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If you were designing a page for normals would you have links open in a new page or in place? What's the current thinking? 
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New page. I don't think people like being redirected unless it's their decision to leave the site.
in place, new windows can get to busy on the screen
New tab.  I think thats possible and all the major browsers are tabbed now.
New page, noobs may not find their way back to your page
What's Normal?
I still remember when I used for opened links in a new windows. Got scolded by a visitor who are recommended to visit my website.
Depends if they will need the information on the page to be available when using the second page. If yes, new page. If no, same page is fine. 
Links to an external site Tim.
Internal links, same page. External links, new tab/window.
In a new place if you have ads as I think it encourages people to return to your site rather than using the back browser button.
I have my new pages open as a new tab in Firefox. So it doesn't matter to me, I'd get a new tab either way.
External or internal links?

I would say in place for the normals. The rest of us know how to use the new tab option. The normals like the back button.
I like it when reference links to an external site open in a new tab. Internal links should open in place. If I'm still reading/using the current page then don't replace my page.
In my experience, "normals" have problems working with a large number of windows. In-place at least preserves a back-forward mental model.
If link is on same site in place. If goes off that site to somewhere else, new window
There's nothing that makes me want to never click on a link ever again like it forcing me to open it in a new window.
normals use the back button, so same page
as long as "normals" know what tabs are:
- in place for internal links
- new window/tab for external links
I think it's been years since I ever left-clicked a link. Anything blue gets a middle button click. 
New tab but stay on current page. I often click multiple links on a page to view later. I hate when it switches to the new tab.
I think tabs confuse normals. This is for the radio show site. 
Depends on context.  Book or manual format, I prefer in place.  If a reference, enlarged image, or side note, then a new page (which can just be closed after reading).
If its pages in my site then same window If external links new window 
Depends what kind of site you are designing.
Todd S
New page/tab for external links
in place for normals. They clicked it for a reason, old page isn't necessary. 
I just asked my mom and she agreed with links going to a new window or tab.  
I agree. New site new tab. Same window for same site. I think even normals are good to go with tabs these days.
In place. Anything that spawns new browser instances and/or tabs seems to either confuse the normals in my experience.
New tab, I HATE when a new window opens unless I specifically want one
+Leo Laporte They (tabs) confused my mum earlier. 
I was asking her to refresh it. She had no idea. 
So, I had to get her to go back to the email link I'd sent her (and had to talk her through it over the phone) and click that again. Opening yet another tab.

I think there just needs to be some simple education on the tabs and even "windows".  Once they get it explained, they tend to get it quickly. 

Little lightbulbs.
Facebook uses the same style I mentioned, +Leo Laporte . I think it is becoming easier/better understood by normals than it would have been a few years ago.
New site, new tab. Same site, same tab. IMHO.
If its in your site, keep it on the same tab. If your moving to a new site, have it open in a new tab. As long as you never ever have any links open a new window, I don't think anyone with really be bothered. Haha. 
new tab for external links is also easier in terms of google analytics outbound link tracking as your not loosing the original page before the code has had a chance to report the track.
In place, if they aren't used to the concept of opening in new tabs.
I'm not web developer, but I say open in place. I think open in new page has been gone for a long time.
rudy s
New, since the default behavior of most browsers is to open a new tab. If they aren't used to the concept, it's not jarring, they'll get it.
As a profesional web developer I find it best practice to link in place. Additional windows/tabs can pile up and everyone knows how to use the back button (most used feature of any web browser).
'normals'? really? I understand the thought but seriously - step back and look what you are saying in the larger context ...
If the link is to another page on the same site, then redirect, otherwise, new window.  That's my general rule.

