Profile

Cover photo
John Poteet
Attended California State University, Chico
Lives in Chico, CA
6,147 followers|2,162,516 views
AboutPostsCollections

Stream

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
We could've had Bernie...
32 comments on original post
1
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
The environment I grew up with is gone and won't return: ever. I don't know how to explain this to my children.
11
Sheila Nagig's profile photoTheo Fenraven's profile photoJohn Poteet's profile photo
3 comments
 
I remember as a kid watching fields where I would run with my dogs get bulldozed and destroyed one after the other to put up subdivisions of urban tract houses. Row after row of near identical, bullshit, snout houses, with no redeeming features. Lawns nobody ever sat on with three bushes under the windows and a bedraggled tree struggling to survive.

Even there I was lucky to live near parks I could walk to and to have stores I could bike to. I've been to pop up suburbs where everything is fake.

Yep, I'm angry.
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
This is where I'm going to say something that's going to upset some people. We have to abandon large parts of Louisiana and then look at other areas in the U.S. that we are not going to rebuild once they flood and/or burn. There are other options but they'll be as expensive or more expensive than simply backing off and letting giving water room to flow.

Yes, we can build all of our houses, stores, schools, and hospitals behind dikes or on mounds. That will cost as much as moving the populations affected uphill or upstream. We can build some houses, stores, and such on concrete barges that will float up and then can be reset when waters recede. It's just very, very, expensive.

You can fireproof houses in California also and if we had any sense all buildings in fire zones would have metal or tile roofs, fire shutters, and fireproof cladding. These are features I rarely actually see. Houses burned to the ground; I see a lot of that.

What we will suffer for is building the same sorts of cheap, defenseless, unrepairable buildings in damage prone areas. The expense of doing so will eventually eat us up. "Consumption," is the appropriate term here. Once a bodily disease; now an environmental one.
14
jane smith's profile photoJohn Poteet's profile photoEric Criens's profile photo
13 comments
 
I can think of a couple...
Rijn, Maas, en Waal. Especially the Waal is a very strong and fast flowing river.
I know because I motored it with my little sailboat up and down river. And Germany has every year their river cities close under water.
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
There's no reason that we shouldn't be transitioning to wind powered cargo ships today. We know we're going to run out of oil and that we have to stop burning fossil fuels. The time to make the switch is now.
 
Observing the effects of the greatest transportation revolution of the 20th Century. on The Nib
View original post
14
Craig Brunetti's profile photoJohn Poteet's profile photoIsaac Kuo's profile photo
12 comments
 
Another potential alternative is space based solar power. Unlike, say, airliners, cargo ships are big enough for a large concentrating receiver and it's okay to lose power due to incomplete satellite coverage and/or clouds.

So, you could have a dual boiler steam ship - one boiler using a light concentrator and another using normal fuel (for auxiliary use near shore).
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
"July was the hottest month the world has endured since records began in 1880, scientists have said, and brought a painful taste of the troubles people around the world may have to grapple with as global warming intensifies. Results compiled by Nasa showed the month was 0.84C hotter than the 1951-1980 average for July, and 0.11C hotter than the previous record set in July 2015."
9
Add a comment...
Have him in circles
6,147 people
Andrew Petersen's profile photo
Tiff Antonov's profile photo
Pin Cayabyab's profile photo
dipika mule's profile photo
Manfred Kager's profile photo
Chris Davis's profile photo
Marc Rodríguez Espinach's profile photo
Bridget Wolfe (Pan Incarnate)'s profile photo
Paula Flores's profile photo

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
Nature Bats Last....... and when it does some crazy russian will be there to film it instead of running for cover like a sane person would. If one of those rolling pipes bounced very bad things would happen.

http://sploid.gizmodo.com/watch-thousands-of-tons-of-cargo-spill-into-the-sea-dur-1785606242
Even a massive cargo ship can sometimes be no match for the massive storms brewing on the world’s oceans. But when you add hundreds of thousands of tons of cargo into the mix, the last place you want to find yourself is on deck when cargo starts spilling overboard.
7
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
It's pretty much impossible to tell a "terrorist" from an angry loudmouth who will never do anything but shout. That's just math.

via +Kee Hinckley 
 
Base Rate Fallacy vs. Population of Germany

There are 80 Million people living in Germany. The article in http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/islamisten-in-deutschland-wie-bedroht-ist-die-innere-sicherheit-a-1011912.html claims that 230 of them are in a file for radical islamists. Let's assume they are all actual evil people instead of suspects that may or may not be actually dangerous.

