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Jay Blanc
Attended Oxbridge
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Jay Blanc

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The Conservatives have just edged up to 323, with several seats yet to be declared, and a slim majority expected. The national figure is, instead of tied, a six point lead for the Conservatives. So what went wrong with the prediction? First, the same thing ...
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Jay Blanc

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The people who came up with this idea need to be fired.
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+milath and through a black hole.
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Jay Blanc

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An apparent post debate labour lead in polling averages is muted somewhat by an ICM poll that gave the Conservatives a six point lead. However, in a change from the normal reporting standards, the Guardian carried a disclaimer from ICM identifying the poll ...
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Jay Blanc

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The bulk of post-debate polling finally settles in, and there does indeed appear to have been an effect. With that batch of polls released on Thursday night showing a clear trend in Labour's favour. But it's not all good news for Labour as a Scottish poll a...
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Jay Blanc

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Ugh. All I have to say about today’s celebrity ‘news’ is if you think an abusive bully prone to violence and threats against his staff deserves to keep his job, you may be an asshole.
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Jay Blanc

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With a week to go before the dissolution of Parliament, the final budget from the sitting government appears to have had no impact at all on Polling, with it remaining the same statistical tie. And likewise, there's no change in the prediction, with Labour ...
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Jay Blanc

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I note that people are still talking about Brand. The interesting thing for me is the idea people have that this will change the minds of those who turned 18 after 2010… Which is amusing, because that’s not who Brand’s audience is at all.

Yes, Brand appealed to “Young People” in their early 20s. Ten Years Ago. Brand’s fans are now in their thirties. Somewhat of a failure to grasp that “youth culture” is a moving target.
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Jay Blanc

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There's less than a week to go, and because in general last-minute movement of polling is as misleading just as often as it is accurate, this will be my final run of the model. And once more, the result is that of a statistical tie between the two main part...
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It's sickening that the Conservatives will get away with the past half decade of savagery, on the pretext that it was necessary to contract the economy in order to save it. Why? Because in the end Labour didn't have the guts to attack that lie.
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Jay Blanc

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Apologies for the lack of updates, a lengthy bought of flu left me really unable to come up with interesting things for you to read, and there wasn't any interesting movement in polls to report. Those following the polls will release that there's also almos...
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Jay Blanc

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This is a moderately significant update, and just to make sure you take it seriously I remind you it's far too late for this to be an April fools. As the model ticks forward each day closer to the election, the weak reversion to mean is applied, and old pol...
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A little late with this update, due to expecting more polling would be conducted to show how things have changed after the debate. Unfortunately, the timing of the bank holiday weekend means there hasn't been a lot of polling conducted, and what little has ...
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Jay Blanc

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Peppered salmon, camembert, greens and noodles 
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People
Have them in circles
320 people
Brian Buhl's profile photo
Karen Price's profile photo
Stephanie Rebours-Smith's profile photo
Zorin the Lynx's profile photo
Kenfe-Mickaël Laventure's profile photo
Danny Wardd's profile photo
Camara Aicha's profile photo
Ingame GmbH Hamburg Internetservice's profile photo
unPlayable_Games's profile photo
Education
  • Oxbridge
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Writer who writes while writing.
Introduction
Because I'm currently being added by a lot of people, if you are known to me and want to identify that please let me know though normal channels. Otherwise, I'm unlikely to add you back at the moment due to the amount of people who are adding me to their circles.

A good way to ensure that I not only don't follow you, but actually ban you, is if you share or re-share disgusting 4-chan style stuff. I don't want to see that stuff turn up in my incoming.

I assert my right as an EU Citizen to edit this profile for privacy reasons according to Section 18 of the The Privacy and Electronic Communications (EC Directive) Regulations 2003. Any action taken against this subscriber's account due to editing this Public Subscriber Directory to maintain privacy, will be directed to the Information Commissioner, and may result in regulatory fines being levied against Google UK PLC.

http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2003/2426/regulation/18/made

difficile est saturam non scribere. nam quis iniquaetam patiens urbis, tam ferreus, ut teneat se...
Bragging rights
Identified exact legislation that Google Profiles seems to break, posted about it, got several hundred re-shares, initiated a letter writing campaign, and kicked of a regulator investigation; while sitting on my sofa eating pizza. Once called a weirdo by David Bowie.
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Genderfluid