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Jay Gischer
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Jay Gischer

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I'm quoting at length from a discussion section of the Guardian. You have to scroll down a bit to find it. Commenter Teebs has put together my thoughts, and gone well beyond them. If what he says holds, then Cameron has probably engineeered the greatest takedown of a political blowhard ever. To do it, though, he had to be willing to resign:

This was via +Brad DeLong 


If Boris Johnson looked downbeat yesterday, that is because he realises that he has lost.

Perhaps many Brexiters do not realise it yet, but they have actually lost, and it is all down to one man: David Cameron.

With one fell swoop yesterday at 9:15 am, Cameron effectively annulled the referendum result, and simultaneously destroyed the political careers of Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and leading Brexiters who cost him so much anguish, not to mention his premiership.


Throughout the campaign, Cameron had repeatedly said that a vote for leave would lead to triggering Article 50 straight away. Whether implicitly or explicitly, the image was clear: he would be giving that notice under Article 50 the morning after a vote to leave. Whether that was scaremongering or not is a bit moot now but, in the midst of the sentimental nautical references of his speech yesterday, he quietly abandoned that position and handed the responsibility over to his successor.

And as the day wore on, the enormity of that step started to sink in: the markets, Sterling, Scotland, the Irish border, the Gibraltar border, the frontier at Calais, the need to continue compliance with all EU regulations for a free market, re-issuing passports, Brits abroad, EU citizens in Britain, the mountain of legistlation to be torn up and rewritten ... the list grew and grew.

The referendum result is not binding. It is advisory. Parliament is not bound to commit itself in that same direction.

The Conservative party election that Cameron triggered will now have one question looming over it: will you, if elected as party leader, trigger the notice under Article 50?

Who will want to have the responsibility of all those ramifications and consequences on his/her head and shoulders?

Boris Johnson knew this yesterday, when he emerged subdued from his home and was even more subdued at the press conference. He has been out-maneouvered and check-mated.

If he runs for leadership of the party, and then fails to follow through on triggering Article 50, then he is finished. If he does not run and effectively abandons the field, then he is finished. If he runs, wins and pulls the UK out of the EU, then it will all be over - Scotland will break away, there will be upheaval in Ireland, a recession ... broken trade agreements. Then he is also finished. Boris Johnson knows all of this. When he acts like the dumb blond it is just that: an act.

The Brexit leaders now have a result that they cannot use. For them, leadership of the Tory party has become a poison chalice.

When Boris Johnson said there was no need to trigger Article 50 straight away, what he really meant to say was "never". When Michael Gove went on and on about "informal negotiations" ... why? why not the formal ones straight away? ... he also meant not triggering the formal departure. They both know what a formal demarche would mean: an irreversible step that neither of them is prepared to take.

All that remains is for someone to have the guts to stand up and say that Brexit is unachievable in reality without an enormous amount of pain and destruction, that cannot be borne. And David Cameron has put the onus of making that statement on the heads of the people who led the Brexit campaign.
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The only problem with this is, the common sentiment in the EU - when I speak with people about the Brexit, so it is still a small and biased sample - is mostly "good riddance".

Now if that's even remotely the consensus amongst EU leaders, then the UK has lost a lot of credibility as well, especially if they don't follow through on leaving. Either way, the country got shafted along the way.

It's a high cost for avoiding the actual Brexit. Maybe the best overall outcome, but still bad. 
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Jay Gischer

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The Credit Mobilier has got nothing on Mr. T.

It's hucksterism all the way down.
Donald Trump sources $6M worth of campaign expenditures from companies he and his family own
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Jay Gischer

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After getting it as a Father's Day gift from +Kit Gischer, I spent my first night paddling around in Stellaris last night.

Sunday night we had people over, and I fooled around a bit with the humans, just trying to figure out how the thing worked, since there are a lot of new mechanics and UI.

But Monday we started afresh with Space Mushrooms. A fungoid race. This went pretty well for a while, but I ultimately gave up when I went negative on influence gain (I thought that alliance with the birds against the evil squids would be a good thing!). The final straw, though, was when all my scientists (and at least one governor) died while I had no influence to buy replacements.

Oops. Apparently there's this thing called Influence that I need to manage, and I build outposts a little too aggressively.

