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David Brin
Works at Futurist, Scientist, Author: The Postman, Startide Rising, Earth, Existence
Attended California Institute of Technology
Lives in San Diego
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David Brin

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Here’s an interesting missive …by David Roberts about why journalists keep trying for “balance” regarding climate change…  though Roberts is preaching to the choir.  What he does not go into is all the myriad ways to get around the "he said, she said" dichotomy version of "journalism."  Find some aspects of the problem that are undeniable -- like ocean acidification, which is blatantly happening, is blatantly caused by nothing other than human generated increases in atmospheric CO2, and blatantly harmful.   Denialists shout "squirrel!" and point elsewhere to change the subject.  Because if/when they get into a Fox-style "he said" over ocean acidification, they are left with nothing to say, just embarrassed, seething silence. 

 Recall this especially choice and indicative rant by Rush Limbaugh:      

“We really live, folks, in two worlds. There are two worlds. We live in two universes. One universe is a lie. One universe is an entire lie. Everything run, dominated, and controlled by the left here and around the world is a lie. The other universe is where we are, and that’s where reality reigns supreme and we deal with it. And seldom do these two universes ever overlap. …      “The Four Corners of Deceit: Government, academia, science, and media. Those institutions are now corrupt and exist by virtue of deceit. That’s how they promulgate themselves; it is how they prosper.”

As David Roberts commented about this Limbaugh rant: “To reject mainstream government, academia, science, and media is to reject mainstream thought entirely. This is what scholars Thomas Mann and Norm Ornstein meant when they characterized today’s GOP as “un-persuaded by conventional understanding of facts, evidence, and science.” If you reject the practices and institutions that have developed to vouchsafe knowledge, if you can just build parallel institutions modeled along ideological lines, then anything goes.”
Political reporters still treat climate denialism as though it's a normal campaign position. What's the alternative?
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Don't blame journalists for the policies of publishers. 
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Alarm bells that don’t go off.  Ted Cruz declared on TV that “satellite data demonstrate for the last 17 years, there’s been zero warming.” And immediately my Specificity Alarm went off.  What?  You don’t have a specificity alarm?  Well you need one, because it helps you to detect when damned liars are at least trying to weasel a way  out of speaking direct falsehood.  Like a kid proclaiming: “Who broke your window half an hour ago, Mrs. Smith? Can’t be me, cause I’ve been waaaay over here for 26 minutes!

Seventeen years? Hm… why 17 years?  And why “satellite data”?  Read this article. It proves this fellow to be far, far worse than a damned liar.  He’s a damned, lying lawyer.

Oh... btw... 
ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... ocean acidification... and 
ocean acidification... 

You cannot escape that one. It is blatantly happening.  You can measure it yourself. It can have zero POSSIBLE causes other that human caused increases in atmospheric CO2, and it is killing fisheries and coral and helping spread jellyfish everywhere.  And those who shrug that off, slipping their minds elsewhere to go back to denialist chants, are vastly worse than cynical liars like Cruz. They are simply loco.
A researcher cited by Cruz's spokesman doesn't agree with Cruz about climate change.
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+Brent W. Hopkins And, on global warming or cooling, we don't have data prior to 1880.  So the data, since recording, is unreliable, since, according to Fibbonacci, what goes up, must go down. 

However, in looking at the data, and applying Fibanacci, just suppose that  - if you measured the lowest hump where it begins to rise, and then the highest hump where it looks like it's going to taper and fall?  The mean temperature change was -.5 in 1880.  If you add a figurative 1 to that, you get .5, which can reasonably be assumed that this is the peak (within 15% to 20%).  So, assuming that the universe expands and contracts:  the top hump indicating the upper level of change before it begins to decline would be between .35 and .5.

But we need data from the period of time before that of 135 years to make an accurate assessment, to see if Fibbanacci applies. 

We don't know from this data set.  However, the Fibonacci model was applied here, and seems to be consistent with other actual data:


http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRw&url=http%3A%2F%2Fnotrickszone.com%2F2013%2F01%2F19%2Fspiegel-ends-europes-climate-denialism-european-media-now-scrambling-to-explain-end-of-warming%2F&ei=4ZoVVeNaxZc2gvOC-Ao&bvm=bv.89381419,d.eXY&psig=AFQjCNGhQERycf96XVm3LTWP462hbizkyw&ust=1427565425233875

And here is 415,000 years of global change, showing that it's cyclical in nature:

http://www.google.com/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRw&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.theonehundredthmonkey.co.uk%2Fcategories%2Fenergy%2Fglobal-warmingclimate-change-scam%2F&ei=jJsVVZvhKcqZgwTUs4RI&bvm=bv.89381419,d.eXY&psig=AFQjCNGhQERycf96XVm3LTWP462hbizkyw&ust=1427565425233875