That's 230 out of 80,000,000 people, or a base rate of 0.00028%.

Let us assume we can check for terrorists with a special scanner. In a pro mille of all cases, 0.1%, the scanner will flag a good citizen erroneously as a terrorist. This leaves us with 80,000 upstanding citizens as false suspects.

In a pro mille of all cases, 0.1%, the scanner will also flag an actual terrorist as a law abiding citizen. This leaves us with zero undetected terrorists. That is, the scanner will actually catch all real terrorists, and in total we will have 80224 suspects.

That is, 224*100/80224 = 0.27% of our suspects will be actual terrorists, and 99.72% of our suspects will be actual law abiding citizens.

Let's improve the test 100 times, so the error rate is one pro mille of a percent, or one in 100,000.

Now we have 1024 suspects, out of which 224 (22%) will be terrorists, and 800 people, 78%, will be actual good citizens - 4 in 5 suspects will still be innocent.

TL;DR: If you are scanning for something rare you are fucked. You will have all of the targets in your suspect list and still are none the wiser until after the explosions, even if you have tools of impossible precision.
23 comments on original post
6
John Poteet's profile photoAlex Shull's profile photo
3 comments
 
+John Poteet not off hand. I just know that of the 80 million people that infants and the elderly and probably women would not be considered as risky as young men for example, so they wouldn't factor into a confusion matrix.
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
 
A growing number of consumers are buying into community solar farms that allow renters and apartment dwellers to access renewable energy produced on neighborhood plots that can be small enough to host a little league baseball game. Some are so modest they’re referred to as “solar gardens.” #SolarGardens  
"Everyone with an interest in solar can now participate."
View original post
12
Cindy Brown's profile photoJohn Poteet's profile photoJohn Hummel's profile photo
4 comments
 
Nice, +John Poteet! As far as I know, the area covered by the U of Illinois's solar panels wouldn't be much more than 9 acres or so. (Maybe upwards of 20, but I'll bet it's not quite that much.) But it's a start.
Add a comment...

John Poteet

Shared publicly  - 
 
The core constituency of the republican party is old and dying off. Since this is the same group that promotes racism, bigotry, pollution, and attacks workers rights I'm only too happy to rush it to the graveyard.
 
Interesting article. Note the very narrow focus here: White, and Christian (and particularly, not Catholic). This is not so much about the rise of atheism though it points out the rapid increase of "unaffiliated". It points more toward the dominant (until now) religious paradigm of this country as stuttering to an end mostly through its failure to adapt and change along with this country...

This new book shows how, and why.
5 comments on original post
1
Add a comment...
John's Collections
People
Have him in circles
6,147 people
Andrew Petersen's profile photo
Tiff Antonov's profile photo
Pin Cayabyab's profile photo
dipika mule's profile photo
Manfred Kager's profile photo
Chris Davis's profile photo
Marc Rodríguez Espinach's profile photo
Bridget Wolfe (Pan Incarnate)'s profile photo
Paula Flores's profile photo
Work
Occupation
Reverse Phrenologist
Places
Map of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has livedMap of the places this user has lived
Currently
Chico, CA
Previously
Petaluma, CA
Links
Story
Introduction
If you just added me to your circles and are wondering why I'm not circling you back right away.... It's because I can't have 4,000 people in my stream. If you're brilliant in comments and don't post I'll still circle you. If I've circled you and you're not much interested in my posts no biggie; leave me out of your stream.

I am a pessimist. If your world-view is unicorns-shitting-rainbows block me now. 

Anybody left? Good, we can get to work because optimists don't seem able to make a roof that doesn't leak or a foundation that sits above the water table instead of under it. Optimists build cruise ships that flop over and sink when holed. Optimists design economic structures that collapse like a house of cards in a slight breeze. 

We have to build a better world than the optimists will let us build. A world that expects that rain falls at inconvenient times and deals with it. A world that deals with climate change and ecological overshoot. A world that deals with people as we find them instead of as we wish them to be. 

Bragging rights
Cohousing resident, cargo bike rider/advocate, climate change activist, Occupy,
Education
  • California State University, Chico
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Relationship
Single