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Tropical Tidbits

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Tropical Storm Otto now has winds of 70 mph, and is expected to become a hurricane soon. Intensification is likely to continue as the storm moves slowly westward, and landfall is expected near the border of Nicaragua and Costa Rica on Thursday. Torrential rains causing inland flooding and mudslides will be a life-threatening hazard in the region extending from Panama to Honduras, in addition to the possibility of hurricane force winds near the coastlines of northern Costa Rica and southern Nicaragua.
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Tropical Tidbits

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An upper-level trough east of Florida is generating a region of disturbed weather near and east of the southeastern Bahamas. Such a system could gradually organize into a subtropical low between the Bahamas and Bermuda during the course of this week, but development would be slow to occur. The system poses no immediate threat, but wet weather could continue to impact portions of the Bahamas over the next few days. The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 20% chance of developing into a subtropical or tropical storm over the next 2 days, and 50% over the next 5 days.
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Hurricane Nicole is closing in on Bermuda with winds of 125 mph, making it one of the strongest hurricanes to potentially hit the island directly. The eye is quickly degrading, but the northern eyewall will likely move over Bermuda over the next few hours. An AWOS station at Pearl Island recently reported sustained winds of 72 mph. Fortunately, Nicole is now moving very quickly, and by this evening, the storm will be well away from Bermuda.
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Nicole has become a hurricane again according to the National Hurricane Center, and a hurricane warning is now in effect for Bermuda. Nicole is expected to strengthen as it begins moving northward over the next couple days, and will pass very close to Bermuda sometime on Thursday.
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October 2016. S, M, T, W, T, F, S. « Sep · 1. 2, 3 · 4 · 5 · 6 · 7 · 8. 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15. 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22. 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29. 30, 31. Archives. October 2016 · September 2016 · August 2016 · July 2016 · June 2016 · May 2016 · October 2015 · September 2015 ...
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Tropical Tidbits

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Recon data this evening indicates that Otto has regained hurricane strength, and is intensifying very rapidly in the last couple of hours, with near-surface winds of over 100 mph now being measured by the aircraft. This is unfortunately bad timing for Nicaragua and Costa Rica, as Otto is expected to make landfall tomorrow (Thursday) near the border between the two countries. Hurricane force winds near the coast will be life-threatening, and inland areas will likely see life-threatening flooding and mudslides due to torrential rainfall. Please visit hurricanes.gov for the latest information.
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Tropical Depression Sixteen has formed in the SW Caribbean. Convection around the circulation is relatively modest at the moment, perhaps due to dry, cool air draining toward the system from the north, which may limit TD16 to only slow intensification for a couple of days. Thereafter, the environment may improve, and TD16 could intensify more quickly, and the National Hurricane Center expects it to become a hurricane by Thursday. A strong steering ridge to the north will likely eventually push TD16 westward toward Nicaragua or Costa Rica, but it will be slow to do so, giving TD16 a few days over water to strengthen. Thus, interests in Central America in Nicaragua and Costa Rica should pay close attention to this system. http://ow.ly/i/pbuep
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Tropical Tidbits

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Hurricane Nicole is closing in on Bermuda with winds of 125 mph, making it one of the strongest hurricanes to potentially hit the island directly. The eye is quickly degrading, but the northern eyewall will likely move over Bermuda over the next few hours. An AWOS station at Pearl Island recently reported sustained winds of 72 mph. Fortunately, Nicole is now moving very quickly, and by this evening, the storm will be well away from Bermuda.
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Hurricane Nicole has continued to strengthen since yesterday, with winds now up to 90-100 mph according to the latest recon data. Nicole is expected to make what could be a direct hit on Bermuda near midday Thursday, and a hurricane warning is in effect for the island. Wind shear will be increasing as Nicole approaches Bermuda, but some additional strengthening is possible before the hurricane arrives. Please consult the National Hurricane Center and the Bermuda Weather Service for the latest information.
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Tropical Storm Nicole is currently moving very slowly with winds of 60 mph. The storm is expected to begin moving northward into a region of warmer water and lower shear during the next day or two, and some strengthening is expected. Nicole is expected to be a hurricane and pass very close to Bermuda on Thursday. A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning are in effect for the island.
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Hurricane information, analyses, and forecasts
Introduction
Levi Cowan creates videos and blogs pertaining to tropical cyclones, primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. Posts occasionally concern other, non-tropical weather events around the world. Levi is currently working on his masters degree in tropical meteorology at Florida State University, and completed his bachelors degree in applied physics with a concentration in atmospheric physics at the University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Please note that these posts do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be interpreted as such. While tropical storms exist in the Atlantic, official NHC information is available at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials.
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