Next was bird people. I kind of think they look like parakeets. My grandma kept parakeets. She called one "pretty boy". That sort of fits. Anyway, they get a bit more influence, and I was very careful about spending it. So that's going well. Using hyperspace lanes instead of warp drive or a wormhole generator makes the game different. Also, I had several random events/anomalies that ended up giving me ships. This also helps.

However, the giant packs of Space Amoeba that are sitting in my space lanes and guarding nice planets are not helping. I'm not happy, Bob. Not. Happy.

I've played several other Paradox games. I enjoyed the others, but this is the best by a fair margin. Iteration is kind of a thing, apparently.

Stellaris® is a Grand Strategy game beginning at the discovery of faster-than-light travel that focuses on space exploration and empire-building. Stellaris® is developed by Paradox Development Studio, the creators of Crusader Kings II, and Europa Universalis IV
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+Brian Green In a recent post, you mentioned the value of iterating on a concept. Paradox has been iterating on the concept of a space 4X game, and Stellaris is the result. Some very interesting ideas.
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Pressed on where exactly he’d like to see the United States “fight back,” Christie didn’t offer any specifics.

“You gotta get over there and start making them pay where they live,” he said. “It’s an ugly and difficult thing but if we don’t get over there, they’re coming here, and they showed it again this weekend.”

Omar Mateen was born in New York City. So maybe there? We should make them pay, and they'll stop coming to gay clubs in Orlando?
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He's fighting for more donut shops
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I don't particularly like this graph, and I don't want you to take what I'm about to do as an "oh well, everything is fine, nothing to see". But I'm trying to understand something.

If you add up all the income growth here, it amounts to growth of about 31 percent.

Real domestic GDP growth over the same period I just calculated to be about 82 percent. Real domestic per capita GDP growth over that period, which is probably a better comparison, is at 51 percent.

So that difference - 31 to 51 percent - makes me wonder where all that money went. Someone/thing in America was getting that money as income - that's what GDP means. I guess that means it was corporations and not individuals, not even the .1% who were getting it.

This harmonizes with a world in which Apple Computer has over 100 bbillion dollars in the bank, I guess.

That needs to be on charts like this, I think. I think it's an important part of the picture.
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+Jay Gischer, equity income is complicated tax-wise by the how they are held. Nearly all equity is held in funds with some level of active trading and, IIRC, there are complete disclosures provided as part of the financial firm's tax compliance instead.
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Equality means people getting mean about men getting fat like they do with women. Sigh.

(Axl Rose is suing Google to try to get some pictures such as these taken down).
Create your own images with the Axl Rose Fat meme generator.
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Sad..for both males and females because it doesn't give slim people any options other than " one size fits all"
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I am one of the white liberals who loves Ta-Nehisi Coates, and this makes other prominent black writers and thinkers jealous and unhappy with him. Why do I like him so much?

The first, and most important, reason is that I belong to the Golden Horde. For the space of perhaps four years we conversated on a daily basis, talking with each other and Coates on his blog. From the very first, there were many things we did not agree about, and Coates was forthright about this. However, there were also things that created a deep connection - comic books, D&D, computer games and his astonishing ability to write the feelings of my own heart with his words (which were generally superior to my own).

Coates often said to us 'from the particular comes the universal'. He felt that if he, or another writer, could dig into a situation enough, if she could describe the situation in enough detail and scope, the reader would come on board, would feel what he felt.

With me, he succeeded in this on a regular basis. He is not the only one, just the one dearest to me.
It’s not what the wider world says about black writers that should concern them, so much as what they say about themselves.
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I am one of the white liberals who loves Ta-Nehisi Coates, and this makes other prominent black writers and thinkers jealous and unhappy with him.

It seems like there's a niche for a black journalist to function as an authority on American racial problems for the white audience. There really can only be one at a time; in the past it was Booker T. Washington, maybe James Baldwin. I would have put Cornel West in that category during hte 90's. For a time I thought Henry Louis Gates seemed to be gunning for the top spot, but it looks like he's receded since then.

Nowadays I think Coates has taken the crown. Naturally there is jealousy. It's a very lucrative and high profile position, and if you're a black intellectual being deprived of that spot means being ghettoized and ignored.
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Apparently cities do not own outright the utility poles in them. I did not know that.

And it's perhaps not surprising that the consortiums that do own them, which often have companies like Comcast and Time-Warner, don't particularly feel like letting Google become a member.