But, as a Christian, I am also taking into consideration that we are in the Last Days.  So, anything can happen, and frankly, there is absolutely nothing we can do about it. 
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In part III of my series on Avatar... Let me reiterate that I quite like the film ….but I believe that it could have offered a more realistic and effective vision, rather than a berating ruiner-of-confidence. In fact, I believe Avatar's moral flaws could be fixed with only minimal alterations! Maybe five minutes worth of footage, added to a "director's cut," might alleviate many of the problems outlined in my earlier postings….
Following on my earlier analyses of James Cameron's Avatar, please let me reiterate that I actually quite like the film!  What's not to like about such a feast for the eye that's also packed with terrific action, and that tri...
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+David Brin - Interesting idea for an alternative beginning. 👍 Although, part of the appeal of Avatar is that it does speak to our times in a way that might not have been, had the future Earth been populated by a reasonable United Federation of Planets type civilization. Just as no federation troops descended on Pandora to arrest the human imperialists, George W Bush, Dick Cheney, Condoleezza Rice and Donald Rumsfeld are all walking free today, still reaping the benefits of criminal activity that has snowballed into what is now a greater threat than Saddam. The urgency felt by the heroes on Pandora is like the urgency humans of conscience on Earth feel today; we must tap into the global mind of the Internet, (our own version of Eywa) come together and prevent the destruction of the environment at the hands of corporate powers run amok and those governments exploiting the U.N. and military industrial complex in their service. 
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An “interesting bio-piece on Peter Thiel - law professor, libertarian philosopher and investor: “One way you can describe the collapse of the idea of the future is the collapse of science fiction,” Thiel said. “Now it’s either about technology that doesn’t work or about technology that’s used in bad ways. The anthology of the top twenty-five sci-fi stories in 1970 was, like, ‘Me and my friend the robot went for a walk on the moon,’ and in 2008 it was, like, ‘The galaxy is run by a fundamentalist Islamic confederacy, and there are people who are hunting planets and killing them for fun.’ ” 
The credo of Thiel’s venture-capital firm: “We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.” Credit Photograph by Robert Maxwell
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To be fair, I should also add that my kids could be frustrating and annoying as well as fun and rewarding, but they were always fascinating.  I also enjoy fictional depictments of warfare - but I know that they're fiction, and have no wish for them to bleed into the real world.
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The money now spent on developing “artificial intelligence” or AI for finance, equities or commodities trading etc vastly exceeds the AI research budgets at the top 100 universities, combined.  And nearly all of it is done in secret, to develop programs whose ferocious drives are predatory, parasitical and all-devouring insatiable. That’s some combination!  As I have said repeatedly, “Skynet” won’t come out of the military.  It will come out of the portions of our economy that win every political battle and every tax break.  Indeed, what better clue that our AI overlords have already… come awake?
Smart-beta ETFs use machines to outperform humans and now account for $400 billion, but some can be less than brilliant.
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Lol, open source as the great Ai hope. My aching sides.
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Watch this new short/proof of concept by Irish filmmaker Ruairí Robinson. The Leviathan takes place in the early 22nd century, after humans have colonized multiple worlds, and are now on "the hunt" for a whale-like species that naturally collects the dark matter needed by space drives.  Kewl! How much better if set in the Startide Rising universe, though?
'The Leviathan' by Irish filmmaker Ruairí Robinson is the best three minutes and 38 seconds you'll spend today.
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In the 20th Century we had the ability to detect and track even small flying objects beyond visual range, and through clouds. Sadly humans have apparently lost this technology during their move to interstellar space...
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How cool!  Watching the behavior od stars and gasses in collisions of clusters of galaxies… and using gravitational lensing to measure the dark matter… enables astronomers to learn something fundamental about the nature of dark matter.  
When clusters of galaxies collide, their dark matter doesn't interact in the way that matter containing protons does, say scientists.
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+Ross Bagley okiely dokely. 
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I have published a pop-sci essay about the Fermi Paradox – why we seem to see no sign of extraterrestrials – on the site for the new, Aeon IDEAS endeavor. 
Understanding the so-called "Fermi Paradox" – the mysterious Great Silence where we had expected to see and hear signs of alien life in the cosmos – requires a grounding in SETI (the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence). Persistent ...
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It's worth noting that there have been 5 major extinctions, (Some say WE are causing the sixth, now.) and each cleared the way for continued development.  ie, clearing out the dinosaurs enabled the rise of the mammals.
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Brian Lacki of the Institute for Advanced Studies in Princeton, New Jersey, has done calculations to ask: Has an advanced alien civilization built a black-hole-powered particle accelerator to study physics at "Planck-scale" energies? If such an accelerator exists, it would produce yotta electron-volt (YeV or 1024 eV) neutrinos that could be detected here on Earth. As a result, Lacki is calling on astronomers involved in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) to look for these ultra-high-energy particles. This is supported by SETI expert Paul Davies of Arizona State University.
Search for extraterrestrial intelligence should seek high-energy neutrinos, says physicist
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I guess we can look at a flower and appreciated you too without really understanding how it came into existence whatsoever
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O-o-okay... folks at CERN now say they might make micro-black holes after all.  And there's nothing to worry about!  In fact, my logical side is not worried.  But still... I described one potential outcome... in EARTH. 
SCIENTISTS conducting a mindbending experiment at the Large Hadron Collider next week hope to connect with a PARALLEL UNIVERSE outside of our own.
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+Anton Kiriwas  I intended it in a pragmatic way.   That sometimes our imaginations might get in the way of how it may actually be.  Therefore, I was merely stating that the "parallel universes" or the "multiverse" theories might be missing an answer that is right out in the open.  

