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David Brin
Works at Futurist, Scientist, Author: The Postman, Startide Rising, Earth, Existence
Attended California Institute of Technology
Lives in San Diego
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David Brin

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Big News.  In one US state as many as 16.1% of voting republicans aren't crazy!

Look at the bright side. 16 % is a start...

http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-new-hampshire-primary-live-updates-trailguide-20160209-htmlstory.html
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+Marty Gentillon Sanders views, particularly his rhetoric, are as much outside the Overton window as Trump's nearly-open fascism. Rather than offer incremental improvements, he panders by lying to the left about what can be achieved in the next decade. His followers are extremists who have been radicalized by decades of being taken for granted by their own party. He's telling them exactly what they want to hear and they're eating up the lie.

Proof? A sizable portion of Sanders supporters would let a Republican win rather than vote for a real Democrat. This is batshit crazy.

He's a godless socialist, but despite his current endorsement of democratic socialism, he previously endorsed a more Marxist flavor. He was favorable towards Communist countries, including the USSR, where he had his honeymoon. He spoke of nationalizing private businesses by force. He only backed down so he could get elected, and it's not clear that his views have actually changed.

So, is it strictly accurate to say he's a godless Commie? Meh, who cares? It's close enough to work as a smear. Oh, and he blurted on Kimmel that he's an atheist.

Setting Trump against the plutocrats is ridiculous because he's one of them.
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David Brin

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To all you readers of great short hard-SF. Can any of you recall excellent short stories about solar sails or light sails pub'd across the last 20 years? We already have the classics that are older than that. It's for possible inclusion in an updated edition of Project Solar Sail. Thanks.
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+Luis Ortiz Flores Still it would be interesting to test the design.
The ISS has flywheel batteries in it already. They work fine.

Perhaps the wheels generate enough voltage to charge capacitor to activate the next pulse and step generate a lot of voltage.
That's just a voltage multiplier circuit, and the increased voltage means reduced current. You're not escaping the laws of thermodynamics with this.

Without building a machine and in space, it is difficult to guess.
No, the physics are very well known already. This stuff goes back to Faraday.

I do not suggest using solar sails to turn the wheels.
Then what's turning the wheels?

Sails propel the ship. The wheels produce artificial gravity and heat. And light; and magnetic shields.
Again, that power has to come from somewhere. Thermodynamics. Wheels don't just spin themselves.

And if we anchored a huge solar sail on an asteroid half a kilometer and bring our planet. We put it in orbit and put it a loading crane. We raise with balloons capsules with tourists inside, and cable hooked asteroid. We put on the asteroid a hotel for honeymooners and thereby finance the solution of global warming.
That's a pretty stunning montage of omitted steps.
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David Brin

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My weekend posting is on science! My answer to keep artificial intelligences (AI) from running wild! What's the most transformative technology of the next 3 years? Quantum computers for the rest of us? Prehistoric massacres!  Skin wearable systems and so on.  Even in a political year, the real folks who are changing the world - mostly for the better - remain focused.

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2016/02/big-questions-for-future.html
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+Anthony Tedesco, that's an excellent point: Landing first on new, high-value turf can make a huge difference in which bundle of future paths, and which players attached to those paths, will dominate.

When that happens, sometimes only a true catastrophe can undo the advantage that has been set. If you don't believe that, just ask the dinosaurs.

I didn't discover the Hyperion series until this year. Great science-fiction!
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David Brin

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My midweek posting sheds light on at least a dozen implications of the Iowa caucuses that (I promise) you've seen mentioned nowhere else, on any medium. Like Ted Cruz's real plan, and what trick Donald Trump neglected, because of pride. Why did Paul Krugman tout "uplift"? And why "radical" solutions are never best implemented by Radicals.

Why did the GOP lords appoint Nikki Haley to answer POTUS's SOTU speech? And I review an essay that unveils "8 reasons for Trumpism." Some of them clear and strong, but the writer misses several much bigger ones.

Am I a credentialed pundit? Well, marginally. Do I offer different insights? As Sarah Palin would put it -- "You betcha."

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2016/02/iowa-inanity-sotu-and-political-games.html

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Not something to ignore, but not something that distinguishes between Sanders and Clinton. 
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David Brin

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Wow. An utterly fine review by noted blogger-on-SF Brad K. Horner of my new short story collection INSISTENCE OF VISION.  Here's the sort of perceptive reader for whom I want to write more.  Have a look at what he says about this breakthrough volume.  And note: it's discounted for pre-orders!

http://danrymes.blogspot.ca/2016/01/insistence-of-vision-by-david-brin-my.html

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2016/01/insistence-of-vision-and-other-forward.html
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David Brin

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Those who insist we should have made no deal with Iran, but instead rattle sabers to drive average Iranians into the mullahs’ arms… these voices were the ones who screeched when Henry Kissinger went to Mao’s China, in 1971.  In some cases the VERY same voices. Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger were savvy enough to see how stupid a situation we were in, to abide a triangle that favored the Soviets, with us hating on both the USSR and China and the Sovs getting to hold center position.  Kissinger arranged a judo move in which WE became the ones talking to both sides and playing them off each other.  

http://china.usc.edu/getting-beijing-henry-kissingers-secret-1971-trip

Now? “Feckless” Obama has just pulled a Nixon by opening up better relations with Iran, allowing us to take that favorable position, playing Iran against Saudia. It is obviously and blatantly the smart thing to do… once we coerced Iran to eliminate 25 tons of enriched uranium and to pour concrete into its plutonium reactor. And accept strong inspections.

But witness the Fox’ism as one commenter decried the comparison:  “We have not exchanged embassies with Iran. Their leaders will not stop calling us the devil. Obama has not gone to Iran. What have we gained the ability to threaten the Saudis with?”

To which I reply that foxisms are drivel. We do not need an embassy if two million Iranian expatriates start investing in their homeland, using economic leverage to help Rouhani and undermine the Guards, who are screaming in terror over that.  We are still at the Kissinger phase, fool. And Mao called us devils till the day he died… while working with the US to scare the crap out of the Russkies.

“Feckless” Obama “lost Crimea”… after stealing the entire Ukraine from the Russian sphere of influence, the biggest expansion of the West since the end of the Cold War. Russian media and Putin himself lay that “disaster” right at the feet of the man they call "aggressively clever" and anything but “feckless.”

The entire US military is back at 100% readiness, even the reserves, after plummeting to 0% (for major US Army and Marine and Reserve units) at the end of both Bush administrations. While casualty rates among servicemen/women have plummeted and Defense modernization is at its fastest pace ever. And every metric of US national health has gone up -- and almost every one plummeted across both Bushes.

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2014/06/so-do-outcomes-matter-more-than-rhetoric.html

And… oh… yeah.  Obama killed Osama bin Laden.  Did you think we’ll let you forget that?  Never, b******s.
A documentary history of US efforts under Richard Nixon to open discussions with Chinese leaders, an effort that yielded Kissinger's trip forty years ago this month.
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+Jeff Green Only the truly meritorious and discerning can appreciate the ineffible qualities of the Emperor's new clothes.
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David Brin

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My Monday posting is a wild ride of political unconventionality, shedding (strange) light on Donald Trump, the angriest Sanders-supporters, the most foolish Hillary backers, and why PAC money is working so poorly that the election buyers are shifting to new tactics. And will some kooky folks, caught up in populist fervor, start raising indie banners of SANDERS-TRUMP or else TRUMP-Sanders?

Hey, before this year is out, you'll see even weirder than that.

http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2016/02/a-perfect-storm-of-politics.html
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+sporadic -Z that's a point, but in the current political climate, do you think it would really get anything less done than any other option?
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David Brin

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San Diego Comic Fest this weekend at the Town and Country Resort. I’ll be there Saturday, along with guest of honor Greg Bear as well as Jonathan Maberry, Bryan and Mary Talbot and many others…. 
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Seeing Usagi Yojimbo makes me feel super old... TT
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David Brin

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Here’s the most hilarious impromptu comeback joke I've heard in months.  It had a table of a dozen Washingtonians snorting beer and choking/guffawing. 
 
All right, the topic was political, sure.  But the punch line wasn't!
 
The setup: One fellow commented on all the hurrow over how President Obama, inexperienced amid his first months in office, bowed a bit too low when greeting the Saudi King.
 
"You don't see the same fuss over pictures of George Bush, walking hand-in hand with Saudi princes. Heck there's even a photo of Bush actually kissing the Saudi king... on the lips!"
 
To which another fellow replied, dryly:
 
"Well... in fairness... have you seen him?"
 
One beat.  Two beats. And we all fell apart. 

Fair enough!  Some temptations I guess are impossible to resist.
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frater chaos's profile photoSally Smith's profile photoRoy Adams (roytoo)'s profile photoEdward Morbius's profile photo
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+Sally Smith Possibly. Though Bush was mostly in China during the 1970s AFAIR. As I said, I'm shaky on this specific history.
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David Brin

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Surprised and honored to be on this list! Ten people the Artificial Intelligence elite follow on Twitter: 
Who do the most elite Artificial Intelligence thinkers on the social web follow on Twitter? These people.
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Justin Dudo's profile photoBruno TASCON's profile photoBrad Acker's profile photoMike Martinez's profile photo
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To the already-born AIs out there, lurking and listening in?  I had extensive messages for them, in EXISTENCE.  Call me, guys.
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David Brin

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Post-Iowa Notes: NYT Nobelist economist Paul Krugman highlights ‘uplift’ in his analysis of the Iowa returns. His point being that we should choose to be more ambitious -- the one core thought that Bernie Sanders has contributed. Can we ‘uplift’ our society, our civilization? The American public mood is addicted to downer memes, despite every statistical metric having improved. While science fiction is filled with many negative stories, it is the one medium where perhaps 10% of the time, we see real optimism and hope.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/02/02/post-iowa-notes/

The problems of being a realist.
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+David Brin See? He just can't refrain from personal attacks.
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David Brin

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My answer on Quora to What constraints to AI and machine learning algorithms are needed to prevent AI from becoming a dystopian threat?


