What's the larger social threat, ultimately? Crime? Or Political upheaval?+Ronald Parker called out the following quote in the
Atlantic interview of UC Davis CompSci professor Philip Rogaway:
"Fortunately, criminal behavior has never been such a drag on society that it’s foreclosed entire areas of technological advance."
Unfortunately, political behavior has. -- Ronald Parker
From which my question, taking Rogaway's comments one step further.
Most crime is unorganised, the exception being
organised crime, though that almost always has quasi-political or outright political overtones, with corruption and failed states (themselves forms of political failure) almost always playing roles.
Political violence is
of necessity organised. And ... can be absolutely brutal. Krystalnacht. The Hololcaust. The Great Irish Famine. The Ukrainian Holdomor.
In its lesser forms, Political failure and overthrow become frighteningly close to what's become the norm in North America and Europe -- feeding the Plutonomy. Corruption of the legal and economic systems to oppress, take property and livelihoods, destroy lives, or kill directly. With impudence.
With
general lawlessness you end up with stories such as the Bronx is Burning episodes of the 1970s (though many if not most of the fires were arson, set by property owners, often for insurance payouts), or Detroit of the past two decades. Or of Venezuela or Honduras, the latter with the highest murder rates in the world.
Widespread organised crime leads to situations such as have afflicted Mexico for the past two decades, with tens of thousands dead in what's very literally been a drug war. The political element of this is hugely significant though -- local and state police, and even the military are involved in both the drugs trade and violence.
And the ultimate degenerate case is outright civil war. The American Civil war
remains the bloodiest the country's ever experienced, far the more when casualties as a proportion of the population are considered.
Which suggests again that Rogaway's focus on the
political rather than
criminal potentials for computer science and technology abuse are very well considered. Tools for magnifying and amplifying power, governmental or otherwise, without the social, civil society, legal, and institutional protections against abuse could be massively dangerous.
+David Brin's
Transparent Society strikes me as very thin shield.