But, each link needs to be decided independently.  There are cases for each and there's no overall right answer.
New tab... Defiantly new tab... Honestly I don't even want something popping up in a new window.
As a semi-normal (according to my wife) I depend on what it is. An article or photo in place, a web site or more info like to Google play then in a new page.
I always preferred links to open in place myself, and I viewed sites that open a new page as being "stubborn" and trying to keep a tab for themselves and avoid disappearing when I surf away. If I want a new tab, I just Command-click to do that, so it stays my choice.
External link = new tab. No ifs, ands, or buts.
depends if a user actually would want to return to your site immediately after finished with the link or not... if not, redirect... otherwise they will end up in tab hell and hate you for it
Come on Leo.  Didn't you watch Babylon 5?  It's geeks (that's us) and mundanes (that's normals).
in place. Too many 'normals' still don't get tabs or new windows. They try to go back by hitting the back button, which doesn't work.
rudy s
+Chris Kankiewicz I'm in UI/UX and web marketing. I've usually done new page. It makes more sense (usually, always depends on the application/context) and at some point we have to have to march forward, new users will have to catch up.

The "new users" experience does 2 things: fosters contempt for visitors (we need to get away from that, more and more people are adopting tech), and it's an easy way to take a safe route. I love technology because it's always pushing ahead, so that's the attitude I try to foster in projects.
Generally I believe external links = new window/tab unless it's part of a user flow (.e.g, payment process) or a jump-off point (e.g., "read here for more information")—your power users can just hold cmd/ctl to force a new window/tab. Any ancillary external links (e.g., mid-sentence links) open in a new window/tab so the current window can be left for reference
In place.  Savvy people who don't want to navigate away will right-click.  Normals don't think this way.  They only want to push ahead to the next amusing cat video.
if the links are internal same page, if the links are to a different site the links should go to a new page (especially on user profiles)
I prefer to link to new page/tab. From my point of view, I have found sometimes after opening a link, I close it, only to realize that I needed to go back to get to the last page I was on.
External link, new page. Internal link, same page.
new tab, that way your page is still there
My mum is a techno hazard she would understand separate tabs / pages that she can see rather than the back / forward nav.
Standard behavior would be new tabs if the links are external, in place for same domain.  Why teach them bad habits? 
Link to outside the website, I do new window and no follow...
As pop-unders, with ads for Viagra®.
new page / tab 4 sure i like the name normals i call them nobbers :)
I feel it's good to have links open in a new page Leo because I'm one that stays on the org page. The org page deserves to have it's own page open so I can come back to it. The org page is always more interesting & important IMHO then the link page because there maybe more links to check out on the org page. My view of this thing we call the internet.
: ) 
Sorry should have said New Tab
New page... never take your visitors away from your page.  :)
I think the digg style is the current thinking, where it opens 'in place' but still has the website's header so the normies don't get lost outside of the website. I prefer it to open to a new tab myself.
Depends on the link - Internal Page should open on same - External link new tab / window depends on how/what the difference in content is.
External links in new, preferably marked as such.
Internal links in same.

Love +TWiT. Bring back +Game On!, please =)
They may never find your site again so new tab _target="blank"
External links new tab/window, links to pages on the same site just turn the page.

Thank's for TwIT Network.
If it is within the same site same page. If they are external links then new page or tab. 
Ed D
New page, less confusing. I think.
Do you mean like opening a new browser window or just whether the content loads in the page? Normally, you'd only want a new browser window to pop if you: a. Want the user to eventually stop browsing in that window and close it (Terms of Use acceptance, maybe a small catalog, etc.) or b. you are leaving your parent site.

If you mean content in page, then loading different parts of the same content could be in page while changing content types would be a new page. For example, if someone was viewing all TWiT shows, info about them could load in page. Then, if they wanted to see all sponsors, the page could change to a new one.

TL;DR: Only open a new window if leaving the site. Load in page if you're navigating a content type and switch pages for different types, in my opinion. :)
Same page. It doesn't get simpler than that.

I can easily put my pinky on CTRL if I want a link to open in a new page/tab.
Open in place on left click. Middle click to open a new tab. Right click for the choice between the two. Don't get cute.

