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Shel Winkley
915 followers -
Chief Meteorologist at KBTX - TV in Bryan / College Station, TX
Chief Meteorologist at KBTX - TV in Bryan / College Station, TX

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Monitoring a line of severe storms to the west and north of the Brazos Valley tonight. 

PinPoint "Future Radar" has it all but falling apart by the time it reaches us by 1-2am. Other hi-res models have them falling apart but still significant. We'll need to continue to watch trends next few hours:
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2015-05-28
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Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms have developed between Abilene and Dallas this afernoon / evening. Same case with some activity around the Big Bend Region. 

We'll need to monitor those storms -- if they manage to hold together post-sunset, we may see rain & thunderstorms pass through the Brazos Valley between midnight and 6am. 

Scattered rain / storms possible during the afternoon hours Wednesday. Very hit or miss, but a few could be strong with gusty winds and heavy rain. 

Rain chance continues each day. Very hit or miss as well...with higher coverage possible again by the weekend.
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2015-05-26
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FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect for the ENTIRE Brazos Valley through the weekend.

TODAY: Scattered ares of rain and thunderstorms are expected through the (mainly) afternoon hours. A few could be strong with heavy rain, lightning, & gusty winds. Rain chance: 50%

TONIGHT: A line of rain and thunderstorms is expected to arrive from the west and move east overnight. Strong winds in excess of 40mph and very heavy rainfall is possible as this line moves through. Flooding will be a concern, along with a few strong severe thunderstorms. Rain chance: 80%

SUNDAY: We'll need to monitor trends -- the rain coverage will be highly dependent on how quickly this line of rain & storms moves to the east. Regardless, greatest chance occurs in the morning, followed by rain & storms moving south and east of the area by afternoon. Flooding will be a concern, along with a few strong severe thunderstorms. Rain chance: 80%.

Interactive PinPoint Radar: http://bit.ly/1jsoX0F
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2015-05-23
7 Photos - View album

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Cold front is sitting just south of a Huntsville to Brenham line. Cloudy, breezy & in the 60s behind it....many of us may struggle to reach just 70 degrees this afternoon.

Heaviest rain chance will be along that cold front through the rest of today. As a disturbance passes by, it may be able to kick up more scattered rain and isolated rumbles of thunder (40%).

More hit-or miss rain chances in the forecast Friday / Saturday. SUNDAY / MONDAY are going to be the biggest days to watch.  Widespread, heavy rain looks to be the outlook heading into the Memorial Day holiday. 

Below: 5 day rainfall outlook across the region. Localized flooding concerns are on our minds heading into your holiday weekend.
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More rain & storms expected in the Brazos Valley Tuesday. 

Morning spot showers is expected to turn into afternoon, widespread clusters of rain and thunderstorms. Few storms could become strong with gusty winds, small hail, lightning, and torrential rainfall.

Daily chance of rain and storms continue -- however, they should become more hit or miss through the week. Localized areas of flooding will continue to be a concern.
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2015-05-18
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FLASH FLOOD WATCH remains in place through 7pm for the ENTIRE Brazos Valley.

A widespread band of rain & thunderstorms stretches from the Panhandle to the Rio Grande, west of I-35 this morning.

Expect that widespread rain to arrive after lunch and linger into the evening hours. Few storms could be strong to severe. Strong winds & very, heavy rainfall will be our two greatest concerns today.

Below: HRRR "Future Radar" 10am - 10pm

Interactive PinPoint Radar:http://bit.ly/1jsoX0F
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Plans this evening to celebrate the start of the weekend? Keep 'em -- but monitor the weather as well.

We'll be watching to the west of I-35 this afternoon to see if rain & storms can form. If they can, expect that activity to slide through the Brazos Valley between sunset and midnight.
Outside chance, but a few storms could be strong to briefly severe.
We'll be watching & updating through the day.

Below: HRRR "Future Radar" 3pm - 11pm (Bryan / College Station located where it says "CLL" on the map)

Interactive PinPoint Radar: http://bit.ly/1jsoX0F
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Today was the epitome of early May in the Brazos Valley -- scattered clouds, warm, humid, and breezy.

Tomorrow and the rest of the week brings a chance of passing rain and a few isolated thunderstorms to the table. While we won't look for a washout, there should be activity that blossoms up each day, across the area.

Severe potential remains low -- but can't rule out an isolated strong to severe storm. Gusty winds, small hail, lightning, & heavy rain are the main concerns. 
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2015-05-04
11 Photos - View album

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Looks like we'll get one more dry day here in the Brazos Valley. Below: HRRR "Future Radar" Noon - 9pm | highest rain / storm chance over far, West Texas today. Spot shower possible, but not likely, locally.

That said -- Break Out The Umbrella.

Daily chance of scattered rain and isolated thunderstorms will be possible starting Tuesday. Overall severe weather threat looks slim, but a few strong storm will be possible with heavy rain, gusty winds, and possible small, pea sized hail.
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How about this -- the first weekend in over a month that we are not expecting rain in the Brazos Valley.

Seasonable with a mix of sun & clouds Saturday and Sunday. You may notice a touch more of humidity. 

Monday brings Spring winds back to the area...those stick around thorugh next week. Daily rounds of rain and thunderstorms will be possible for much of next week and into the weekend.
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2015-05-01
9 Photos - View album
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