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Sean Ree
117 followers -
Software quality assurance professional with 13 years of experience testing applications in mobile, web, and client-server environments.
Software quality assurance professional with 13 years of experience testing applications in mobile, web, and client-server environments.

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Sean Ree commented on a post on Blogger.
Yes, HAL, you will dream.

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The lemonade of empire. What could be better?
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Fire and forget. In future wars, no direct strike will be survivable. Every strike will be lethal and will destroy the target. The speed of destruction will be overwhelming; the time to react will compress to seconds, in which humans are not capable of making thoughtful decisions. Targeted ships will be sunk instantly. Unfortunately, the advantage will overwhelmingly be to the first striker, even more than before. A whole country's navy could be destroyed in days, not weeks, forcing it to face the impossible "Use it or lose it" decision. Escalation will happen so fast we won't be able to keep up with it. And if any of these missile systems are automated to respond to strikes, the majority of decisions will fall outside human agency. The implications are incalculable. If deterrence fails just once, the consequences will be devastating. The nuclear threshold will be even easier to cross than it ever has been. The next Cuban-style missile crisis will happen in hours, not days. How likely is it that general war can be avoided in such a scenario? We have dug our own graves, and deterrence is the only thing holding us back. Every constraint fails at least once. These missiles cannot be recalled or aborted. Most of the time will be spent trying to figure out what has happened after it's too late. Computers have no ethics, no sense of regret. Only algorithms. I am afraid the same is becoming true of humanity itself. I think conventional war is now obsolete; now it's just a jobs program. The missiles are the only thing that matters, and they destroy everything in their path, with a minuscule failure ratio. Deterrence has a larger fail ratio. Business now runs faster than the speed of thought. War will as well...

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