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Thomas Maufer
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Thomas Maufer

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Yikes. When do we move to another planet?
 
I really enjoy posting fun stuff here.  But this is serious.

Steve Easterbrook just finished writing a series of important posts on Azimuth, summarizing part of the IPCC report on climate change.  Here's a short version of his last post.  Pay attention!

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To stay below 2°C of warming, most fossil fuels must stay buried in the ground.

Perhaps the most profound advance since the previous IPCC report is a characterization of our global carbon budget. This is based on a finding that has emerged strongly from a number of studies in the last few years: the expected temperature change has a simple linear relationship with cumulative CO2 emissions since the beginning of the industrial era.

The chart is hard to follow, but the main idea is this: whatever we do, the results tend to lie on a straight line on this graph. You do get a slightly different slope in one case, “1% percent CO2 increase per year", where only CO2 rises - and much more slowly than it has over the last few decades.  But all the more realistic scenarios lie in the orange band, and all have about the same slope.

This is a useful insight, because it means that for any target ceiling for temperature rise - like the UN’s commitment to not allow warming to rise more than 2°C above pre-industrial levels - we can easily estimate the total amount of carbon we can spew into the atmosphere:

• To give us a one third (33%) chance of staying below 2°C of warming over pre-industrial levels, we cannot ever emit more than 880 gigatonnes of carbon.

• To give us a 50% chance, we cannot ever emit more than 840 gigatonnes of carbon.

• To give us a 66% chance, we cannot ever emit more than 800 gigatonnes of carbon.

Since the beginning of industrialization, we have already emitted a little more than 500 gigatonnes. So, our remaining budget is somewhere between 300 and 400 gigatonnes of carbon.

Existing known fossil fuel reserves are enough to release at least 1000 gigatonnes. New discoveries and unconventional sources will likely more than double this.

That leads to one conclusion:

Most of our remaining carbon reserves must never reach the atmosphere.

We’ve never done that before. There is no political or economic system anywhere in the world currently that can persuade an energy company to leave a valuable fossil fuel resource untapped. There is no government in the world that has demonstrated the ability to forgo the economic wealth from natural resource extraction, for the good of the planet as a whole. We’re lacking both the political will and the political institutions to achieve this. Finding a way to achieve this presents us with a challenge far bigger than we ever imagined.

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Red Steve's whole series of posts starting here:

http://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/04/07/what-does-the-new-ipcc-report-say-about-climate-change-part-1/

Each post summarizes a key finding of the IPCC Working Group 1 report on climate change, released last year.  These findings are:

1. The warming is unequivocal.

2. Humans caused the majority of it.

3. The warming is largely irreversible.

4. Most of the heat is going into the oceans.

5. Current rates of ocean acidification are unprecedented.

6. We have to choose which future we want very soon.

7.  To stay below 2°C of warming, the world must become carbon negative.

8.  To stay below 2°C of warming, most fossil fuels must stay buried in the ground.

The graph here is explained in Steve's 8th post:

http://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2014/04/22/what-does-the-new-ipcc-report-say-about-climate-change-part-8/

and in more detail on page 28 of the Summary for Policymakers:

http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_SPM_FINAL.pdf

and page 15 of the Technical Summary Supplementary Material:

http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/report/WG1AR5_TSSM_FINAL.pdf
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Thomas Maufer

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+Chester Tibbie had a spectacular day at work at +Google Fiber today.

He met lots of new admirers (more than usual!) and got to go on walks and even attended a couple meetings.
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Nice!  Lucky boy!
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I'm against BSL and for encouraging responsible dog ownership. If some dog owner raises dogs that do harm, punish the owner.

Check out AKC's CGC program....
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Nasty stuff
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Thomas Maufer

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+Chester Tibbie is active on that social network.
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Ahhh! Springtime!

A prefect day to visit the vendors at the Menlo Park Farmers Market.
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Thomas Maufer

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Love the hula girl on the plane's cockpit dashboard. :-) Can't wait to fly on a 787!
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That's no hula girl that's part of the mass damping system.
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The future is almost here.
 
