan Kitov
Works at IDG RAS
Attended MIPT, Russia
Lives in Moscow, Russia
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Ivan Kitov

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Reasons for distrust of mainstream political parties
The Gardian wrote :
“What is on the march across Europe may not be the far right, but distrust,
disillusion, even full-scale rejection of the political establishment” What are the reasons behind
such attitudes to the political establishment?  Is it related ...
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Ivan Kitov

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European Union does not grant harmonized solution of demographic problems
Everybody knows that European Union is not
homogeneous. The idea behind unification was to overcome all kinds of disparity
by joint efforts. The inherent demographics processes in European countries do
not obey the unification plan, however.  The OECD datab...
Everybody knows that European Union is not homogeneous. The idea behind unification was to overcome all kinds of disparity by joint efforts. The inherent demographics processes in European countries do not obey the unificatio...
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WTI price between $20 and $30 after 2020
In
this blog, we made a mid-term prediction on the evolution of crude oil price in September
2012 : “The level of oil price in 2016 is expected between
$30 and $60 per barrel. “ This
is a revision to our oil price prediction as based on the difference betwe...
In this blog, we made a mid-term prediction on the evolution of crude oil price in September 2012: “The level of oil price in 2016 is expected between $30 and $60 per barrel. “ This is a revision to our oil price prediction...
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Copper price may fall deeper and aluminum is close to the bottom
Since 2008, we have
been reporting that the evolution of various components of CPI and PPI in the
United States is not a random process but rather a predetermined one with
long-term sustainable trends [ 1 , 2 ].
Using these trends, one can predict consumer ...
Since 2008, we have been reporting that the evolution of various components of CPI and PPI in the United States is not a random process but rather a predetermined one with long-term sustainable trends [1, 2]. Using these tren...
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On the rate of economic growth in BRIC
This post extends our previous analysi s of the long term GDP growth in developed countries with BRIC. Table 1 lists average annual increment of GDP per capita
(1990 USD) in developed countries. The best countries demonstrated increments
above $350 per year...
This post extends our previous analysis of the long term GDP growth in developed countries with BRIC. Table 1 lists average annual increment of GDP per capita (1990 USD) in developed countries. The best countries demonstr...
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Decaying economic growth in EU as an economic argument for Brexit
In our previous post ,
we demonstrated the fall in the rate of economic growth observed in the USA
since 1960. Overall, there exists a strong negative trend expressing the
fundamental property of economic growth – constant annual increment. Explained
in sim...
In our previous post, we demonstrated the fall in the rate of economic growth observed in the USA since 1960. Overall, there exists a strong negative trend expressing the fundamental property of economic growth – constant ann...
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European Union does not grant harmonized solution of demographic problems: part 2
Many European countries are missing in the first part of this post . All they deserve to be presented but we illustrate the
diversity of and similarities in population trajectories rather than create a comprehensive view on
the development in EU demography....
Many European countries are missing in the first part of this post. All they deserve to be presented but we illustrate the diversity of and similarities in population trajectories rather than create a comprehensive view on th...
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Some tricks with real GDP
We have discussed the incompatibility of real GDP data caused by the change in definition of the GDP deflator, dGDP, many times (in the USA - in 1977) [here, here, and here]. Time just strengthen our assumption that the growth of real GDP per capita (rGDPpc...
We have discussed the incompatibility of real GDP data caused by the change in definition of the GDP deflator, dGDP, many times (in the USA - in 1977) [here, here, and here]. Time just strengthen our assumption that the growt...
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The price of steel and iron will be falling, but not long
In December 2014, we
posted on the falling producer price of steel and iron in 2014 and on
further fall in 2015-2016. This prediction was right and the PPI of iron and
steel has been falling from 226 (January 2014) to 173 (February 2016). The
overall PPI ha...
In December 2014, we posted on the falling producer price of steel and iron in 2014 and on further fall in 2015-2016. This prediction was right and the PPI of iron and steel has been falling from 226 (January 2014) to 173 (Fe...
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The fall in energy and food prices will be long and deep
last time I
posted on the difference between the headline and core CPI in 2013. There is a good
reason to touch upon slow economic processes regularly but not often. Our concept of cyclic
evolution was formulated in 2007 and its updated version was posted m...
last time I posted on the difference between the headline and core CPI in 2013. There is a good reason to touch upon slow economic processes regularly but not often. Our concept of cyclic evolution was formulated in 2007 and ...
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Illustration of falling economic growth in developed countries
In this post, we continue analysis of GDP per capita in developed countries and BRIC. It was shown in two previous posts that the evolution of real GDP per capita is rather linear (not exponential) since 1960 and in many cases the growth rate is much lower ...
In this post, we continue analysis of GDP per capita in developed countries and BRIC. It was shown in two previous posts that the evolution of real GDP per capita is rather linear (not exponential) since 1960 and in many case...
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Ivan Kitov

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On the decaying rate of economic growth in the USA
We have published a few papers [ 1 , 2 , 3 ] and a book on the evolution of real GDP per capita. The message is very simple – economies
grow with a constant step, not a constant rate. Therefore, the rate of economic
growth is inversely proportional to the a...
We have published a few papers [1, 2, 3] and a book on the evolution of real GDP per capita. The message is very simple – economies grow with a constant step, not a constant rate. Therefore, the rate of economic growth is inv...
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Work
Occupation
research in geophysics and economcis
Employment
  • IDG RAS
    research in geophysics and economcis, present
Places
Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Currently
Moscow, Russia
Previously
Moscow, Russia - Vienna, Austria
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Contributor to
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Introduction
I am a Doctor of Physics and Mathematics, Lead Researcher  at the Institute for the Geospheres' Dynamics, Russian Academy of Sciences
Education
  • MIPT, Russia
Basic Information
Gender
Male