Sort of on topic, since I've been looking for work, I HATE job websites that use Taleo because it breaks the middle click, right click and the browsers back button.

Find any big company and they probably use Taleo and just try to navigate it. It's the world's greatest example in how to make a website almost unusable.
New page if it's a link to another site. Same page if it's a link to another page on the same site
Jan you may know to hold control but ask around and see how many others naturally know
Same page.  Everybody knows how to use the back button
Internal links same page, external links new page.
Have it open in a new tab. Since those became popular, I think it is very useful to be able to access all info at the switch of a tab.
Depends on the links. If its for external pages, new page/tab. Within the same site, in place. That's given that the site has a way to easily get back to the page in question. 
I'd prefer a new tab, but a new window is easier to grasp for the web-challenged. I hate external links opening in place. 
I don't like anything that makes synchronous request. ie: make a request, wait for response, wipe the whole page, repaint the whole page.

The stuff I write, and the webapps I prefer to consume are in part or entirely asynchronous. Requests in the background, page changes dynamically based on response. Avoid if at all possible, complete page wipes / reloads.
Always in place, if I want a new tab I middle click. I NEVER want a new window.
Well since you said, "for normals" - it is in place. Most normals I see click links, then use the back button if they want to get back where they were. In fact, even in place for geeks because we know how to activate the "open in new tab" / "open in new window" feature.
Links should be like a flow chart, not pop-ups.
The only time a link should open in a new place is when you are navigating away from the site in which you click the link. 
If it's for norms, then new tab.  So many normals fail to right click should they want a new tab which is easier for them to handle anyhow (says I)
Normal links: In place; all users know the back button and advanced users get the middle-click, ctrl-click, right-click advantages.
Some carefully selected links use JS etc. to get a "dialog" in page, with a fallback to a new tab (preferrably, a new window otherwise) in case JS is lacking or turned off.
in place , hate all the pages open on my android 
I'm with the same site same window, new site new window crowd.
Sometimes even internal pages should be a new window. For example, am working on a site in the EU which needs user consent for cookie use, I include a link to privacy policy to new window so that existing window can wait for user to make a response, user can close the privacy page window then.
Same page, same i(frame iffolks still even use iframes) - keeps the ad track in stack.  But would depend on your program stack - joomla and woordpress- KEEP insame page.  if you're refering folks to 'other' sites- new page... particularly if it isn't content non-pertinent. 
New page. It makes the idea of surfing more linear for those non techies. 
I'm amazed at the number of responses saying "new window". If everyone actually followed that, then every time you clicked a link to a new site a new window (tab) would open, and you'd have hundreds of tabs just from surfing. Imagine if Google followed that line of thought, because people "might want to get back to the search results". And that would somehow be better for "normals"? Madness.

New windows aren't ALWAYS the wrong answer, but they're the wrong DEFAULT answer, and we weren't given enough detail to know what's being linked to/from.

EVERY time I see my mother click a link that opens in a new window, she does a double-take, wonders what she did wrong, and then wonders what she's looking at. Yes, eventually she closes that window and sees the previous one behind it, but then she's surprised again because she thought she left that site. A single anecdote doesn't constitute evidence, but still.
I generally open to a new page/tab - slightly more likely to keep existing traffic interested in what is on the original page.
In place for local links and a new tab for external links
Same site, same window. New site, new window.
In place. Back button function is well known, and with tons of tabs open, a normal is never going to find your site again.
i don't mind new tabs, but since you can open any link in a new tab by clicking the link w/ the middle mouse button, i find it hard to justify designing-in new-window popping
Hi +Leo Laporte I agree with +Christopher Weiss about reference opening externally and in a new Tab. That being said, after actually going to the site I was put off by what I think are too many hyperlinks within the article. Since you have a sidebar menu it is probably overkill. Plus, not all links have a title attribute so it is unclear by that and in context if it will open internally or externally. I would recommend keeping the external and internal links separate - the external in the menu and internal inline with the article. Less busy and ambiguous for normals and experienced users, alike.  
Always nice to have it open in a new window.
I would go with new tabs.  I find it much easier to deal with tabs.  Also, it will keep your site open for a quick jump back.  I know I don't like losing my place when clicking links for external sites.
New tabs would be my preference.
Usually internal pages in place, external page new tab. Good indicator to user the content is not under your editorial purview.
I almost always want links to open in a new tab.
Same tab, unless you have a good reason otherwise. (And you probably don't.)
The current thinking is typically for pages on the same domain to open in-place, and outside pages to open in a new page.
In-place; I can middle-click to open up a new page. I don't want to have to guess what will happen when I click a link.
New Tab Same Window - The Sequel
If the link goes to a different site - new window or tab (with new tab as the preference). If it's on the same site, same window.
If it were up to me: Short-click, in-place; double-click, new tab; long click, new window.
Normals LOL

Depends on your goals. Linking off site...always open a new page/window/tab. Linking to a special place on your site (perhaps a page without many links back to the rest of the site) then open a new one...otherwise open it in current.
Should always have links on the side or top of the page and just open a new page in the same window, that way things are nice and easy to get around
Open into a new tab.  If they aren't smart enough to know about tabs, they're obviously not smart enough to need my page.
Always a new tab......That way your site is still open and available....
general advice is to let the users choose to pen links into a new window. it is so incredibly easy to do this, many "normals" know how.
I always prefer new page. You can close out the new and still be on the original site.
I open them in a new window so the user doesnt lose the referencing page.  Too often people click around and lose their places.
"new page" if the back button is not going to take you to the exact same location on a long scrolled page.
I'm with +Mark Jones , I'm honestly a little shocked and surprised by the number of "new window" responses. Don't confuse "the normals"—a phrase I find mildly distasteful used here—by altering the default expectations. You'll find that by doing so, you also don't piss off us "freaks" who get annoyed and offended when some impersonal web designer thinks they have a better idea than we do where we wish to open new links.

One of the quickest ways to make me leave a site and never want to come back is to try and force your expectations of how my browser should operate upon me.
In place. Opening a new window or tab makes me leave your site and never return.
Always a new page, never sacrifice you page for a link.
New page or new web application? I want gmail / g+ / facebook / etc. to open links in a new tab. If you're just building a new blog, then no, just go to the link because you're a destination for content that you generate, not an app that presents content that your users (I) generate.
New page for external links. Otherwise they stand little chance of exploring more of your site after visiting the link. 
Open new page if you are going to another site. Stay in the same tab if you are staying on the same site. Depends on the site design. There might be a reason to open a new tab on your site such as if there is a video playing and the user is clicking a link that might stop the video from playing.
In place. Anything else presumes that you know more than your visitor about how they want their browser to work. Respect them by respecting their browser settings.
Internal links open in place, other links on a new page
Funny how most of the responses here are not "current thinking" they are "what do I prefer" when "I" would be defined as someone who is clearly a techie. Outside specific scenarios--and this isn't one--links should not open a new window or tab. If the user wants to open a new tab (as many techies do) they know how to make that happen themselves.
Leo T
New page.
New page. They likely don't want to leave your site.
From a Measurement perspective, some analytics platforms will not consistently fire tracking beacons on click of outbound links before the browser has a chance to navigate to the target page. It's possible to delay the outbound click by say 100ms, but in general, I recommend new windows for outbound links whenever possible. Oh, and you should be using some sort of analytics solution if you're not. :)
My rule is simple (in three parts, and to which there are exceptions, but that's not the point) A. If the link keeps the user on my site, NO new tab. B. If link navigates away from my site as a functional flow, NO new tab, but if C. link is an external resource, meant as reference, then new tab. 