 I have one word for you, son, #graphene  .
The material has the potential to change the electronics industry, and recently researchers have focused on how to produce it commercially.
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Plastic isn't a conductor and a semiconductor. And a battery. And full of pixie dust. Except really fancy plastics.
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I like uncluttered analog watch faces, am still wearing a (now) 20+ year old Swiss Army Watch I bought in Zurich. 
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Chromebooks FTW
 
+The Verge on the new Dell Chromebook: "There's a new king"
#chrome   #chromeos   #chromebook  

I haven't yet gotten my hands on the new Dell Chromebooks, but the review has me definitely curious. As +The Verge says, "anyone can order the Chromebook 11 for $299 from Dell’s website today — and get possibly the best Chromebook ever made."

And if you're someone who, unlike me, has doubts about ChromeOS, they add, "Chrome OS has matured enough to be a suitable computing platform for the vast majority of things people do with their computers... there’s little I can’t do with the Chromebook." 
Chromebooks are the simplest computers you can buy today, but they’ve proven a tricky formula for manufacturers to get right. The perfect Chromebook is cheap, fast enough, well-built, and lasts...
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Need to read up on it, but seriously, the pixel still is amazing
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Lover of fine food and whisky.
Introduction
Welcome to my profile. Thanks for stopping by! I'm really glad you're here.

I'm a whisky (and whiskey!) padawan who enjoys learning about these products! I am also a craft beer lover, and am lucky to live in an area with lots of great breweries and distilleries....

On Twitter you may know me as @whisky2dot0 (I also have a Facebook account of the same name, and a "Whisky2.0" Facebook page).

Give in to temptation: You only live once!
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I'm mildly exothermic. :-)
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Breakfast. Pancakes. Buckwheat. The rarely seen pork sausage (yummy!).
Public - 4 months ago
reviewed 4 months ago
Great food and ambience - they really know how to prepare beef! Try a perfect Manhattan with Whistle Pig Rye whiskey. Goes great with a steak if you're not in the mood for wine.
Public - 6 months ago
reviewed 6 months ago
My wife's car had a slow leak in a tire. I couldn't find it. When I took it to America's Tire, they fixed it for free in 45 minutes. The service staff was friendly, bi-lingual and did the job properly in the promised time, even though I was there at the end of the day. And the best part: They didn't try to sell me tires I didn't need; you can bet I'll go back, and so should you.
Quality: ExcellentAppeal: Very goodService: Excellent
Public - 11 months ago
reviewed 11 months ago
I just had a nice meal at Sam's. I love their famous lobster rolls and my wife had the bacon-wrapped shrimp. The half-bottle of champagne isn't something we do every day but we had something to celebrate. The price i stated above include dessert and coffee, too. The decor inside isn't anything special but outside their Adirondack chairs and fire pits with a view of the sunset are spectacular. And they have a decent set of after-dinner drinks. There is an excellent deal on Balvenie 15yr single-barrel at $10, which is a standout choice at a great price.
• • •
Food: Very goodDecor: Very goodService: Very good
Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago
12 reviews
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My dog has been a training customer for over a year and he is always complimented for his good behavior. I know this has as much to do with practice as the trainer, but me knowing what to practice is the key. Lately he has also become a doggy daycare customer every Thursday and he's learning to interact in a supervised yet unstructured environment -- no crates -- just dogs being dogs (with corrections as necessary from the staff).
Public - 10 months ago
reviewed 10 months ago
Great art and friendly artists! This is a hidden treasure off the beaten path in Pacifica.
Quality: ExcellentAppeal: Very goodService: Excellent
Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago
The euro-Café atmosphere rocks...very nice and ample outdoor seating. Good selection of food (breakfast, lunch and dinner) as well as some mixed drinks, beer and wine. Best time to visit is a warm Summer evening.
Food: Very goodDecor: Very goodService: Good
Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago