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P F LOUIS
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Business Manager (Ops Control)
Business Manager (Ops Control)

818 followers
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Market Outlook: June 3 – 7, 2013:  AUD, NZD a bit higher after the w/e China Mfg PMI. Watch the Nikkei & Yen again for clues to direction. US Yields higher. Stocks headed lower? 
A late move lower in equities was Fridays highlight after the dollar had strengthened mildly on the better than expected US data, that the market perceived as an an excuse for the Fed to think about winding back the QE programme. This week will be a big one, with a heavy round of data, beginning today with the Manufacturing PMI's and ending on Friday with the US Jobs/ NFP and with the RBA, ECB and BOE IR decisions in between. Kiwi holiday today.

Market Outlook 13/5 to 17/5: Equities at all time highs. Dollar strength looking to drive the markets early in the week. Plenty of data coming up. 
The sell-off in the AUD and YEN provided main highlights in what was otherwise a big session for the Dollar on Friday. 
More of the same appears most likely in the week to come with plenty of data out, beginning today with some important Chinese and Australian figures, to be followed later by the US Retail Sales, Business Inventories.

Market Outlook 15/4 to 19/4:  Commodities crushed after US Retail Sales. Yen back in favor – for now. G 20 ahead.
The US retail sales disappointed, which caused some excitement in the Yen, bruising the shorts, but little else in the currency markets. However the metals and oil got absolutely hammered, with both Gold and Silver breaking long term support and looking very sick. The Yen looks to remain the centre of attention in the currency world this week and it should be an interesting exchange at the upcoming G20 meeting on Thu/Fri

Market Outlook 8-12 April, 2013: NFP missed badly. FOMC minutes, ECB report, EU Politics this week will provide the direction.
Fridays job numbers saw the Euro, Sterling and Swissy all make good gains against the Dollar but the Yen had other ideas, making new 3 1/2 year lows, and is apparently on its way to 100 in quick time. The Aud gave up ground as risk was lifted and looks under pressure. The FOMC minutes and ECB monthly report will be the highlights this week, while in Asia there is important data out of China, Australia and NZ to focus on. Bernanke will be speaking Tuesday.

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Weekly Outlook Jan 21-25, 2013 - Yen and the BOJ will the focus early in the week. Could be a volatile one! Yen and EUR crosses currently provide the bulk of the action, which looks likely to continue. US holiday today. All eyes will be on the BOJ this week with the Yen likely to be the focus of most of the attention. Elsewhere there is a lot of economic data to digest and much of the action looks likely to be seen on the crosses. It is a US holiday on Monday and could make for a quiet start to the week ahead of the BOJ announcement on Tuesday. Australian CPI Wednesday will be the local highlight.

Weekly Outlook 10-15 Dec., 2012: Improved China data looks supportive for the risk trade. Italian PM resignation to weigh on the Euro. Improving Chinese data over the weekend should ensure that the risk trade receives some support early in the week but little directional movement looks likely as we head towards the holiday period. Italian political instability will not assist the Euro. Today sees EU Sentix Investor Confidence, Australian Home Loans, while the FOMC – Wednesday will be the main focus of the week.
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