In short, like others have said, do what you need to keep your visitors on your site (New Tabs for outbound links), but try to keep your site on one tab. 
In place.  It's better to let the user decide if they want to open a new tab/window than to make the decision for them.  By having the default be in place, the user is able to do whatever they prefer (using middle-click for opening in a new tab), while if the default is to open a new tab, there is no way to force the link to behave otherwise.  
PDF files & External links, always a new page.  Nobody wants to click the Back button 15 times just to get back to your site. You'll likely just loose the user.
It seems that almost all websites today are setup to open in a new tab so I just expect it to happen when I click a link. I think people have gotten used to switching between windows and that is the way to go with links.
  Everyone I know wants a link to open in a new tab. Its just easier to not lose track of the originating page. If i had to choose for a non techie, i would go with opening it in a new page rather than a new tab(which is what i would want) just because it keeps the originating page in place, which is very handy if the link you follow isn't what you wanted and that happens more with non techies, and a non techie knows how to close a new page where they might not know how to close a tab(plus saves them accidentally closing all tabs)
It should be totally dependent on the customer for whom the page is being designed. What are the goals? Traffic, ad revenue, information dissemination, etc. I personally favor Jesse's bifurcated approach above "Internal links same page, external links new page".
Jim Cox
+Leo Laporte  - Though your question was directed to "normal" visitors to a site there are also suggested guidelines to be considered for visually impaired visitors:

"Radical changes of focus in a GUI environment are extremely disorienting to blind users who are navigating by screen reader, and thus can be considered discrimination against the visually impaired."
I usually have internal links open in place and external ones in a new page, but I'm old school too. :-)
I always open a link in a new tab... I rarely click the right button to open a link now... I just click the wheel down...
Open in a new tab for external links /open in place for internal with an exception of opening in a new window for featured content
I agree with +Jonathan Feist. The decision for me would be based in the context of the content and not around behavioral habits of users. While it is important to consider your users and their habits in many usability decisions, it's clear from the replies, that personal preference is varied and impossible to predict, never mind trying to define 'normal'. 
If it is staying in your site then same window. If it is going to another site then maybe new window/tab. I have also been known to launch PDF forms in a new window so they can keep looking / browsing the site. 
If your content is good enough, you won't 'lose' users. We have to give them some credit. 
New window.  Tabs confuse my mom, and probably most "normals".  People understand windows and how to close them.
External links in a new tab, internal links in place. Nothing more annoying than internal links opening in a new tab
New page, new page.  It's rare I don't use my right-click->Open in New Tab in Chrome.

Wikipedia is a really good example where I want to open a link, but finish reading the article I'm in the middle of before moving to that linked topic.

Front page of ESPN or another news site are other good examples.
Generally geeks have a million tabs open and want to keep opening a sea of tabs in the background. Normal people probably like to have just one page open and only do one thing at a time?
Yup, I'll add my new page/tab with the others! I'm always opening links in new tabs so I don't lose my place... Er, unless I don't care if I return to that place.
My general rule is if the link leaves the site or demands lots of user interaction (like a web app), it should open in a new window
I'm a norm I suppose. Generally if the link is a small snippet of info, ie a picture or a quote or vid I like it in page and move on. If it is longer than that I prefer a separate tab which I go to later, even if it it's a second later. I think most norms nowadays are pretty ok with the internet. The lines are blurring. 
Both, I like to use new page if there is no clear navigation path back and in place if it is clear how to return.
I'm fine with the same tab unless I get trapped - that really torques me.  I'm also fine with a new tab.
Links to outside domains open in a new tab or window, links to local pages open in the parent window. Never totally send a user away from your site for any reason. Keep your site as home base they must come back to eventually even if it simply to close the window, they might just look around and stay a little longer if you do.
new, I hate having what I am reading replaced by something that I want to save to look at later
I'm always holding my apple key when I click a link regardless so there's no guessing.  
In place, always, both from an usability perspective and an accessibility perspective. In place also gives users the choice.
I always open a new tab but keep my main site open where it was in it's own tab (keeps my site open and visible).
If someone is at the learning level to grasp the use of multiple windows or tabs. I think it only makes sense for the same domain target to be _self (the default) and the other domain target to be _blank (to better define the change and make it easier to reference or return to the original).

For people who don't understand where the boundaries of the window or browser are though opening a new tab or window seems to "break the back button" exc. on closing the browser or tab they are surprised to be back at your site still i think those people are in the minority.
Like Apple website. In place. Normals cannot find tabs as easily.
In place for sure unless you put the little icon next to the link telling them their link will open in a new tab/window. I think the expected behavior is that their current tab will continue to be their current tab. Everyone needs to learn to Ctrl+Click if they want to force a new tab for the link.
I definitely prefer in a new tab, but I feel like in place would be better for the technologically-illiterate. 
For the norms in place is definitely the way to go, most don't know how to manage tabs properly in any fashion. For the rest of us, if I want it in a new tab I'll just right click and say open in a new time.
I use both styles, +Leo Laporte, depending mainly on whether I intend that the link is aimed at a natural progression through my site or a destination within my site (with the page(s) being opened in place) or it is more of an "aside" or "for more information" from which I expect the person to want to return (and I open it in a new page).
This has to depend the flow. Page 1->2->3: same window; "Help", "Find your nearest store", etc --> new window/tab. Oh, and if your one of those dork sites who can't handle the browser's back button, then a new window every time, because you can handle the close button.
...if you are evil and implement new window links, make sure you give them the SAME 'Target' attribute. That way, if your visitors click multiple links, they should end up in the same new window (not one new window per link). But in-place is much better.
Though I wrote this in 2008 I still feel it applies today.

Forcing new windows breaks all web usability guidelines and creates problems for users and importantly affects accessibility issues. International user accessibility guidelines recommend against the “new
window” approach.

When a new window opens in front of the old one a novice user is likely to think that the “back” button associated with the new window will take them back where they were before, and doesn’t know what to do when it won’t, this can be just as annoying as closing the whole window.

Confident users can cope with the forced new window, new users can not.

Similarly a disabled learner, using a head pointer or other assistance device, won’t be able to simply click on the back button to return if the code has forced a new window to open.
I say same window. People who want to open it in a new window or tab can always ctrl-click or middle-click.
In the same page. If the user wants it in a new window/tab they can do it if they like. Give the user the option don't force them one way. 
In place.  If they want a new page they'll just click with the middle button instead of the left.  Uber normals will just end up with tons of tabs they don't even know how to get rid of, and stop visiting because they think your site makes their Internet slow.
I have a hard time answering that question.  I think even the normals have gotten to the point that new pages annoy them.  That's only speculation on my part though.
In place.
If you pop open a new window they consider it distracting. But if you open in a new Tab they don't notice it or if it switches to the new tab they forget where they were and close the browser since the Back-button doesn't work.
I middle click all links anyway to make them go into a new tab.
Links to external sites should open in a new page. Links to other pages on the same site should open in place.
Internal links should open via Ajax to replace the associated panel.
Links to outside should draw a popup warning that you are about to leave the safe Leo zone to the out intertubes wasteland.

You did say normals right?
Why do you feel the need to act as someone's window manager? I already have one; it's called metacity, xfwm4, or explorer.exe, depending on what the system in front of me is.. We're "adult enough" to use the features of our Web browsers, such as right-click open in new window, or even more importantly, open in new tab, or in place as WE see fit. Why do you want to take that choice away from your visitors? Why do you want to break browser forward/back buttons? so you can say, "look, ma! do you see what I can do?" KISS.