Meanwhile, I just read another story noting that bringing Google Fiber to a neighborhood typically increases property values by 11 percent.
Google is running into trouble with competitors trying to block the company's access to utility poles to hang cable for its ultra-fast Internet service. The issue will likely have a profound effect on which Bay Area cities get Google Fiber first.
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+Jay Gischer​ it may not be a mere coincidence. .I've telepathically been involved in other people's comments before. happens.'s aerie when it happens...I think in this day and age everyone should have proper id...
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"Disintermediation" is a concept I associate with the Internet. This piece traces it in politics, and the threads go back to the 70's or even much, much earlier. But then, "cut out the middleman" was a thing I heard long before there was an Internet.

I found it really hard to pick one pull quote, because this piece is so good. It keeps getting better. But let's start here:

To some extent, the reformers were right. They had good intentions and valid complaints. Back in the 1970s, as a teenager in the post-Watergate era, I was on their side. Why allow politicians ever to meet behind closed doors? Sunshine is the best disinfectant! Why allow private money to buy favors and distort policy making? Ban it and use Treasury funds to finance elections! It was easy, in those days, to see that there was dirty water in the tub. What was not so evident was the reason the water was dirty, which was the baby. So we started reforming.

I share this history and perspective. If this sounds too much like "you kids get off my lawn", or "In the old days we ...", I ask you to just read it, and make up your own mind.

You don't have to agree, but I do want you to engage with the ideas here. They've been front and center this election cycle.
Republicans and Democrats of 2016 have neither intelligible boundaries nor enforceable norms. As a result, renegade political behavior pays.
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I hear you. But the other thing a solution requires is an actual desire to solve the problem, something that hasn't been convincingly demonstrated by the Clinton camp.
Notably, the Democratic platform (as of today) doesn't actually support the hypothesis that Secy. Clinton has a strong personal interest in solving our largest problems.
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Like she said, it's amazing.
These performers are suspended on wires, against the side of a building, and dancing. It's amazing. (The dance starts about 40 seconds into the video.)

In the video, they frequently "jump" off the surface of the building, soar through the air, and "land" again. Their path, doing so, looks totally different that our brains expect a thrown object to look -- naturally, because they're not moving under the influence of gravity . (Well, of course they are, but not in the way our brains expect.) This should make for some interesting classroom demonstration, but I haven't yet put it together.
Watch as members of the "vertical dance troupe" BANDALOOP suspend themselves against the side of a Boston skyscraper and perform a routine that's as terrifying as it is mesmerizing.
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It's beautiful!
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It's quite true that the models predict that it's very hard for one party to win a third presidential term. Roosevelt/Truman won five.

The Republicans probably could have had this one if they had fielded a moderate - or at least someone that could sound like a moderate - and sound like he had the temperament that most Americans require of someone who commands the nuclear arsenal.

They are in the midst of an upheaval and death must precede rebirth. I feel that this election is showing the mark of a swath of voters who feel that the world and the country is passing them by and is determined not to go gentle into that good night.

I think it's possible that many Republican voters took one look at the slate of candidates, concluded that the Republicans were going to lose this cycle, and decided to pick the candidate that would most annoy and troll Democrats.
No amount of poll data or history can stand in for voters willing to think for themselves.
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I'd question "the models predict that it's very hard for one party to win a third presidential term." It's not as if this is derived from some kind of fundamental principle, it's just an observation from history. And I claim that you shouldn't read too much into such observations from history, because we just have too few data points to reliably distinguish between patterns and coincidences. How many times in the last 50 years has there been a presidential election after one party has held the presidency for eight years? I count five. (1968, after eight years of Kennedy and Johnson; 1976, after eight years of Nixon and Ford; 1988, after eight years of Reagan; 2000, after eight years of Clinton; and 2008, after eight years of Bush.

The president's party did win a third term in one of those five, and at least three of the other cases were highly unusual and could very reasonably be argued to be special cases rather than part of a pattern. We should be cautious before forming conclusions from tiny datasets.
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Luella Armstrong graduated from the University of Washington with an engineering degree. And so did I, 28 years later. Go Dogs!

She is pretty awesome, based on this story.
In 1951, Luella Armstrong, now 86, was a graduate from what is now the Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics. The story was headlined, “One girl ... ” Times have changed and a few corrections are in order.
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I'm a software developer by day, 3000-year-old redheaded elf by night.  Born in Blaine, I surprised many in Lynden by my success.  You can tell I live in Silicon Valley, because I know what "Sunnytoga-DeAnzavale Road" refers to.
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Mountain View, CA