Profile

Cover photo
Thomas Avenel
Works at La Roue Libre
Lives in Le Havre
178 followers|100,349 views
AboutPosts

Stream

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
Une pièce collector, cachée dans les oeufs de Pâques
 ·  Translate
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
En mars 2014, l'agence Marcel a lancé une campagne de communication amusante pour Intermarché autour des fruits et légumes moches afin qu'ils séduisent les consommateurs.
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
Ça y est, c’est officiel, le pic de pollution aux particules fines qui a touché la région parisienne est élucidé
 ·  Translate
Ça y est, c'est officiel, le pic de pollution aux particules fines qui a touché la région parisienne est élucidé ; le principal coupable est trouvé … c'est le trafic routier (pour plus d'information voir la synthèse de AirParif). La surprise est de taille, alors que certains « experts » avaient ...
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
MH370  A different point of view. Pulau Langkawi 13,000 runway.

A lot of speculation about MH370. Terrorism, hijack, meteors. I cannot believe the analysis on CNN - almost disturbing. I tend to look for a more simple explanation of this event.
 
Loaded 777 departs midnight from Kuala to Beijing. Hot night. Heavy aircraft.  About an hour out across the gulf towards Vietnam the plane goes dark meaning the transponder goes off and secondary radar tracking goes off. 
 
Two days later we hear of reports that Malaysian military radar (which is a primary radar meaning the plane is being tracked by reflection rather than by transponder interrogation response) has tracked the plane on a southwesterly course back across the Malay Peninsula into the straits of Malacca.
 
When I heard this I immediately brought up Google Earth and I searched for airports in proximity to the track towards southwest.
 
The left turn is the key here. This was a very experienced senior Captain with 18,000 hours. Maybe some of the younger pilots interviewed on CNN didn't pick up on this left turn. We old pilots were always drilled to always know the closest airport of safe harbor while in cruise. Airports behind us, airports abeam us and airports ahead of us. Always in our head. Always. Because if something happens you don't want to be thinking what are you going to do - you already know what you are going to do. Instinctively when I saw that left turn with a direct heading I knew he was heading for an airport. Actually he was taking a direct route to Palau Langkawi a 13,000 foot strip with an approach over water at night with no obstacles. He did not turn back to Kuala  Lampur because he knew he had 8,000 foot ridges to cross. He knew the terrain was friendlier towards Langkawi and also a shorter distance.
 
Take a look on Google Earth at this airport. This pilot did all the right things. He was confronted by some major event onboard that made him make that immediate turn back to the closest safe airport.
For me the loss of transponders and communications makes perfect sense if a fire. There was most likely a fire or electrical fire. In the case of fire the first response if to pull all the main busses and restore circuits one by one until you have isolated the bad one.


If they pulled the busses the plane indeed would go silent. It was probably a serious event and they simply were occupied with controlling the plane and trying to fight the fire. Aviate, Navigate and lastly communicate. There are two types of fires. Electrical might not be as fast and furious and there might or might not be incapacitating smoke. However there is the possibility given the timeline that perhaps there was an overheat on one of the front landing gear tires and it blew on takeoff and started slowly burning. Yes this happens with underinflated tires. Remember heavy plane, hot night, sea level, long run takeoff. There was a well known accident in Nigeria of a DC8 that had a landing gear fire on takeoff. A tire fire once going would produce horrific incapacitating smoke. Yes, pilots have access to oxygen masks but this is a no no with fire. Most have access to a smoke hood with a filter but this will only last for a few minutes depending on the smoke level. (I used to carry one of my own in a flight bag and I still carry one in my briefcase today when I fly).
 
What I think happened is that they were overcome by smoke and the plane just continued on  the heading probably on George (autopilot) until either fuel exhaustion or fire destroyed the control surfaces and it crashed. I said four days ago you will find it along that route - looking elsewhere was pointless.  
 
This pilot, as I say, was a hero struggling with an impossible situation trying to get that plane to Langkawi. No doubt in my mind. That's the reason for the turn and direct route. A hijack would not have made that deliberate left turn with a direct heading for Langkawi. It would probably have weaved around a bit until the hijackers decided on where they were taking it.
 
Surprisingly none of the reporters , officials, other pilots interviewed have looked at this from the pilot's viewpoint. If something went wrong where would he go? Thanks to Google earth I spotted Langkawi in about 30 seconds, zoomed in and saw how long the runway was and I just instinctively knew this pilot knew this airport. He had probably flown there many times. I guess we will eventually find out when you help me spread this theory on the net and some reporters finally take a look on Google earth and put 2 and 2 together. Also a look at the age and number of cycles on those nose tires might give us a good clue too.   
 