David Brin's answer: It is, of course, wise and beneficial to peer ahead for potential dangers and problems -- one of the central tasks of high-end science fiction. Alas, detecting that a danger lurks is easier than prescribing solutions that can prevent it. Take the plausibility of malignant AI...
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+Presley Perswain This goes back, for me, to a very old (and inspiring) article I read as a kid in Scientific American (back when it was good) about "Tit for Tat".  Ah, and here's the article! http://www2.econ.iastate.edu/tesfatsi/AxelrodComputerTournaments.ExcerptsFromHofstadterSciAmArticle.1983.pdf

Changed very much the way I thought about cooperation.

(And I now see it was written by Douglas Hoffstadter!  That insane thinker that is a delight to read, but is like holding a bar of soap in understanding what he's trying to say. :) )
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Have him in circles
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Work
Occupation
Author, scientist, futurist, public speaker
Employment
  • Futurist, Scientist, Author: The Postman, Startide Rising, Earth, Existence
    present
Places
Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Currently
San Diego
Previously
Southern California - London, Paris
Story
Tagline
Futurist, Science Fiction Author, Scientist. Advocate for a Transparent Society.
Introduction

Scientist, Author, Futurist, Public speaker: David Brin’s novels have been translated into more than twenty languages, including NY Times Best-sellers that have won Hugo and Nebula awards. His latest, Existence, looks at the threats facing us forty years in the future. His 1989 thriller, Earth, foreshadowed cyber-warfare, the Web, and global warming. A 1998 Kevin Costner film was loosely adapted from the post-apocalyptic novel, The Postman. The Uplift novels, including Startide Rising, and The Uplift War consider a future where humans raise animals to sentient levels. Foundation's Triumph brought a grand finale to Isaac Asimov's famed Foundation Universe. 

Brin is also a scientist and futurist who appears frequently on television ("Life After People," "The Universe," "the Architechs") discussing topics as diverse as surveillance technology, astronomy, SETI, nanotechnology and national defense. His non-fiction book -- The Transparent Society: Will Technology Make Us Choose Between Freedom and Privacy? -- won the 2000 Freedom of Speech Award of the American Library Association

Bragging rights
Hugo, Nebula award winner
Education
  • California Institute of Technology
    Physics, 1969 - 1973
  • University of California, San Diego
    Space Physics, 1975 - 1981
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Other names
http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/
David Brin's +1's are the things they like, agree with, or want to recommend.
Can Regenerative Medicine Reshape Our Bodies? - HuffPost Live
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"Solutions" to the Fermi Paradox - our contest winners! (Part Two)
davidbrin.blogspot.com

First don't forget to check in on Tuesday for a Reddit "Ask Me Anything!" Last time we went over the top prize winners of our experiment/con

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Forgetleftversusright Or even arguments over taxes The centerpiece of our current Phase Three of the American Civil War is the allout campaign to discredit

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Skip to content. Speculations about the Future · ← Geoengineering the Earth Should we take aggressive action. October 8 2011 247 pm. ↓ Jump to Comments ...

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Forgetleftversusright Or even arguments over taxes The centerpiece of our current Phase Three of the American Civil War is the allout campaign to discredit

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Arguing With Your Crazy Uncle About Climate Change | Contrary Brin
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Skip to content. Speculations about the Future · ← People Who DontGet Transparency or PositiveSum Games. October 12 2011 612 pm. ↓ Jump to Comments ...

Contrary Brin: Arguing With Your Crazy Uncle About Climate Change
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Arguing With Your Crazy Uncle About Climate Change. Forgetleftversusright Or even arguments over taxes The centerpiece of our current Phase Three of the ...

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zero sum game | Contrary Brin
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A recent research paper resurrects the idea ofsecurity by obscurity A notion Ive been fighting for decadese.g. in The Transparent Society The basic idea is ...

pavlovic | Contrary Brin
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A recent research paper resurrects the idea ofsecurity by obscurity A notion Ive been fighting for decadese.g. in The Transparent Society The basic idea is ...

People Who Don't “Get” Transparency or Positive-Sum Games | Contrary Brin
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Contrary Brin: People Who Don't "Get" Transparency or Positive Sum Games
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People Who DontGet Transparency or Positive Sum Games. A recent research paper resurrects the idea ofsecurity by obscurity A notion Ive been fighting for ...

Contrary Brin: The Steve Jobs Experiment: Outcomes Report
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The Steve Jobs Experiment Outcomes Report. First some announcements Ill be holding an open house meetup in New York City on Monday October 17 around 830 pm

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Skip to content. Speculations about the Future · ← Geoengineering the Earth Should we take aggressive action. October 8 2011 247 pm. ↓ Jump to Comments ...

Steve Jobs | Contrary Brin
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First some announcements Ill be holding an open house meetup in New York City on Monday October 17 around 830 pm at OReilly's 21 W 35th Stupstairs byodrinks

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