I'm so frustrated by the misinformation I see in the press, and coming from both Malaysian and Australian officials. I'm really not in the mood to write a proper article, stepping through the logic and supporting facts with references as I usually do for this kind of thing. Im just going to make a few points and see where it goes from there.
I posted here on G+ on 18th of March defending the lack of information being shared immediately by the Malaysian Authorities. It takes time to verify information, and the few times something has slipped through, it has come back to bite them, requiring a correction a few days later.
The latest news that new analysis
of the satellite data has led to the conclusion that #MH370
went down in the Indian Ocean is based on yet another "fact" that cannot be verified. They are essentially saying "Trust us". They have not released the satellite data for independent analysis as far as I am aware. I am not at all surprised that China is now demanding
a copy of this data.
The "satellite arcs" on which so much of the search has hinged, are derived from only one single ping out of perhaps six or seven which were received. I have already stated my opinion on the accuracy of these arcs somewhere deep amongst the comments on the post by +chris goodfellow
which has been so widely circulated.
"New analysis" is not the same as "new data". I can only assume that any new conclusion is based on someones alternate interpretation of the same original data that created these arcs almost two weeks ago. What changed?
Based on the new conclusion, #Australia
was quick to say that the operation is moving from the search phase into the recovery phase
. This would indicate that they have located some debris, (no longer searching) and are about to recover it. As of 5pm AEST today, I have not yet seen a report that any debris had been physically located. The unfortunate truth is that until a ship has located the debris and can begin to haul it aboard, this is still very much a search operation. Language is important here, a fact I would have imagined all politicians would be well aware of.
Even after the first pieces of wreckage are recovered, I would still expect it to take at least 48 hours for investigators to confirm with Boeing that they are indeed from 9M-MRO. Sadly I predict this announcement will come while it is still lying wet on the deck of HMAS Success.
I haven't been watching all of the press conferences from Malaysia, but as I understand it the Malaysian Prime Minister has made an appearance only twice, each time to break important news. I cant help but think he has thought to himself (on both occasions) "This has gone on long enough. Its time to correct the record".
By announcing that the flight is now presumed "crashed into the Indian Ocean" he provides some measure of closure for families, and at the same time effectively turns the spotlight on Australia, since there is not a lot more that Malaysian Authorities can say at this stage. He has been very careful with the language he has used, on both occasions, and on both occasions he has steered the investigation on a firm course when it had been beginning to flounder.
Finally, I'd like to remind +Malaysia Airlines
that its generally considered bad form to break up a relationship with ones partner by text message, so who thought it was a good idea to inform families that their loved ones were presumed dead
in the same way? I accept that you may have wanted them to hear the news from you first, but this is not a race. It is not about coming first. Shame on you!