Your both right. +Simon Hansen
The correlation is that most mideastern states are muslim.
A little over 100 years ago, The standard of living in the Mideast was much higher and most countries were part of a stable Super-State: The Ottomon Empire.
It took Europe hundreds of years of bloody warfare to evolve to anything like a stable state system. Even then it started 2 world wars.
The Problem with Mideast is the opposite of Europe: they don't have enough Nationalism (to form stable coherent states. ) . In a multinational multicultural empire that's actually a positive trait!
All of the states were artificially carved out after world war 1.
Much of the Middle East has a very strong Tribal-System which is maintained through cousin marriage.
This has its virtues in a large polyglot empire, and maintains a strong social cohesion. But it has a side effect of weakening loyalties from Nation- States to Clans.
This is a problem the West caused when it divided it.
The remaining forces of social cohesion are Internationalism, which takes the form of Muslim Identity movements. ( which was the underpinnings of the social contract of the Ottomon Empire , or language Nationalism, "Arab Nationalism" "Turk Language Nationalism" "Hebrew Language Nationalism", Kurd , Persian etc.
Ironically the stronger the glue, the larger area it covers ( Muslim Identity , Arab Language Identity, the weaker state it forms because its spread out against more competing tribes and geography for loyalty .
Israel Turkey and Armenia are stable, but that's only due to genocide and ethnic cleansing.
Kurdistan would likely be a stable state, if powers would let it form .
Iran was doing fairly well until the US overthrew it's Democracy in 1953, so Britain could steal its oil. That was probably the stupidest thing that could have been done.
A free democratic Iran would have likely been the Strongest most Stable mideastern State, and could have helped the rest develop. It still could.
But the Chaos in the middleeast has ( which unleashed Saudi-style Wahabbi-Salafi fanaticism paid with petrodollars ) spilled over into other muslim countries.
If Muslim Countries follow European trends at all ( and their current terrorism looks a lot like " Anarchic Terrorism" in Europe in the 1800s ) I'd bet they will be a mess for another 100-200 years.
It's possible the internet and mass media might speed this up.