Most people underestimate the complexity of nonlinear systems, which limits predictability.

This is very Nassim Taleb - and also likely true.

Most people don't want to discuss it, for obvious reasons, but it should be acknowledged.

In sharp contrast to most commencement remarks, this is actually quite memorable, which is why I am sharing it. 

Also, because it encourages humility, gratefulness and overall moral behavior. Ethics matters. It is one thing one can control.

Here is the transcript: http://www.princeton.edu/main/news/archive/S33/87/54K53/index.xml?section
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