Fire in an aircraft demands one thing - you get the machine on the ground as soon as possible. There are two well remembered experiences in my memory. The AirCanada DC9 which landed I believe in Columbus Ohio in the eighties. That pilot delayed descent and bypassed several airports.   He didn't instinctively know the closest airports. He got it on the ground eventually but lost 30 odd souls.   In the 1998 crash of Swissair DC-10 off Nova Scotia was another example of heroic pilots. They were 15 minutes out of Halifax but the fire simply  overcame them and they had to ditch in the ocean. Just ran out of time. That fire incidentally started when the aircraft was about an hour out of Kennedy. Guess what the transponders and communications were shut off as they pulled the busses.
 

Get on Google Earth and type in Pulau Langkawi  and then look at it in relation to the radar track heading. 2+2=4  That for me is the  simple explanation why it turned and headed  in that direction.

Smart pilot. Just didn't have the time.

 


 
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
La Décroissance n'est-ce qu'une utopie ? Peut-être mais elle semble en marche. C'est en tout cas ce que suggère le Projet de Décroissance édité par les éditions Utopia. Préfacé par le rédacteur en ...
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
Incroyable! On aurait pu penser que les pires attaques du vélo viendraient du lobby automobile, alors que c'est la Fédération Nationale des Associations d'Usagers des Transports (FNAUT) qui sème une fois de plus le trouble avec une étude expliquant que le vélo coûte plus cher que le covoiturage…
1
Add a comment...
In his circles
206 people
Have him in circles
178 people
Richard Bolooti's profile photo
Mezni Ezzeddine's profile photo
Carrière Distribution's profile photo
Carole Mercier's profile photo
Cynthia Degrowth's profile photo
Tokyo Overtones -The Underground Karaoke's profile photo
Isabelle BAILLEUL's profile photo
cyclisme-dopage.com's profile photo
Camille De Rohanne's profile photo

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
L'association La Roue Libre va mettre en place au printemps une vélo-école sur Le Havre et son agglomération. Afin de proposer des activités au plus près des attentes de la population, je vous soumets ce questionnaire anonyme
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1tE18MbjjBhi_HMBIGVPSt1pgyDOo1ENxUI5_iO4slQk/viewform
 ·  Translate
Drive
QuestionnaireL'association La Roue Libre va mettre en place au printemps une vélo-école sur Le Havre et son agglomération. Destinée à tous types de publics, enfants, adultes, personnes âgées, personnes en situation de handicap, demandeurs d'emploi, entreprises, cette vélo-école sera adaptée, grâce à une pédagogie différenciée, à tous les niveaux, de ceux qui n'ont jamais fait de vélo à ceux qui en font un moyen de déplacement quotidien, et à tous les souhaits...
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
Meilleure annonce de recrutement 
 ·  Translate
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
Histoire urbaine et état de l'urbanité des territoires de la Belgique au cours des 120 dernières années : évolution du couple urbanisme transport et nouveaux regards sur la « ville diffuse ». Si instinctivement au départ je doutais de la simplicité de l'explication de l'étalement urbain par la ...
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
 
Ca y est ! La Roue Libre a ouvert ses portes, et vous accueille désormais tous les apres-midi du mardi au vendredi, et la samedi toute la journée ! Autoréparation, vélo-école, chocolat chaud, bonne humeur à volonté !
 ·  Translate
1
Add a comment...

Thomas Avenel

Shared publicly  - 
1
Add a comment...
People
In his circles
206 people
Have him in circles
178 people
Richard Bolooti's profile photo
Mezni Ezzeddine's profile photo
Carrière Distribution's profile photo
Carole Mercier's profile photo
Cynthia Degrowth's profile photo
Tokyo Overtones -The Underground Karaoke's profile photo
Isabelle BAILLEUL's profile photo
cyclisme-dopage.com's profile photo
Camille De Rohanne's profile photo
Work
Occupation
Coordonnateur
Employment
  • La Roue Libre
    Coordonnateur, 2013 - present
  • EHPA La Visitation
    Assistant RH & comptabilité, 2011 - 2013
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Relationship
Single
Story
Bragging rights
Je m'arrange pour passer à la radio une fois par an
Places
Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Currently
Le Havre
Previously
Le Havre