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Tom Broad
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Tom Broad

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How did I become this flabby balding old man I see in the mirror?
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This is a very important perspective
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Tell us your goal for the chance to WIN $10,000.
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Tom Broad

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So... Don't think about vaccinations or the very real risk of harm for a medical intervention before you subject your kids to it, because, if you do actually think about it, you are likely to think it's a bad idea and not do it, but you're wrong, so don't think about it, because if you do, you'll be wrong...
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Lets take the risk of encephalitis as an example. The reason I choose encephalitis rather than death or brain damage is because the research and statistics are much more black and white, when we talk about death or brain damage following vaccines, the manufacturers always want to say "but theres no absolute proof that the vaccine caused it" whereas when we're talking about encephalitis, a well known complication of vaccines, its much less arguable. You can calculate the same risks for death if you like, it comes out the same, I know, years ago when my son had several bad reactions I did all the numbers with the vaccine data sheet that comes directly from the manufacturers and included in each dose.

So the risk of encephalitis as a complication of vaccination with mmr is taken as 0.6 per million (d'souza et al, CDI, 2000) as I'm in Australia and the article is Australian, we'll take Australia and assume a 100% vaccination rate? By the time Australia's 23 million people have been fully vaccinated (two doses), 26-28 will have received encephalitis from the vaccination. Taken over the average lifespan (although doses are finished in childhood, we're using total population of Australia, which should still bear out because we are assuming 100% vaccination) 0.317 people get encephalitis from the vaccination each year or 1 every three years (it would be more accurate to use actual total mmr doses administered in Australia per year but cannot find that information)

Meanwhile, the risk of measles in Australia ranges between 0.5 and 6 per million, so somewhere between 11 and 138 will get measles each year, while the risk of encephalitis is 10-200 per million (seems like a huge number, right?), its really hard to be accurate, most statistics for western countries are outdated, and statistics for third world countries without our level of hygiene and public health won't apply. But going with that range and the highest identified risk 0.0276 people per year in Australia will catch measles and get encephalitis, or one every 36 years.

Remembering I am using the lowest values to calculate the risk of encephalitis from vaccination and the highest reasonable values (not third world) to calculate the risk of encephalitis from measles, and the results are that vaccines are not safer than taking your chances (at least for risk of encephalitis). Vaccine safety would have to increase TENFOLD at least, before it would be statistically a better option to subject your children to. Of course, hygiene and nutrition, the health of your immune system and access to health care are known to have an impact on susceptibility to disease (Duh) and the risk of disease complications, so you can significantly lower your child's risk without exposing them to such dangers.

My son suffered three reactions to vaccines, I kept doing the "right thing", the doctors kept telling me his reactions were "normal" (none of his reactions were reported to the vaccine adverse reaction reporting scheme) although one in particular clearly involved his neurological system, I've had two reactions to vaccines myself, the worst was the flu vaccine. I trust anyone in the pharmaceutical industry about as much as I'd trust a used car salesman, and checking their "facts" proves this a fair assumption. If the state wants to take my son from me, hold him down and give him the rest of the vaccines, I can't stop them, but what I can do, is hold them accountable for any damage they cause him, which is why they won't do it. If they want to cut my benefits (we have a thing called tax-benefit as a form of welfare here, basically I get some of the extremely high taxes I pay refunded for having a child) then I will just have to live without the $75 a week they give me, rather than put my son at risk. My point is that I think it is very difficult for the government to change peoples minds about this, the more of a fuss they cause in the media, the more polarised people become, its true, but because reactions are so frequent, by raising awareness of the issue, they are ensuring that more parents are paying attention to their childrens reactions, this is overall a good thing, but not towards the ends the government is hoping to achieve.

I do think vaccines work, and the statistics show that the vast majority of people can receive vaccines and not be harmed by them. What they also show is that, even though we are talking about very remote risks in both cases (disease vs vaccine) currently the disease is safer, precisely because the disease is so rare. If more people choose not to vaccinate, the risk of the disease will naturally increase, and assuming the risks stay the same, eventually it will be safer to take the vaccine. I'm not arguing any of that, just saying, in regards to my son, my only son in this whole world that I know of, I'm not agreeing that I'm a bad parent for weighing up the risks and choosing the least risky option for my son. I'm agreeing it can look selfish, but so what? I'm a selfish parent, sue me, if we were in a plane crash in the mountains and it was me, you and my son, guess who would be for dinner? It looks selfish, but its what you're supposed to do when you're a parent, put your kid above everyone else.
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Let's examine the Queensland state election shall we?

Queensland voted in the red party, who promised not to sell state assets or fire public servants... Then they fired public servants and sold state assets...

So, Queensland, really angry now at the red party, voted in the blue party... Because they promised not to fire public servants and sell state assets... But then they did fire public servants, and they started talking about plans and "mandates" to sell public assets, but they also tried to convince everyone it was actually the public's idea, which was both funny and infuriating at the same time... Everyone was scared that everyone else just would be fooled, but faith in humanity was restored and everyone agreed they felt silly for doubting the intelligence of their friends, family and neighbours...

Then, just to be different... Queensland, really angry now at the blue party, voted in the red party, because they promised not to sell state assets and fire public servants...

Anybody else see a pattern here?
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Tom Broad

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I just read an interesting article about the Department of Defence (Offence) in America. Some of the same consultants that global manufacturers pay to redesign their manufacturing processes to reduce "wastes" and increase profits are being contracted by the military to help increase efficiency and eliminate waste.

These same processes in manufacturing are requiring such unrealistic high standards from the human cogs in the machine that manufacturing workers suffer extremely high rates of stress related illnesses, depression and suicide, while steadily automated processes ensure they have no long term job security. I mean, this is the same thought stream which sees a computer countdown how many seconds a worker is allowed to locate a product in a warehouse, or pressure sensors which prevent a worker from making more than two steps in either direction without shutting down production and risking her job.

Ultimately, is it any wonder we're seeing the same trends in American servicemen returning from war? Perhaps it's not actually PTSD from the horrors of war, but merely stress from being forced to become such an efficient killing machine which is causing them to suffer a higher risk of attempted and successful suicide than their risk of being killed or injured by the enemy?

Then we can talk about automation, all the next gen military hardware in development now can be remotely controlled or is being marketed as having been designed to be compatible with such upgrades in mind, land sea and air.

Futurists predict that the next round of resource wars will be fought over arable land and cheap, reliable sources of water. Will remotely controlled or entirely automated humanoid robots one day rape, pillage and genocide their way through the populations who are unfortunate enough to have built their population centres on top of such resources?

Smedley Butler eat your heart out...
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So, years ago, somewhere on Tor, a guy published an interesting article about how to defeat the "Swedes", a hypothetical crypto-class behind a Orwellian surveillance state...

... weird thing is, he came up with a very similar idea to this... not sure what to make of that...
This year, AVG will reveal a set of proof of concept invisibility glasses at Pepcom in Barcelona before Mobile World Congress.
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I don't think Putin ordered or had anything to do with a hit on some obscure Russian opposition leader.

The main thing that gave it away is that the mainstream media outlets seem desperate to convince us of just that... I think the Russian version is the more believable, that the west was behind it to play provocateur...
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Really growing to love my new Jetta. It's not "stylish" but it looks really "mature". My girlfriend thinks it looks like a very "adult" car. Most of all, I love the mileage, 4.2l/100km on the way to work this morning... 
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Terra Nova: Strike Force Centauri was the best game I ever played as a shooter.

I know I'm showing my age, but this game is now nearly twenty years old, wikipedia says the concept was developed in 92.

I'm not an expert on intellectual property but the game had an awesome storyline and gameplay, surely someone could buy the rights and develop it into a modern, cutting edge graphics and sandbox style game? What else is out there like it now? Nothing!

It was well received critically, it just didn't sell well enough to recover losses because they spent way too much time and money in development.

The graphics were awesome for their time, funny to look at them now though...
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Yeah, I can't even play it. I tried to a few years back and couldn't because of the clock speed thing with older games on newer systems. Plus the graphics weren't quite as awesome as I remembered them being so wasn't motivated to fix the clock speed thing. Sigh, it was an awesome game but.
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So America claims to support the "Minsk Agreement meanwhile they have "military advisors" in Ukraine, it is known that private military contractors are in Ukraine acting in the interests of the West, and they are taking about supplying military aid to Ukraine...

It seems that the clauses demanding the withdrawal of "foreign military personnel" from Ukraine applies to everyone but the West. So, just Russia really...

America wasn't part of this agreement, it doesn't take into account America's interest in perpetuating the conflict, only France and Germany's interest in stabilising the situation... This is a huge mistake because America will do everything it can to undermine and nullify the agreement.

Ukraine and Russia will promise whatever they need to to safe face and to try and gain concessions and the upper hand, but then break the agreement and try and blame the other side, because the only thing that matters to either side right now is territory, one day the conflict really will end, and both sides will want to be sitting in top of the most territory at that point.

Russia has a somewhat vague interest in getting their ships back from France, and selling gas to Germany, but in all likelihood have factored those losses into their calculations already, so it's not a motivating factor for them.

Ukraine doesn't really give a shit, the government of Ukraine is not really acting in the interests of Ukraine right now, I say this because federalisation would be the best way forward to get the economy on track, the more they perpetuate this conflict, the more control foreign entities have over Ukraine, once the "austerity" starts the citizens of Ukraine will find it very different from the legacy soviet welfare system they have enjoyed... Even if they were to regain complete control over the eastern Ukrainian mining, agricultural and manufacturing territories, the native populations would not make great assets to mother Ukraine at this point, but the "separatists" would likely destroy what was left or render it unusable as they were pushed back.

This conflict will continue until such a time as peace in Ukraine meets America's objectives, and that is not now.
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