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Leon Smith
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Leon Smith

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This is absolutely hilarious video,  for a cause that's well worth supporting:
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+Leon Smith I remain unconvinced by your argument.  Do you have a computer-verified proof or some interesting raw data?
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The very first animated video on Approval Voting, from The Center for Election Science!
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Well, not even Range Voting minimizes Bayesian Regret;  Range Voting tends to do somewhat better  than Condorcet;  but while I do think Bayesian Regret is suggestive I don't consider it a gold standard either,  so the small difference might not be meaningful.

But I don't think your fuzzy conjecture is true,  in several different senses.   In one sense,  it doesn't matter whether or not it's objectively true;  what matters is how people vote.   Also,  you have to consider feedback processes:  political operatives will try to manipulate the system in ways that benefit their interests and their ideologies.   So "probabilistically large number of situations" doesn't matter if it's relatively easy for organized efforts to arrange for situations where your theory doesn't particularly hold.

Admittedly it's very difficult to model these feedback loops,  but the Approval voting's seemingly strong resistance to strategy is encouraging in this regard.   You always approve of your honest favorite(s), and don't approve of your honest least favorite(s).   Strategy does come into play for other candidates,  and I'm not sure how good Warren's account of strategy really is for his Bayesian Regret simulations,  but at least it's not discouraging.

And that aside,  I find the overall premise quite unlikely.   Strategic voting certainly can be a rational strategy,  although I've seen irrational "strategic" voting as well.
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Leon Smith

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Since my last post on this subject on Jul 30,  the OWS Politics and Electoral Reform Working Group has continued to study alternative election methods including an exit poll using alternate methods such as Approval, Score, and IRV in November and plans to conduct these exit polls on much larger scales in the future.    Here a supporter of the Manhattan Libertarian Party interviews TJ Frawley on these efforts and was left with a very positive impression.

Also, the Center for Election Science interviewed both TJ Frawley and Kenneth Arrow (of Arrow's Impossibility Theorem fame) this year:

http://www.electology.org/interview-with-tj-frawls
http://www.electology.org/interview-with-dr-kenneth-arrow
Occupy Wall Street's TJ Frawley and a couple of his associates presented on the topic of electoral reform at the December Manhattan Libertarian meeting. Prior to TJ's talk I thought of OWS as a little...
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Leon Smith

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"I get wrong. But I also get proportionality. And if you don’t get both, you don’t deserve to have the power of the United States government behind you.  [...]  Somehow, we need to get beyond the “I’m right so I’m right to nuke you” ethics that dominates our time. That begins with one word: Shame.
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Dr. Arrow turns out not to be a fan of our vote-for-one Plurality Voting. No surprises there!
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Quite an indictment:

"Could this be duplicated in California? I don’t know much about the US but from what I’ve seen, I’m sceptical. The barriers are less procedural than cultural; a healthy democratic culture will naturally develop healthy democratic procedures."
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Leon Smith

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postgresql-simple-0.4.2 for Haskell is now available!   You can read about some of the changes in the last year on my blog.
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Leon Smith

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The Center for Election Science's has launched a fundraising campaign to produce a video on Approval Voting and enter it into the MacArthur Foundaton's Looking@Democracy's contest.    We are off to a strong start,  but still need plenty more money to get this project off the ground.   Let's help get out the word about how we can help make democracy work better!
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Leon Smith

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Ancient Iranian ice factories go back to the seventeenth century B.C., and these were used as recently as 50 years ago. They take advantage of places where the temperature drops to freezing at night even though it may get hot in the day.  This is part of an elegant collection of low-power technologies which includes the qanat underground irrigation system and the windcatchers used to cool buildings.   Check out this great set of photos:

http://www.amusingplanet.com/2013/01/ancient-ice-houses-of-iran.html

(posted by +John Baez)
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Leon Smith

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Please participate and share!

I'm leaving it intentionally short, because I know there will always be people who will ask for it to include their favorite candidate. I wanted to have the major parties, and major minor parties, as well as a few independent/moderate people.

Thanks
Who would be President with Approval Voting? Vote for as many as you wish. Most votes wins. Rocky Anderson (Justice Party) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rocky_Anderson. Michael Bloomberg (independent) ...
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Leon Smith

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The electoral reform group of Occupy Wall Street completed an exciting voting experiment. They used a convenience sample among their own members using Score, Approval, Plurality, and IRV. Plurality was the only method that elected a major party within their experiment. Check out the details!
Make Voting Count. Politics & Electoral Reform Working Group Voting Experiment. Home Page · Download · Links. |, Download Files, |, Links, |, Donate, |. Voting Experiment Findings (Conducted April...
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Leon Smith

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by Clay Shentrup. The Problem. My fellow voter: have you ever been afraid to vote for your favorite candidate? If so, you're not alone. It happens to the best of us. Take my friend Bob. Back in th...
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Have him in circles
139 people
Raphael Speyer's profile photo
Austin Seipp's profile photo
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Jeremy Shaw's profile photo
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