If you still insist on doing new window/tab crockery, at least have the decency of NOT puting JavaScript in the href; instead use JS in onclick attributes.  At least that way, me opening it in a new tab works, as well as disabling JS will allow in-place clicking and preservation of fwd/back history.
New page. It annoys me when I lose my place on one page by clicking on a link. I like to be able to look at each page independently.
Agree 100% with Joe Philipps. Should open in place.
It depends on the system you are developing and what the target link points to. As a user I prefer links to be normal links as that gives me control over when I want to open it in a new window or use the existing window. The times that I would open things in a new window are when it's a line of business system or system where I would expect the user to spend a large amount of time or where the link is opening a document (e.g. a PDF file).
Joe M.
In a new tab
I personally like new tabs/pages.  But, when trying to train my dad over the phone about why he could not go "back" in his browser after he clicked on a link, he got frustrated and confused.  This was in the early days of tabs, but he still forgets that he needs to click on an existing open tab.
I would tend to lean towards linking in place, simply because the user can choose to open a "normal" link in a new tab should that be their desire. As far as I know, there's no option to open a "new tab" link in place.

That being said, opening external links in a new tab is very intuitive, especially if the links have that "external link" symbol next to them.
I know it's a tough choice, but the vast majority of sites on the web seem to follow the new site = new page format. Your audience, if they haven't figured that out already, will benefit from your site, where they go to learn about computers, following the same "rules" as the majority of other sites they will encounter. Good luck with the new site Leo.
Hi Leo, normally:
- in-site pages open in-line,
- off-site pages generally open a new window.

The exception for off-site being if the link is deliberately directing the user away from your site at the end of some kind of dialog - in other words, where the user would be expecting to leave.

Generally, you want users to stay with your site as long as possible. If you are not bothered about that, then it is easiest for the user if you keep them in the same window.
In place for ease in mobile browsing. Plus, non-normals know to right-click for new page.
Are they done with the present space/content? Then link in place. Navigation? Link in place. Are they visiting an external link? Then link new page/tab/window. Is it a list of websites with external content? THEN FOR THE LOVE OF GOD NEW PAGE/TAB/WINDOW!
normals?  oh, you mean muggles!  in that case, I say in place for most links unless there is a specific justification to spawn a new tab/window
new page....has to be a no brainer, as they we fearful of losing our way
Geeks - external only new tab. None geeks - in place, same window. Everybody understands the back button.
In place, if someone wants it on a new tab they can middle click it.
Give that choice to the user.  It's so easy to selectively open links in new tabs with modern browsers (middle-click or ctrl-click) that there's no reason to force users into a new tab (or an actual separate window shudder) when they haven't requested it.
Internal links on the same page. Outbound links on a new tab/page
They'd open in the same place. If they want them to open in a new tab they'd open it in a new tab. Users know what the middle-mouse button does, you know?
outside links always need to open in a new window, quite honestly it pisses me off to no end sites that navigate to a new site on a single click. I am a web developer for a living, I know full well how to open in a new tab, I just don't want to have to do it that way.
Mostly in a new page. Depends on the context. 
New tab. All browsers support opening links in new tab and it is cleaner and allows continued browsing of current site. 
I vote IN PLACE for ease of using, do not want to confuse them 
I vote for IN PLACE.  You can always right click on the link and select to open in a new tab if you want that feature.
If the destination is on the same site it should be in the same window and if it is another site it should be a new page or tab.  Definitions can be done using a popup or div that appears as a popup.
I hate, hate, HATE websites that open new windows or tabs, unless they do so for a very specific reason. If it clearly links to an external site (most commonly, because it's a forum with links), that's OK.

Short version: Make the links open in the current page, but make them friendly. That is, if I want to open a new tab, I can Ctrl-Click and it will open the page (no JavaScript "open" commands).
In place within the same site, and a new window for an external site.
Prefer new page for off site links & documents like PDFs.
It seems simple to me and really just depends on the purpose of the link.

If I'm clicking a link to navigate to another section of your site then I want it to open in place (one page not multiple tabs/windows).

If I'm reading an article that references an older article and there's a link to the older article then I want it to open in a new tab/window. I'm not ready to navigate away, I just want to open the link.

I believe that's the current thinking. I also think that the current thinking matches the historical thinking and I think they're both right.
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