Profile

Cover photo
Justin Wolfers
Works at University of Michigan
Attended Harvard University
Lives in Ann Arbor, Michigan
5,529 followers|296,221 views
AboutPostsPhotosYouTubeReviews

Stream

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: A different kind of Grexit. Over the past few weeks, Greeks have become twice as likely to search for work overseas. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/11/upshot/more-greeks-looking-to-work-abroad-search-engines-suggest.html
A brain drain, and resulting loss of tax revenue, would probably make it even harder for Greece to pay off its enormous debts.
4
1
Dimitrios Diamantaras's profile photo
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: Political betting markets suggest that Greece's prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, may have misread the mood of his own electorate, and there's a two-in-three chance that the "yes" case will win the referendum.
 
Alexis Tsipras may have misread the mood of his own electorate in calling for a financial referendum on Sunday.
3
1
Anil Das's profile photoMarco Pelliccia's profile photo
 
Bank closures tend to have that effect.
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
Betting markets reckon that this time The Donald means it, and he's really running for President.
A prediction market has rated the chances that potential candidates will actually run for president, and Mr. Trump’s odds are the biggest surprise.
1
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: 
"The government reckons that the American economy shrank over the winter, but no one really believes it... There seem to be as many asterisks on this report as might apply to Barry Bonds’s baseball records."
A less well-known but more reliable measure suggests the economy grew in the last quarter, although not by very much.
1
Roger Weber's profile photoDean Jens's profile photo
2 comments
 
That is neither spending nor income.  "Spending" is the part of your income that you don't save.
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: What do political prediction markets have to say about today's British election? It's a coin flip! Heads the conservatives return; Tails Labour takes over.
The traditional two-party system is breaking down, which makes the outcome more uncertain, in this case a 50-50 tossup.
1
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: Why You Can’t Put Faith in Reports of First-Quarter Economic Slumps
The algorithm behind the government’s seasonal adjustment for G.D.P. has consistently missed the mark.
2
guy yak's profile photo
guy yak
 
both phillips and liesman should be familiar with the hypotheses of calendar effects and arduous work of frank anthony taucher who gathered and reported the data for technical analyses of the markets ¦

unfortunately classical economists do not trade financial instruments in realtime markets so they are often bias against the observations and practices of marketmakers ¦ #calendareffects have been active speculations for a very long time which should be readily known by any senior at an investment house like goldman sachs ¦

the notions behind seasonal adjustments are different from calendar effects ||
Add a comment...
Have him in circles
5,529 people
Magnus A. Schifter-Holm's profile photo
Evan Peterson's profile photo
Monirul Khan Haidher's profile photo
alexandra syahbudin's profile photo
Ben Finklea's profile photo
Mohammad Davarzani's profile photo
Seth D. Michaels's profile photo
Greg B Davies's profile photo
Daniel Sacks's profile photo

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
I wrote this column so that my five-year old daughter Matilda would be interested in what I do for a living. (Bonus: I snuck in a reference to Disney's first ever gay character.)
The entertainment business has proved surprisingly successful at influencing what people name their babies.
2
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: Today's big trade vote elicited very different reactions on Pennsylvania Avenue and Wall Street. What does this tells us something about the trade agreement?
The market’s indifference to Friday’s surprising development suggests the stakes are lower than they appear for the Trans-Pacific Partnership.
1
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: When politicians won't tell the truth, why don't we turn to prediction markets, instead?
Prediction markets would be a way to prevent candidates from sidestepping fund-raising restrictions.
1
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: The Dad Bod, Quantified
Someone had to do it: figure out how much softer a man’s body gets, on average, when he becomes a father.
1
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
My latest: It's a Fed Fight! What caused the economy to slow in Q1?

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/20/upshot/dueling-views-on-the-first-quarter-slump.html 
Economists disagree about the accuracy of arcane statistical measurements used to offset seasonal slowdowns.
1
Add a comment...

Justin Wolfers

Shared publicly  - 
 
Two big new studies on neighborhood effects were just released. Let me tell you why they're important.
There’s a compelling case that good neighborhoods nurture success.
5
Add a comment...
People
Have him in circles
5,529 people
Magnus A. Schifter-Holm's profile photo
Evan Peterson's profile photo
Monirul Khan Haidher's profile photo
alexandra syahbudin's profile photo
Ben Finklea's profile photo
Mohammad Davarzani's profile photo
Seth D. Michaels's profile photo
Greg B Davies's profile photo
Daniel Sacks's profile photo
Work
Occupation
Economics Professor
Employment
  • University of Michigan
    Professor of Economics and Public Policy, 2011 - present
  • Brookings Institution
    Non-resident Senior Fellow, 2009 - present
  • The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
    Associate Professor of Business and Public Policy, 2004 - 2012
  • Stanford GSB
    Assistant Professor of Economics, 2001 - 2004
Places
Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Currently
Ann Arbor, Michigan
Previously
Sydney, Australia - Cambridge, MA - San Francisco, CA - Philadelphia, PA - Washington, DC - Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea
Story
Tagline
Economist by day. Dad by night. Runner when I find the time.
Education
  • Harvard University
    Ph.D, Economics, 1997 - 2001
  • University of Sydney
    B.Ec (Hons and medal), 1991 - 1994
  • James Ruse Agricultural High School
    1985 - 1990
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Birthday
December 11
Relationship
In a domestic partnership
These guys are rip-off artists. Don't waste your time here. Our story. We called around different dealerships for prices for a new car. These guys were cheapest, so I made sure to call again and to go through the price and all the usual hidden extras line by line. I wanted to make sure that we weren't going to get the usual car salesman bull. He gave us all those details. Then we went in to the dealership, ready to sign the papers and drive the car off the lot. Suddenly the salesman "discovered" that the car we wanted had an extra "$1000" in extras on it (all extras the dealer had put on), and because he was so "generous", he would give it to us for an extra $600. (These were all nonsense extras too that aren't worth anywhere near that.) So suddenly our precisely negotiated price was another $600 higher. We walked out, vowing never to come back again. And the same thing will happen to you: Read the other reviews here. Basically they put these "extras" on all their cars, which makes it all the more surprising that they "forget" to tell you about them. Don't waste your time--even after double-checking before we drove out here, we just learned they were lying to us. Liars, cheats and time wasters.
• • •
Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago
6 reviews
Map
Map
Map