Many common crop varietals have been produced using what I'll call "old-school genetic modification". In this process, we take a plant's germ cells and beat the hell out of them with mutagenic chemicals and/or highly ionizing radiation (e.g., gamma radiation from nuclear reactions). This creates lots of completely random mutations in the plant's DNA, and you simply cross your fingers that some of them will be beneficial. This has been common since around the '20s, and includes many crops currently labeled "organic".
Preferring that process to modern, surgical genetic modification can be thought of as preferring being shot with a shotgun to having endoscopic laser surgery. Sure, the shotgun might accidentally fix something, but...
The stagnation effect is not the effect of stagnation, just that the technology advances along axis that we didn't foresee, or because we don't really understant the exponential curves. Back in the 70s it was obvious that digital technology would become something awesome, but most of it was still at the start of the exponential curve, meaning that it took many more years before it got to critical mass (ca 1990s).
And when technology "stagnates" yet again, it is because quick growth in one area typically requires similar growth in a different, neglected area (some tangential, needed technology, or policy, or other - flying cars are nice, but where the heck are we supposed to fly them?).
Kodak died because they weren't able to properly understand the curve, even when they had engineers that had quite properly predicted when the digital camera technology would be ready for prime time.
And even understanding how the technology itself grows, one still needs to understand the effects. As performance soars exponentially, costs follows the other way. My smartphone, advanced as it is, costs a 5th of the suitcase mobile my father bought 25 years ago.
From there it should be obvious that the GDP can't grow with the technology itself, but rather with the effects of it, including all those things that have become so much cheaper to do. And I'm sure productivity has been part of it, but also better quality of life (at least in countries not destroying themselves with inequality) such as shorter work days, longer vacations, healther lives and so on. And a lot of businesses are struggling with these things, because they have business models that are inherently premium, but where technology makes it possible to be a whole lot of cheaper (banking is one example).
Other services aren't really premium as such, they just happen to benefit from technology to make things simpler for the user (taxis where the costs still are cars and drivers (technology may of course eventually eradicate the drivers ...)).
Wish I'd remembered this at the Apple Watch intro <g>
Krugman cleverly reprises Hitchhiker to question tech: "Remember Douglas Adams’s 1979 novel “The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy”? It began with some technology snark, dismissing Earth as a planet whose life-forms “are so amazingly primitive that they still think digital watches are a pretty neat idea.”"
The Point: "...at this point, the whole digital era, spanning more than four decades, is looking like a disappointment. New technologies have yielded great headlines, but modest economic results. Why?
...Another possibility is that new technologies are more fun than fundamental. Peter Thiel, one of the founders of PayPal, famously remarked that we wanted flying cars but got 140 characters instead. And he’s not alone in suggesting that information technology that excites the Twittering classes may not be a big deal for the economy as a whole."
What Is. What Isn't
While we can applaud Uber for shaking up the private transportation industry (taxis for the most part), let's not mistake them for some kind egalitarian vision for the future. Even if it's providing for a pretty good living for its drivers now, what they really want is to get rid of the drivers with self driving cars.
Platforms that piggy-back off of the good will of "sharing", this feel good branding, are (as I posted earlier) sheep in wolves clothing. I'd rather know I am dealing with a wolf, than pretending I am supporting a sheep.
Uber, and other's like it, are just another way to funnel money to the top of the food chain.
- Igesund Enterprise SoftwareSoftware development consultant, 2006 - present
- NTNUMSc Comp.sci, 1998 - 2003
- Traffic Control
No, 'Gangnam Style' Didn't Break YouTube. We Did the Math | WIRED
Big Data, you've met your match, and its name is Psy.
OL-låten totalslaktes: - Folk får ytre hva de vil - VG Nett om OL 2014
VG-leserne gir terningkast 1 og kaller den nye OL-låten en flause, rotete og forferdelig etter at den ble vist under Idrettsgallaen lørdag.
Kommentar: Slik tar langrenn livet av seg selv - VG Nett om Langrenn
Noen står over, en boikotter, og andre vurderer å hoppe av underveis. Hvorfor skal publikum bry seg om Tour de Ski når løperne ikke gjør det
Kjørte av veien - havnet på tunneltaket - VG Nett om Utrolige historier
Det er uklart for politiet hvordan sjåføren klarte dette.
Liverpool ydmyket Tottenham - VG Nett om Premier League
(Tottenham-Liverpool 0-5) Ingen ser ut til å kunne stoppe Premier Leagues soleklare toppscorer, Luis Suarez. I storseieren mot Tottenham net
The Washington Post Destroyed A Troll In A Twitter Fight For The Ages
The Washington Post — the paper of record...
Gamle arabiske skrifter beskriver skitne vikinger - VG Nett
Vikingene var vakre, men skitne og barbariske, mente arabere som har beskrevet sine møter med skandinaver som reiste østover.
Brannfakkel fra Ap-Bøhler: Barn må lære å vinne og tape - VG Nett
Ap-topp og fotballeder Jan Bøhler vil ha slutt på barnefotball hvor det ikke er mulig at de beste får spille sammen. Barn har godt av å lære