Consider what we know of the quantum realm.  It is counter-intuitive.  We appear to be creating our own realities.   Therefore, what if you are the center of one universe, just as I am the center of mine.  Together -along with every other human and microbe - we may be creating the "multiverse."  

 "Hello there!"  8-)
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Monday's posting continues with part II of my series on James Cameron's sci fi epic AVATAR, whose well-intended moral lessons were largely spoiled by some unnecessary-but-self-indulgent mistakes.  It would have taken so little to avoid those trip-ups! It all still might work as he intended.  But only if he faces up to them.  (And even if he doesn't... YOU could be part of a revolution against lobotomizing Hollywood cliches!)
Last time, I went on a bit, describing some logical faults in a motion picture that -- in fact -- I deeply admire. After all, criticism can be well-intended. And clearly, James Cameron intended his epic film -- Avatar -- to b...
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+David Brin Great, no problems then.
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Well it seems we're all going back to Planet Pandora - with the proclamation of a coming sequel to the blockbuster sci-fi epic Avatar -- no, make that three sequels… But of course, Avatar was about more than special effects. Director-producer James Cameron wants to entertain everyone, but also to make members of the audience think. Hence, it is the lessons of Avatar that I plan to engage and dissect in my blog... This version of “Dances with Others”  is set not in the past like Dances with Wolves, but in a future where humans have not improved -- the most relentless preaching in Avatar is about the moral and esthetic superiority of the Na’vi, along with the beyond-all-redemption vileness of every aspect of western civilization.
Well it seems we're all going back to Planet Pandora. And why not? With the proclamation of a coming sequel to the blockbuster sci-fi epic Avatar -- no, make that three sequels -- the near-universal response from one and all ...
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+Rich Carlson It would've better if there were more good movies like Primer and Moon, more somewhat more original and fun and innovative flicks like Pacific Rim and Pandorum and less crap like what Cameron is pushing.

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  • Futurist, Scientist, Author: The Postman, Startide Rising, Earth, Existence
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Futurist, Science Fiction Author, Scientist. Advocate for a Transparent Society.
Introduction

Scientist, Author, Futurist, Public speaker: David Brin’s novels have been translated into more than twenty languages, including NY Times Best-sellers that have won Hugo and Nebula awards. His latest, Existence, looks at the threats facing us forty years in the future. His 1989 thriller, Earth, foreshadowed cyber-warfare, the Web, and global warming. A 1998 Kevin Costner film was loosely adapted from the post-apocalyptic novel, The Postman. The Uplift novels, including Startide Rising, and The Uplift War consider a future where humans raise animals to sentient levels. Foundation's Triumph brought a grand finale to Isaac Asimov's famed Foundation Universe. 

Brin is also a scientist and futurist who appears frequently on television ("Life After People," "The Universe," "the Architechs") discussing topics as diverse as surveillance technology, astronomy, SETI, nanotechnology and national defense. His non-fiction book -- The Transparent Society: Will Technology Make Us Choose Between Freedom and Privacy? -- won the 2000 Freedom of Speech Award of the American Library Association

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Hugo, Nebula award winner
Education
  • California Institute of Technology
    Physics, 1969 - 1973
  • University of California, San Diego
    Space Physics, 1975 - 1981
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http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/
David Brin's +1's are the things they like, agree with, or want to recommend.
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