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Brandon White
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Lawyer in Charlotte, NC. 30 yrs old. Tar Heel grad. Election nut who loves polls, numbers, political speculation.
Lawyer in Charlotte, NC. 30 yrs old. Tar Heel grad. Election nut who loves polls, numbers, political speculation.

10 followers
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Brandon's posts

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Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and the Impending Gender-Gap Explosion
In every presidential election since exit polling began over forty years ago, Democrats have performed stronger among women than men, while Republicans performed stronger among men than women. Of the eleven elections since 1972, Democrats have lost the fema...

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No, Trump Is Not Unusually Strong Among Democrats - But He IS Unusually Weak Among Republicans
From Mitt Romney's past dalliance with government healthcare and abortion, to John McCain's involvement with campaign finance and immigration reform, strict purity to conservative orthodoxy has never been a Republican prerequisite for the presidential nomin...

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Trump vs. Rubio vs. Cruz In The Electoral College - Who Beats Clinton?
Getty image As the 2016 presidential race progresses, I've given in and decided to try my hand at a bit of electoral projection. True, I'm playing in a crowded field with bigger and better players, but this is mostly for me. Plus, everyone needs a hobby. Fo...

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Post-New Hampshire Primary Polling Suggests Trump's Historically Well Positioned To Capture GOP Nomination
Photos, from left to right, courtesy of Getty Images, Carlos Osorio/AP, and Mike Segar/Reuters To the chagrin of the sixty-to-seventy-odd percent of Republicans who do not support Donald Trump as their nominee for the presidency, the billionaire firebrand i...

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Iowa Entrance Poll Finding: Democratic Caucus-Goers Lurch Sharply Leftward in 2016, Republicans Less Conservative
Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images An unquestionable, and entirely predictable ideological shift in the Democratic Party was confirmed by the Iowa entrance poll on Monday night. The first such poll to be conducted in eight years revealed that Democrats, or at...

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Newsflash: Donald Trump's Poll Numbers Are Brutal, But That's Nothing New
Donald Trump peaked in 2011 national GOP primary polling at 26% . His best performance this year is 16% . Photo courtesy of Charlie Leight/2015 Getty Images. Donald Trump peaked in 2011 national GOP primary polling at 26% . His best performance this year is...

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The Rise of Non-White Voters: How The Racial Composition Of National 2016 Election Polls May Be Missing The Mark
Exit polling indicates that the non-white share of the electorate has increased by 2-4% in every presidential election since 1992. Picture courtesy of Jacquelyn Martin/A.P. The Cook Political Report's Political Analyst David Wasserman recently tweeted the m...

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Jeb vs. George: A Comparison Of The Bush Brothers' Pre-Primary Polling
Barbara Bush recently quipped that Jeb was not her favorite son. If pre-primary polling is any indication, he isn't America's favorite Bush, either. Photo courtesy of Eric Draper/AP. Jeb Bush received welcome news last week from an NBC/WSJ poll finding him ...

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The Silent Center: How Republican Moderates Have Come To Dominate Recent Presidential Primaries
Rick Santorum was the runner-up to the Republican nomination in 2012, as was Mike Huckabee in 2008. But if either contest had been limited to 'very conservative' primary voters only , they likely would have been the Republican nominees for President in thei...

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Polling Update: Hillary Clinton's Image Dinged In Wake of Email Scandal, Though The Injuries Are Minor
Photo courtesy of Yana Paskova/Getty Images In the seemingly never-ending spectacle that is the modern day presidential campaign, the month of March 2015 will likely be remembered for the New York Times story revealing Hillary Clinton may have skirted State...
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