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Shel Winkley
Attended Texas A&M University
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Shel Winkley

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Monitoring a line of severe storms to the west and north of the Brazos Valley tonight. 

PinPoint "Future Radar" has it all but falling apart by the time it reaches us by 1-2am. Other hi-res models have them falling apart but still significant. We'll need to continue to watch trends next few hours:
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Shel Winkley

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FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect for the ENTIRE Brazos Valley through the weekend.

TODAY: Scattered ares of rain and thunderstorms are expected through the (mainly) afternoon hours. A few could be strong with heavy rain, lightning, & gusty winds. Rain chance: 50%

TONIGHT: A line of rain and thunderstorms is expected to arrive from the west and move east overnight. Strong winds in excess of 40mph and very heavy rainfall is possible as this line moves through. Flooding will be a concern, along with a few strong severe thunderstorms. Rain chance: 80%

SUNDAY: We'll need to monitor trends -- the rain coverage will be highly dependent on how quickly this line of rain & storms moves to the east. Regardless, greatest chance occurs in the morning, followed by rain & storms moving south and east of the area by afternoon. Flooding will be a concern, along with a few strong severe thunderstorms. Rain chance: 80%.

Interactive PinPoint Radar: http://bit.ly/1jsoX0F
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Shel Winkley

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FLASH FLOOD WATCH remains in place through 7pm for the ENTIRE Brazos Valley.

A widespread band of rain & thunderstorms stretches from the Panhandle to the Rio Grande, west of I-35 this morning.

Expect that widespread rain to arrive after lunch and linger into the evening hours. Few storms could be strong to severe. Strong winds & very, heavy rainfall will be our two greatest concerns today.

Below: HRRR "Future Radar" 10am - 10pm

Interactive PinPoint Radar:http://bit.ly/1jsoX0F
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Shel Winkley

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Today was the epitome of early May in the Brazos Valley -- scattered clouds, warm, humid, and breezy.

Tomorrow and the rest of the week brings a chance of passing rain and a few isolated thunderstorms to the table. While we won't look for a washout, there should be activity that blossoms up each day, across the area.

Severe potential remains low -- but can't rule out an isolated strong to severe storm. Gusty winds, small hail, lightning, & heavy rain are the main concerns. 
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How about this -- the first weekend in over a month that we are not expecting rain in the Brazos Valley.

Seasonable with a mix of sun & clouds Saturday and Sunday. You may notice a touch more of humidity. 

Monday brings Spring winds back to the area...those stick around thorugh next week. Daily rounds of rain and thunderstorms will be possible for much of next week and into the weekend.
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Monday night's cold front has left its mark on the Brazos Valley -- many struggled to reach just 60° Tuesday afternoon. 

An unseasonable streatch of weather on tap for the Brazos Valley -- in fact, we'll come close to a record low by Wednesday morning. Crisp upper 40s turn to comfortable low to mid 70s by the afternoon hours. Breezy north to northwest winds stick around for one more day. 

Quiet stretch of weather is on tap the rest of this week and into the weekend. Enjoy it now, we may set up for another rainy/stormy pattern by the middle to end of next week. 
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Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms have developed between Abilene and Dallas this afernoon / evening. Same case with some activity around the Big Bend Region. 

We'll need to monitor those storms -- if they manage to hold together post-sunset, we may see rain & thunderstorms pass through the Brazos Valley between midnight and 6am. 

Scattered rain / storms possible during the afternoon hours Wednesday. Very hit or miss, but a few could be strong with gusty winds and heavy rain. 

Rain chance continues each day. Very hit or miss as well...with higher coverage possible again by the weekend.
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Cold front is sitting just south of a Huntsville to Brenham line. Cloudy, breezy & in the 60s behind it....many of us may struggle to reach just 70 degrees this afternoon.

Heaviest rain chance will be along that cold front through the rest of today. As a disturbance passes by, it may be able to kick up more scattered rain and isolated rumbles of thunder (40%).

More hit-or miss rain chances in the forecast Friday / Saturday. SUNDAY / MONDAY are going to be the biggest days to watch.  Widespread, heavy rain looks to be the outlook heading into the Memorial Day holiday. 

Below: 5 day rainfall outlook across the region. Localized flooding concerns are on our minds heading into your holiday weekend.
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More rain & storms expected in the Brazos Valley Tuesday. 

Morning spot showers is expected to turn into afternoon, widespread clusters of rain and thunderstorms. Few storms could become strong with gusty winds, small hail, lightning, and torrential rainfall.

Daily chance of rain and storms continue -- however, they should become more hit or miss through the week. Localized areas of flooding will continue to be a concern.
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Plans this evening to celebrate the start of the weekend? Keep 'em -- but monitor the weather as well.

We'll be watching to the west of I-35 this afternoon to see if rain & storms can form. If they can, expect that activity to slide through the Brazos Valley between sunset and midnight.
Outside chance, but a few storms could be strong to briefly severe.
We'll be watching & updating through the day.

Below: HRRR "Future Radar" 3pm - 11pm (Bryan / College Station located where it says "CLL" on the map)

Interactive PinPoint Radar: http://bit.ly/1jsoX0F
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Looks like we'll get one more dry day here in the Brazos Valley. Below: HRRR "Future Radar" Noon - 9pm | highest rain / storm chance over far, West Texas today. Spot shower possible, but not likely, locally.

That said -- Break Out The Umbrella.

Daily chance of scattered rain and isolated thunderstorms will be possible starting Tuesday. Overall severe weather threat looks slim, but a few strong storm will be possible with heavy rain, gusty winds, and possible small, pea sized hail.
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Kicking off the month of May on a gorgeous note in the Brazos Valley.

Another, slightly, unseasonable start to the day Friday -- with sunshine, light winds, low humidity, & highs in the low 80s by afternoon.

Great weather continues into the weekend - however we will turn a bit more humid. 

Daily chance of rain and thunderstorms arrives by early to mid next week. Few of those could be strong to severe as wel....
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Chief Meteorologist at KBTX - TV in Bryan / College Station, TX
Introduction
Chief Meteorologist at KBTX in  Bryan / College Station, Texas. You'll find me posting about weather to keep you ahead of changes in the Brazos Valley -- but also Texas A&M University, changes in Social Media and the Andrioid Platform. FULL DISCLOSURE: I'm head over heels for Google products.

You can find quick weather updates on Twitter @KBTXShel 
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Proud Member of the Fightin' Texas Aggie Ol' Army Class of 2007.
Education
  • Texas A&M University
    B.S. in Meteorology, 2003 - 2007
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979-846-7777
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Weather Forecasting, Broadcast Meteorology, Weather Central & WSI Graphic Production
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