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Bill McBride
Worked at Calculated Risk
Attended UC Irvine
Lives in orange county, ca
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Bill McBride

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Q2 GDP: Investment Slump
The graph below shows the contribution to GDP from residential investment, equipment and software, and nonresidential structures (3 quarter trailing average). This is important to follow because residential investment tends to lead the economy, equipment an...
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BEA: Real GDP increased at 1.2% Annualized Rate in Q2
From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product: Second Quarter 2016 (Advance Estimate) Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 1.2 percent in the second quarter of 2016 , according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analys...
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Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since May 2008
Fannie Mae reported today that the Single-Family Serious Delinquency rate declined in June to 1.32%, down from 1.38% in May. The serious delinquency rate is down from 1.66% in June 2015. These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past...
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Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Declined Modestly" in July
From the Kansas City Fed: Tenth District Manufacturing Activity Declined Modestly The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released the July Manufacturing Survey today. According to Chad Wilkerson, vice president and economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of ...
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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 264,000
The DOL reported : In the week ending July 23, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 266,000, an increase of 14,000 from the
previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,000 from 253,000 to 252,000. ...
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Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in June, Lowest since July 2008
Freddie Mac reported that the Single-Family serious delinquency rate decreased in June to 1.08% from 1.11% in May.  Freddie's rate is down from 1.53% in June 2015. This is the lowest rate since July 2008. Freddie's serious delinquency rate peaked in Februar...
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Bill McBride

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Chicago PMI declines in July, Final July Consumer Sentiment at 90.0
Chicago PMI: July Chicago Business Barometer Down 1 Point to 55.8 The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell 1 point to 55.8
in July from the 1½-year high of 56.8 in June , led by a
fall in New Orders. Smaller declines were seen in
Production and Order Backlog...
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Friday: Q2 GDP, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
Note: As part of the GDP release tomorrow, the BEA will also release the annual revision. From the BEA : The annual revision of the national income and product accounts, covering the first
quarter of 2013 through the first quarter of 2016, will be released ...
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Zillow Forecast: Expect slightly slower YoY Growth in June for the Case-Shiller Indexes
The Case-Shiller house price indexes for May were released Tuesday. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller a month early, and I like to check the Zillow forecasts since they have been pretty close. From Zillow: June Case-Shiller Forecast: Expect a Third Straight Mo...
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HVS: Q2 2016 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
The Census Bureau released the Residential Vacancies and Homeownership report for Q2 2016. This report is frequently mentioned by analysts and the media to track household formation, the homeownership rate, and the homeowner and rental vacancy rates.  Howev...
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Thursday: Unemployment Claims
Based on the FOMC statement, the likelihood of a rate hike in September (or November or December) has increased. Most analysts talk about possible rate hikes in September or December (ignoring November) because of the scheduled press conferences. However ...
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FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy, Upgrade Economy, Risk "diminished"
FOMC Statement: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that the labor market strengthened and that economic activity has been expanding at a moderate rate . Job gains were strong in June following weak growth in M...
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552 people
KAZIM ALI's profile photo
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李苏琮's profile photo
Sandra Matthews's profile photo
John Redmann's profile photo
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