Worth a read!
I think that he also underestimates the violence with which these changes will be resisted. As he points out, several existing industries are likely to be cratered, most notably car manufacture (autonomous cars serving people on-demand could be active 95% of the time, versus 4% of the time for passenger cars today; that's a 24x reduction in the number of cars needed per person) and professional drivers. We're already seeing tremendous resistance by vested interests in the existing taxi business to even ordinary competition like Uber; what will happen when it starts to become clear to them that the entire business is about to go away, never to return?
In this regard, I think that we can draw useful lessons from the collapse of the longshoreman industry with the rise of containerized shipping. On the US' West Coast, strong longshore unions negotiated a phased shutdown with shipping companies; on the East Coast, weak unions spent more time fighting and undercutting each other than negotiating, and the net result was a serious collapse of all shipping to those ports, with the longshoremen bearing the brunt of it. Marc Levinson's book The Box has an interesting discussion of this. I suspect that similar phenomena will be seen here.
But even more so than with the transition to containerized shipping, the transition to autonomous vehicles is likely inevitable: the advantages are too large and too widespread, and the disadvantages too limited, for groups to successfully be able to prevent it for their own interest.
Everything I own fits in my backpack—this is how I do it
Declutter your life, declutter your mind
"If you have ever cleared your desk one morning before working, you’ll know the feeling of tranquility and peace this can give you. I found that that is exactly what happens when I got rid of most things I owned, apart from the crucial essentials."
"Professor Alice Dreger is no newcomer to the study of human sexuality. In [..] 2015 she published Galileo's Middle Finger, which covers controversies in academic medicine, specifically those related to sexuality.
When the author and bioethicist's son invited her to sit in on his abstinence-focused sexual education class, she knew she was stumbling into a situation ripe for live-tweeting."
I have always been of the opinion that streets belong to pedestrians first and other participants in traffic second. It might be time to claim them back. Walking should be free and not meticulously regulated.
Regulations and the structure of healthcare in the US guarantees that the people making the decisions in hospitals are not the physicians. They have to be separate legal entities, even if the doctors "work" for the hospital. This guarantees that vendors don't have to build products that cater to the physician end-users much if at all. Other regulations that prevent hospitals from benefiting from approaches in other industries are privacy regulations, and the need to protect against enormous lawsuits.
Medical device vendors have a way to go in terms of communications and standards, guaranteeing that each new medical device (even from the same vendor) requires custom integration and implementation.
Add to that mix a reimbursement landscape that is filled with uncertainty - any time a new "tweak" is introduced to healthcare policy it means that hospitals and physicians get paid less.
I don't envy hospital administrators and their IT staffs - they have been dealt a bad hand, and the game keeps changing.
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